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The El Niño Winter · 2026-27

A very strong El Niño is coming. We ran 30 years of data on every resort we track.

NOAA, the IRI physics plume, and SNU's deep-learning model all point at a very strong 2026-27 event. On raw ONI it could be the strongest since 1950; on NOAA's operational RONI it sits alongside 1982-83 and 1997-98. Below is every SnowSure resort ranked on how it actually snowed in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996.

The twelve headline calls and every resort's predicted tier are frozen in the 2026-27 prediction ledger. That document does not get edited. It gets graded.

What other forecasts say

SnowSure ranks resorts. These sources rank the event. More independent views of the same Pacific — NOAA's operational RONI, the IRI physics plume, and SNU's deep-learning model — raise confidence when they agree. They do not change the frozen resort ranks. How we use them →

Latest published trimesters: ONI JJA 2026 +1.8°C · RONI JJA 2026 +1.4°C. RONI is the operational index (warming stripped out).

EventPeak RONIPeak ONIIn our analog set?
1982-83+2.4°C · very strong+2.1°C · very strongNo — before 1996
1991-92+2.1°C · very strong+1.5°C · strongNo — before 1996
1997-98+2.3°C · very strong+2.4°C · very strongYes — ERA5 window
2015-16+2.3°C · very strong+2.6°C · very strongYes — ERA5 window
2023-24+1.4°C · moderate+2.0°C · strongYes — ERA5 window

Peaks from NOAA CPC ascii (AMJ of the start year through MAM of the next). 2023-24 is weaker on RONI than on raw ONI — that is why both columns stay published. The analog set does not change.

The signal map

Same cyan → magenta language as our snowfall maps, for El Niño signal rather than forecast centimeters. Magenta is well above a resort's own 30-year average; navy is below. The analog tabs swap winters. Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) versus this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Full methodology →

