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Kicking Horse Mountain Resort ski resort
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Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter

North America

Kicking Horse Mountain Resort Snow Forecast

Projected to open December 11, 2026

Best months to book: March, January, February · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Dec 11 — closed April 11

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Oct 10

3d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

1cm

7-Day Forecast

1cm

Snow Depth

--

Updated: Oct 13, 12:02 AM•Weather at base: 1,190m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Projected to open Dec 11

Kicking Horse Mountain Resort is projected to open December 11, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, January, February. Best weeks: 10 Mar–16 Mar, 3 Mar–9 Mar, 17 Mar–23 Mar.Dec2Jan3Feb1MarAprOpens 11 DecCloses 11 Apr

Best months to book

  1. #1March45cm avg · last season 40.5
  2. #2January45cm avg
  3. #3February32cm avg · last season 34.8

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 10 Mar – 16 Mar · last season 44.6
  2. #2 3 Mar – 9 Mar · last season 40
  3. #3 17 Mar – 23 Mar · last season 39.7

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,505m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Oct 13, 2026 at 12:02 AM

1cm
24h
1cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
1
Prev10d
—
Now12
—
T13
—
W14
—
T15
—
F16
1
S17
0
S18
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

12 Mon
0° / -12°
13 Tue
4° / -8°
14 Wed
4° / -7°
15 Thu
3° / -9°
16 Fri
7° / -7°
17 Sat
4° / -6°
18 Sun
-0° / -7°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight19 Mon20 Tue21 Wed22 Thu23 Fri24 Sat25 Sun
Conditions🌤️☀️☀️⛅🌤️🌤️☁️🌤️☁️☁️☁️⛅☀️⛅⛅☁️⛅☀️☁️🌤️🌤️
mostly clearclearclearsome cloudsmostly clearmostly clearcloudymostly clearcloudycloudycloudysome cloudsclearsome cloudssome cloudscloudysome cloudsclearcloudymostly clearmostly clear
Summit2,505 mModeled
Temp°C-10°-1°-8°-6°3°-6°-4°3°-5°-6°2°-6°-5°6°-3°-3°3°-4°-5°-1°-4°
Feels like°C-14°-5°-11°-10°-1°-9°-7°0°-8°-9°-2°-9°-8°2°-7°-7°-1°-8°-8°-4°-8°
Snowcm················0.10.8···
Precipmm················0.41.1···
Windkm/h142232232252262583131
Mid-mountain1,848 mModeled
Temp°C-6°3°-3°-2°7°-1°1°7°0°-2°6°-1°-1°10°1°1°7°0°-1°3°0°
Feels like°C-9°0°-7°-5°4°-4°-2°5°-3°-5°3°-4°-3°7°-2°-2°4°-3°-3°0°-3°
Snowcm·················0.4···
Precipmm················0.41.1···
Windkm/h142232232252262583131
Base1,190 mModeled
Temp°C-1°8°1°3°11°3°5°12°4°3°10°3°4°14°5°5°11°4°4°8°4°
Feels like°C-4°4°-2°0°8°0°3°9°2°0°8°1°1°12°3°3°9°2°2°5°2°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm················0.41.1···
Windkm/h142232232252262583131
Humidity%754370714074855685855884764173785687856482
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Kicking Horse Mountain Resort, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

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SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Kicking Horse Mountain Resort (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Pacific Northwest & BC region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Kicking Horse Mountain Resort El Niño rank & forecast

Kicking Horse Mountain Resort ranks #371 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier E, −11% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter: Strong El Niño winters ran clearly below this resort’s own baseline (≤ −8%). Still skiable — schedule late season; one storm cycle can beat the climatology.

#371 of 488Tier E — Deep timing play — aim late winter

Strong-event signal: −11% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Kicking Horse Mountain Resort averaged -11% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The honest read: this is the fleet's deepest timing play. The snow still comes — it comes later and leaner, so point your winter 2026-27 trip at the historical late-winter peak, stay flexible on dates, and watch our monthly scorecard. Analog winters: '97-98 -20%, '15-16 -10%, '23-24 -4%. One caveat that always holds: a single storm cycle can beat the climatology.

'97-98 −20%'15-16 −10%'23-24 −5%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Kicking Horse Mountain Resort, ERA5 season snowfall median was 274 cm (108 in), about 4% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

274cm

10 El Niño winters · 4% below median

All-season median

285cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10274cm265cm – 281cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12298cm267cm – 362cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8348cm304cm – 365cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about Kicking Horse Mountain Resort

How much snow is Kicking Horse Mountain Resort getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 1 cm (0 in) of snow at Kicking Horse Mountain Resort over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Kicking Horse Mountain Resort?
The full 14-day forecast for Kicking Horse Mountain Resort — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Kicking Horse Mountain Resort?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.