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Mt. Baker ski resort
Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter

📷 Mt. Baker

North America

Mt. Baker

Closed for the season

Season ended April 26, 2026

Conditions data updated Fri, Aug 28, 09:03 AM UTC · informational only

Closed for the season — closed April 26

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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14-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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🎿

Powder Days

3

2026–27 season

Updated: Aug 28, 9:03 AM•Weather at base: 1067m

Overview

Mt. Baker is a ski resort in North America, United States, currently closed for the season (Season ended April 26, 2026). Conditions last updated 2026-08-28 09:03 UTC.

Resort Guide

Mt. Baker Ski Area is located in the North Cascades of Washington State, renowned for its abundant snowfall and rugged mountain terrain. The resort features a variety of runs across 1,000 acres, catering to both advanced skiers and snowboarders as well as intermediates, with a laid-back, authentic atmosphere. Signature experiences include deep powder skiing, natural terrain features, and the legendary Mt. Baker Legendary Banked Slalom event. Key amenities include multiple lodges, equipment rentals, and a focus on the natural mountain environment.

Resort Info

Summit1551m
Base1067m
Vertical484m
Lifts11
Runs38
Skiable Area1000 acres
Average snowfall663 inches / 1684 cm
CountryUnited States
Visit Resort Website →Follow on Instagram →View Trail Map →

Season dates

Season endedApril 26, 2026
Projected openingDecember 18, 2026

Future dates are operator estimates and may change.

Ski passes

No ski pass found

Access tiers change by season — confirm benefits on the pass operator's site.

Top Après Ski

Chair 9 – A popular après-ski spot near Mt. Baker, Chair 9 is known for its welcoming atmosphere, wood-fired pizzas, craft beers, and frequent live music, making it a favorite gathering place for skiers and snowboarders to unwind after a day on the mountain.

Snow Summary

1551mECMWF Model

Updated Aug 28, 2026 at 9:03 AM

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24h
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Past 10d
14-Day Forecast
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Prev10d
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Now28
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S29
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S30
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M31
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T1
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W2
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T3
Past
Today
Forecast

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Pacific Northwest & BC region

Current Conditions

Reported Fri, Aug 28, 09:03 AM UTC

Depth by source

every reading we have
  • SNOTELBase 0cm

The headline depth uses the most trusted available source. We show every reading so you can judge for yourself.

Base

1067m

Temp

8.8°C

Wind

0.4km/h

Snow Depth

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14-Day Forecast

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Mid-Mountain

1309m

Temp

--°C

Wind

0km/h

Snow Depth

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14-Day Forecast

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Summit

1551m

Temp

5.6°C

Wind

0.4km/h

Snow Depth

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14-Day Forecast

0cm

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Mt. Baker El Niño rank & forecast

Mt. Baker ranks #406 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier E, −15% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter: Strong El Niño winters ran clearly below this resort’s own baseline (≤ −8%). Still skiable — schedule late season; one storm cycle can beat the climatology.

#406 of 488Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter

Strong-event signal: −15% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Mt. Baker averaged -15% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The honest read: this is the fleet's deepest timing play. The snow still comes — it comes later and leaner, so point your winter 2026-27 trip at the historical late-winter peak, stay flexible on dates, and watch our monthly scorecard. Analog winters: '97-98 -15%, '15-16 -14%, '23-24 -15%. One caveat that always holds: a single storm cycle can beat the climatology.

'97-98 −15%'15-16 −14%'23-24 −15%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

Live Conditions

Mt. Baker Webcam

All Webcams

Mt. Baker / Erdman Video

1 webcam • Click to expand

Local Reports

0 reports
SnowSure™ Forecast Range

Daily Snowfall Forecast by Model

Black line = verified SnowSure™ blend (not a simple average). Weights update weekly from measured snowfall at SNOTEL stations and resort reports.

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Mt. Baker (cascades), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Hourly Forecast Detail

AM / PM / Night breakdown with wind and freezing level

NWP models refresh up to 4× daily · Last synced Aug 28, 9:03 AM

Hourly Forecast Detail
 
Today
10 / 52.1mm
Sat, Aug 29
7 / 49.3mm
Sun, Aug 30
9 / 40.9mm
Mon, Aug 31
16 / 3
Tue, Sep 1
13 / 60.6mm
Wed, Sep 2
8 / 46.6mm
PeriodAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Snow (cm)000000000000000000
Precip (mm)0.30.31.54.51.23.60.30.60000000.62.10.34.2
Temp (°C)710647558581578127676
Wind (km/h)482463352363383573
Gusts (km/h)193222223023162016163024253233474438

14-Day Snow Forecast by Model

Summit elevation (1551m)

ECMWF
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GFS
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GEM
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JMA
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ICON
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Météo-Fr
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SnowSure™
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10-Day Forecast

Today

28

🌧️

10.2°

5.2°

8 km/h

Sat

29

🌧️

7°

3.8°

8 km/h

Sun

30

🌧️

8.7°

3.9°

5 km/h

Mon

31

☁️

16°

3.3°

7 km/h

Tue

1

🌧️

13.1°

5.6°

8 km/h

Wed

2

🌧️

7.5°

4.4°

8 km/h

Thu

3

🌧️

9.6°

4.3°

4 km/h

Fri

4

🌧️

10.6°

2.2°

6 km/h

Sat

5

🌧️

7.7°

5.1°

5 km/h

Sun

6

☁️

14.9°

5.4°

6 km/h

Summit elevation (1551m) • ECMWF model

Avalanche

Off-season — no rating published

Northwest Avalanche Center

Watch for signs of unstable snow such as recent avalanches, cracking in the snow, and audible collapsing. Avoid traveling on or under similar slopes.