ⓘ How we score this

Find a resort

Full ranking

RankResortTierStrong-event'97-98'15-16'23-24
#1PenitentesArgentinaA+85%+82%+36%+135%
#2PortilloChileA+84%+98%+18%+136%
#3Las LeñasArgentinaA+68%+54%+3%+147%
#4La ParvaChileA+60%+102%+29%+50%
#5VallecitosArgentinaA+56%+60%+30%+79%
#6El ColoradoChileA+56%+100%+28%+40%
#7LagunillasChileA+51%+87%+22%+44%
#8Cerro MiradorChileA+45%−27%+58%+105%
#9Mountain HighUnited StatesA+29%−32%−82%+201%
#10AlpensiaSouth KoreaA+28%+24%−34%+95%
#11Lee CanyonUnited StatesA+28%−5%−71%+158%
#12Sunrise Park ResortUnited StatesA+26%+32%−30%+75%
#13PowderhornUnited StatesA+25%−16%−23%+114%
#14Big Bear Mountain ResortUnited StatesA+25%0%−53%+128%
#15CaviahueArgentinaA+24%−7%−7%+87%
#16Mt Shasta Ski ParkUnited StatesA+22%+30%−19%+55%
#17Pomerelle Mountain ResortUnited StatesA+21%−25%−31%+118%
#18Alyeska ResortUnited StatesA+20%+45%+45%−29%
#19AndermattSwitzerlandA+19%−10%−10%+76%
#20Snow ValleyUnited StatesA+19%−36%−76%+167%
#21Monterosa SkiItalyA+17%−13%−15%+80%
#22Arizona SnowbowlUnited StatesA+17%+30%−25%+46%
#23The RemarkablesNew ZealandA+17%+2%+32%+17%
#24Pajarito MountainUnited StatesA+17%+5%−12%+58%
#25Cerro CastorArgentinaA+16%−3%+20%+32%
#26LeviFinlandA+16%+20%+16%+13%
#27CourmayeurItalyA+15%−25%−5%+76%
#28Nordic ValleyUnited StatesA+15%+9%−18%+54%
#29La GraveFranceA+15%−11%−11%+67%
#30Serre ChevalierFranceA+15%−8%+2%+50%
#31SnowbasinUnited StatesA+15%+11%−17%+50%
#32GlensheeUnited KingdomA+15%0%+32%+12%
#33Eagle PointUnited StatesA+15%+7%−16%+54%
#34YlläsFinlandA+15%+9%+15%+21%
#35Cairngorm MountainUnited KingdomA+15%−9%+23%+30%
#36Madonna di CampiglioItalyA+14%−15%−19%+76%
#37Nevados de ChillánChileA+14%−17%−19%+79%
#38La ThuileItalyA+14%−23%−2%+66%
#39Coronet PeakNew ZealandA+14%+10%+41%−10%
#40Engelberg-TitlisSwitzerlandA+13%−12%−12%+64%
#41St Anton am ArlbergAustriaA+13%−14%−11%+64%
#42AntucoChileA+13%+3%+3%+32%
#43Grands MontetsFranceA+13%−23%−1%+62%
#44SipapuUnited StatesA+13%+11%+13%+14%
#45LaaxSwitzerlandA+13%+3%−5%+40%
#46Aletsch ArenaSwitzerlandA+12%−10%+3%+44%
#47DiavolezzaSwitzerlandA+12%−25%−14%+75%
#48AltaUnited StatesA+12%−13%−31%+80%
#49GulmargIndiaA+12%+11%−28%+53%
#50ArabbaItalyA+12%−20%−20%+75%
#51Las AraucaríasChileA+12%−26%−20%+81%
#52La RosièreFranceA+12%−15%+5%+45%
#53MontgenèvreFranceA+11%−11%+4%+42%
#54PilaItalyA+11%−10%+8%+36%
#55Davos KlostersSwitzerlandA+11%−14%−9%+57%
#56Mt Ashland Ski AreaUnited StatesA+11%+20%+18%−4%
#57Portes du SoleilFranceA+11%−23%−7%+64%
#58SestriereItalyA+11%−17%−17%+67%
#59Pebble Creek Ski AreaUnited StatesA+11%0%−20%+54%
#60CorvatschSwitzerlandA+11%−20%−10%+63%
#61Batea MahuidaArgentinaA+11%−4%+7%+29%
#62Canaan Valley ResortUnited StatesA+11%+51%−29%+10%
#63GstaadSwitzerlandA+11%−14%−6%+51%
#64ObergurglAustriaA+11%−22%−14%+67%
#65Ski ArlbergAustriaA+11%−12%−9%+53%
#66VerbierSwitzerlandA+10%−19%+4%+46%
#67Deer Valley ResortUnited StatesA+10%+13%−13%+31%
#68Mt. RoseUnited StatesA+10%+28%−2%+5%
#69Melchsee-Frutt Ski ResortSwitzerlandA+10%−6%−3%+40%
