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Mt. Bachelor ski resort
Tier C — ENSO-proof

📷 Mt. Bachelor

North America

Mt. Bachelor

Closed for the season

Season ended May 25, 2026

Conditions data updated Fri, Aug 28, 09:03 AM UTC · informational only

Closed for the season closed May 25

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

--

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

0cm

14-Day Forecast

1.7cm

Snow Depth

--

🎿

Powder Days

16

2026–27 season

Updated: Aug 28, 9:03 AMWeather at base: 1829m

Overview

Mt. Bachelor is a ski resort in North America, United States, currently closed for the season (Season ended May 25, 2026). The 14-day ensemble forecast across seven weather models (ECMWF, GFS, GEM, JMA, ICON, Météo-France, Met Norway) calls for ~2 cm (0.8 in) of new snow. Conditions last updated 2026-08-28 09:03 UTC.

Resort Guide

Mt. Bachelor is a prominent ski resort located in Central Oregon, offering over 4,300 acres of skiable terrain and a summit elevation of 9,065 feet. The resort is known for its expansive, varied terrain suitable for all ability levels, consistent snowfall, and a relaxed, welcoming atmosphere. Signature experiences include skiing and snowboarding from the summit with 360-degree descents, Nordic skiing, and a range of family-friendly winter activities. Key amenities feature multiple base lodges, equipment rentals, dining options, and a well-developed Nordic center.

Resort Info

Summit2764m
Base1829m
Vertical935m
Lifts15
Runs122
Skiable Area4318 acres
Average snowfall362 inches / 919 cm
CountryUnited States

Season dates

Season endedMay 25, 2026
Projected openingNovember 22, 2026

Future dates are operator estimates and may change.

Ski passes

Access tiers change by season — confirm benefits on the pass operator's site.

Top Après Ski

Clearing Rock Bar – Located at the West Village Lodge, Clearing Rock Bar is celebrated for its relaxed mountain vibe, craft beers, signature cocktails, and panoramic views of the slopes, making it a favorite après-ski gathering spot for both locals and visitors.

Snow Summary

2764mECMWF Model

Updated Aug 28, 2026 at 9:03 AM

0cm
24h
2cm
Past 10d
14-Day Forecast
0
Prev10d
Now28
S29
S30
M31
T1
0.1
W2
0.1
T3
Past
Today
Forecast

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Pacific Northwest & BC region

Current Conditions

Reported Fri, Aug 28, 09:03 AM UTC

Depth by source

every reading we have
  • SNOTELBase 5cm

The headline depth uses the most trusted available source. We show every reading so you can judge for yourself.

Base

1829m

Temp

7.8°C

Wind

2.6km/h

Snow Depth

--

14-Day Forecast

0.1cm

Mid-Mountain

2297m

Temp

--°C

Wind

3km/h

Snow Depth

--

14-Day Forecast

1.7cm

Summit

2764m

Temp

1.8°C

Wind

2.6km/h

Snow Depth

--

14-Day Forecast

2.1cm

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Mt. Bachelor El Niño rank & forecast

Mt. Bachelor ranks #189 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier C, +2% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier CENSO-proof: Strong El Niño winters looked like a normal year here — within about ±3% of this resort’s own 30-year snowfall average. Not a jackpot, not a bust: a hedge if you’re planning around El Niño.

#189 of 488Tier CENSO-proof

Strong-event signal: +2% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Mt. Bachelor averaged +2% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline — effectively ENSO-proof. Mt. Bachelor has held within a few percent of normal across every phase of the Pacific cycle, making it one of the safest bets of a record El Niño winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -20%, '15-16 -15%, '23-24 +40%.

'97-98 −20%'15-16 −15%'23-24 +40%

Live Conditions

Mt. Bachelor Webcams

All Webcams

Mt. Bachelor

Mt. Bachelor

Mt. Bachelor

3 webcams • Click to expand

Snow Stake Cam

All Snow Stake Cams

Mt. Bachelor

1 snow stake cam • Click to expand

Local Reports

0 reports
SnowSure™ Forecast Range

Daily Snowfall Forecast by Model

Black line = verified SnowSure™ blend (not a simple average). Weights update weekly from measured snowfall at SNOTEL stations and resort reports.