Read the official bulletin ↗

SnowSure relays the official avalanche bulletin and does not issue avalanche forecasts. Read the full bulletin at the issuer’s link and make your own terrain decisions. Not a substitute for avalanche education, equipment, or local knowledge.

Getting There

Drive times & access

Official map ↗

Drive conditions

Quiet — No winter restrictions — typical off-season pavement

The SnowSure call indicates it is quiet with no winter restrictions and typical off-season pavement conditions at Mt. Baker. There are no chain controls or closures on the highways SnowSure monitors near the resort. Late-season or summer readings should not be interpreted as a winter forecast. The resort road status and the official DOT map are authoritative — be sure to re-check before you drive.

SnowSure take, grounded in live DOT sensors. Not the resort's road status.

Live highway sensors & cameras within ~30–40 km, via WSDOT. Conditions on the drive, not the mountain — the resort's own road status is authoritative. Always re-check before a winter drive.

Season vs Historic

Updated Fri, Aug 28, 09:03 AM UTC

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Season Total

This Season to Date

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vs 5-Year Avg

Off-season · 1013cm full-season avg

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vs 30-Year Avg

Off-season · 939cm full-season avg

1013cm

5-Yr Avg by Now

The last completed season totaled ~891.4 cm. That's 12% below the 5-year average (1013 cm). Versus the 30-year baseline: 5% below the 30-year average (939 cm).

Mt. Baker Snow History

Average annual snowfall is 952cm with an average of 141 snowfall days per season. The table below shows monthly averages across 30 seasons of archive data (modeled snowpack at mid-elevation).

Average monthly snowfall history
MonthAvg SnowfallSnowfall DaysAvg Base DepthMax Base DepthBiggest Snowfall
November143.5cm19 days45cm95cm24.9cm
December197.7cm23 days129cm185cm29.7cm
January184.6cm21 days197cm240cm30.1cm
February134.6cm19 days235cm273cm25.7cm
March148.3cm22 days273cm306cm22.9cm
April74.1cm17 days270cm297cm16.2cm
May23.2cm8 days202cm252cm8.1cm

Source: SnowSure archive · Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis at mid-elevation. Depth is modeled, not resort-reported.

Season at a Glance

Next season(2026-27)

Opens Dec 18, 2026

Multi-season averages will appear once SnowSure has tracked more than one full season.

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Mt. Baker, ERA5 season snowfall median was 807 cm (318 in), about 20% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

MJJ 2026 · ANOM +1.39°C

Analog season median

807 cm

10 El Niño winters · 20% below median

All-season median

1003 cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10807 cm748 cm – 861 cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña121050 cm1012 cm – 1141 cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8987 cm891 cm – 1057 cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Best Months to Visit

February

Peak Season

January

Peak Season

March

Good

December

Good

Note: Based on typical ski season patterns for this region.

Back to All Destinations

Frequently asked questions about Mt. Baker

Where is Mt. Baker?
Mt. Baker is a ski resort in the United States.
How high is Mt. Baker?
Mt. Baker runs from a base elevation of 1,067 m (3,501 ft) to a summit of 1,551 m (5,089 ft), giving a vertical drop of 484 m (1,588 ft).
How big is Mt. Baker?
Mt. Baker has 1,000 acres (405 hectares) of skiable terrain, 38 marked runs and 11 lifts.
Which ski pass covers Mt. Baker?
Mt. Baker is on the No ski pass found. Access terms such as blackout dates and day limits vary by pass tier, so check the pass operator for the current season.
When is ski season at Mt. Baker?
Mt. Baker typically operates from December to April. Exact opening and closing dates shift each year with snowfall — check the resort's current season dates before booking.
How much snow does Mt. Baker get in a typical season?
Mt. Baker averages 663 inches / 1684 cm of snowfall in a typical season. Any individual season can run well above or below that.
How will El Niño affect Mt. Baker in winter 2026-27?
El Niño Signal Rank: #406 of 488 SnowSure resorts · Tier E · strong-event signal -15% vs its own 30-yr average. In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Mt. Baker averaged -15% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The honest read: this is the fleet's deepest timing play. The snow still comes — it comes later and leaner, so point your winter 2026-27 trip at the historical late-winter peak, stay flexible on dates, and watch our monthly scorecard. Analog winters: '97-98 -15%, '15-16 -14%, '23-24 -15%. One caveat that always holds: a single storm cycle can beat the climatology.