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Mt. Bachelor (cascades), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Hourly Forecast Detail

AM / PM / Night breakdown with wind and freezing level

NWP models refresh up to 4× daily · Last synced Aug 28, 9:03 AM

Hourly Forecast Detail
 
Today
13 / 0
Sat, Aug 29
7 / -3
Sun, Aug 30
13 / -3
Mon, Aug 31
15 / 1
Tue, Sep 1
6 / -11.9cm13.8mm
Wed, Sep 2
4 / -46.9cm10.8mm
PeriodAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Snow (cm)000000000000001.900.46.5
Precip (mm)0000000000000.69.33.901.59.3
Temp (°C)712217-131218144431-22-2
Wind (km/h)412691383846126411561611
Gusts (km/h)173821274024112814193825294337314430

14-Day Snow Forecast by Model

Summit elevation (2764m)

ECMWF
1.7cm
GFS
6.5cm
GEM
0cm
JMA
0cm
ICON
0cm
Météo-Fr
0cm
SnowSure™
1.7cm

10-Day Forecast

Today

28

☀️

12.5°

0°

13 km/h

Sat

29

7.2°

-3.4°

15 km/h

Sun

30

12.7°

-3.5°

9 km/h

Mon

31

15.2°

1.4°

13 km/h

Tue

1

🌧️

5.6°

-1.5°

12 km/h

Wed

2

🌧️

3.8°

-4°

0.1cm

19 km/h

Thu

3

🌧️

1.3°

-3.6°

0.1cm

10 km/h

Fri

4

🌧️

-0.2°

-5.6°

1.5cm

16 km/h

Sat

5

☁️

6.9°

-4.7°

8 km/h

Sun

6

☀️

12.2°

-2.5°

10 km/h

Summit elevation (2764m) • ECMWF model

Avalanche

Off-season — no rating published

Central Oregon Avalanche Center

Watch for signs of unstable snow such as recent avalanches, cracking in the snow, and audible collapsing. Avoid traveling on or under similar slopes.

Read the official bulletin ↗

SnowSure relays the official avalanche bulletin and does not issue avalanche forecasts. Read the full bulletin at the issuer’s link and make your own terrain decisions. Not a substitute for avalanche education, equipment, or local knowledge.

Season vs Historic

Updated Fri, Aug 28, 09:03 AM UTC

0cm

Season Total

This Season to Date

vs 5-Year Avg

Off-season · 581cm full-season avg

vs 30-Year Avg

Off-season · 497cm full-season avg

581cm

5-Yr Avg by Now

The last completed season totaled ~290.5 cm. That's 50% below the 5-year average (581 cm). Versus the 30-year baseline: 42% below the 30-year average (497 cm).

Mt. Bachelor Snow History

Average annual snowfall is 561cm with an average of 130 snowfall days per season. The table below shows monthly averages across 30 seasons of archive data (modeled snowpack at mid-elevation).

Average monthly snowfall history
MonthAvg SnowfallSnowfall DaysAvg Base DepthMax Base DepthBiggest Snowfall
November73.4cm16 days15cm37cm15.8cm
December122.4cm20 days55cm90cm22.4cm
January104.3cm19 days95cm127cm19.7cm
February85.4cm19 days115cm140cm17cm
March79.2cm20 days133cm156cm14.5cm
April50.2cm16 days124cm144cm10.7cm
May20.2cm9 days69cm106cm6.7cm

Source: SnowSure archive · Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis at mid-elevation. Depth is modeled, not resort-reported.

Season at a Glance

Next season(2026-27)

Opens Nov 22, 2026

Multi-season averages will appear once SnowSure has tracked more than one full season.

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Mt. Bachelor, ERA5 season snowfall median was 465 cm (183 in), about 14% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

MJJ 2026 · ANOM +1.39°C

Analog season median

465 cm

10 El Niño winters · 14% below median

All-season median

542 cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10465 cm434 cm – 575 cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12624 cm570 cm – 687 cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8518 cm437 cm – 611 cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Best Months to Visit

February

Peak Season

January

Peak Season

March

Good

December

Good

Note: Based on typical ski season patterns for this region.

Frequently asked questions about Mt. Bachelor

Where is Mt. Bachelor?
Mt. Bachelor is a ski resort in the United States.
How high is Mt. Bachelor?
Mt. Bachelor runs from a base elevation of 1,829 m (6,001 ft) to a summit of 2,764 m (9,068 ft), giving a vertical drop of 935 m (3,068 ft).
How big is Mt. Bachelor?
Mt. Bachelor has 4,318 acres (1,747 hectares) of skiable terrain, 122 marked runs and 15 lifts.
Which ski pass covers Mt. Bachelor?
Mt. Bachelor is on the Ikon Pass. Access terms such as blackout dates and day limits vary by pass tier, so check the pass operator for the current season.
When is ski season at Mt. Bachelor?
Mt. Bachelor typically operates from November to May. Exact opening and closing dates shift each year with snowfall — check the resort's current season dates before booking.
How much snow does Mt. Bachelor get in a typical season?
Mt. Bachelor averages 362 inches / 919 cm of snowfall in a typical season. Any individual season can run well above or below that.
How will El Niño affect Mt. Bachelor in winter 2026-27?
El Niño Signal Rank: #189 of 488 SnowSure resorts · Tier C · strong-event signal +2% vs its own 30-yr average. In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Mt. Bachelor averaged +2% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline — effectively ENSO-proof. Mt. Bachelor has held within a few percent of normal across every phase of the Pacific cycle, making it one of the safest bets of a record El Niño winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -20%, '15-16 -15%, '23-24 +40%.