#70Park CityUnited StatesA+10%+9%−15%+36%
#71Aiguille du MidiFranceA+10%−24%−2%+55%
#72Adelboden-LenkSwitzerlandA+10%−5%+4%+31%
#73Grindelwald-WengenSwitzerlandA+10%−14%−5%+48%
#74IschglAustriaA+10%−8%0%+38%
#75Boreal Mountain ResortUnited StatesA+10%+15%−14%+28%
#76LagalbSwitzerlandA+10%−21%−10%+61%
#77Ski Santa FeUnited StatesA+10%−3%−14%+46%
#78Bear ValleyUnited StatesA+10%+16%−11%+24%
#79Northstar at TahoeUnited StatesA+10%+22%−7%+14%
#80MéribelFranceA+10%−14%+2%+41%
#81Sugar BowlUnited StatesA+10%+17%−12%+24%
#82Donner Ski RanchUnited StatesA+10%+28%−4%+4%
#83Passo dello StelvioItalyA+10%−24%−7%+59%
#84Alpe d'HuezFranceA+9%−15%−28%+71%
#85BrightonUnited StatesA+9%−4%−26%+58%
#86Homewood MountainUnited StatesA+9%+28%−3%+3%
#87Arosa LenzerheideSwitzerlandA+9%−3%−6%+37%
#88Cerro CatedralArgentinaA+9%−24%+1%+51%
#89Stubai GlacierAustriaA+9%−15%−7%+50%
#90Palisades TahoeUnited StatesA+9%+33%0%−6%
#91Dodge RidgeUnited StatesA+9%+22%−10%+15%
#92Snow FarmNew ZealandA+9%−5%+27%+5%
#93Val di FassaItalyA+9%−11%−11%+49%
#94KirkwoodUnited StatesA+9%+20%−5%+13%
#95Les ArcsFranceA+9%−20%−2%+49%
#96BréventFranceA+9%−13%+6%+33%
#97Eldora MountainUnited StatesA+9%−19%−5%+51%
#98AvoriazFranceA+9%−22%−7%+55%
#99Bogus BasinUnited StatesA+9%−6%−17%+49%
#100OberstdorfGermanyA+9%−18%−15%+59%
#101RukaFinlandA+9%+15%+4%+8%
#102Sierra at TahoeUnited StatesA+9%+21%−4%+9%
#103Val ThorensFranceA+9%−17%−4%+47%
#104Powder MountainUnited StatesA+9%+7%−17%+36%
#105Taos Ski ValleyUnited StatesA+8%−20%−16%+60%
#106FlégèreFranceA+8%−20%+4%+40%
#107Red RiverUnited StatesA+8%−15%−3%+43%
#108Silvretta MontafonAustriaB+8%−7%−1%+30%
#109HeavenlyUnited StatesB+8%+19%−9%+12%
#110Saas-FeeSwitzerlandB+8%−7%−13%+43%
#111Serfaus-Fiss-LadisAustriaB+8%−11%−3%+36%
#112Les GetsFranceB+7%−22%−6%+50%
#113SöldenAustriaB+7%−14%−6%+42%
#114St. Moritz – CorvigliaSwitzerlandB+7%−13%−2%+37%
#115Parsenn - Davos KlostersSwitzerlandB+7%−8%−3%+32%
#116AntillancaChileB+7%−39%−28%+88%
#117LivignoItalyB+7%−18%−3%+43%
#118Val d'IsèreFranceB+7%−21%−1%+43%
#119Val GardenaItalyB+7%−8%−8%+38%
#120St-Luc-ChandolinSwitzerlandB+7%−16%+1%+36%
#121ChapelcoArgentinaB+7%−6%+7%+20%
#122Soldier Mountain Ski AreaUnited StatesB+7%−2%+1%+22%
#123AramonSpainB+7%−29%−29%+77%
#124Sainte-Foy-TarentaiseFranceB+7%−22%−4%+46%
#125Snowshoe MountainUnited StatesB+7%+61%−19%−22%
#126TignesFranceB+7%−21%−2%+43%
#127Cardrona Alpine ResortNew ZealandB+7%−21%+11%+30%
#128AuronFranceB+6%−9%−34%+63%
#129Brian Head ResortUnited StatesB+6%+6%−23%+36%
#130Cherry PeakUnited StatesB+6%+9%−10%+20%
#131SunlightUnited StatesB+6%0%+1%+18%
#132Steamboat Ski ResortUnited StatesB+6%−17%−8%+43%
#133Familienskigebiet GriesAustriaB+6%−8%0%+26%
#134PalandökenTurkeyB+6%−21%−24%+63%
#135Alta BadiaItalyB+6%−9%−5%+32%
#136MegèveFranceB+6%−21%−8%+46%
#137NorefjellNorwayB+6%+13%−17%+22%
#138Balme - VallorcineFranceB+6%−12%+13%+17%
#139Garmisch ClassicGermanyB+6%−12%−12%+42%
#140La PlagneFranceB+6%−17%+1%+34%
#141CerviniaItalyB+6%−13%−2%+33%
#142China PeakUnited StatesB+6%+32%−26%+11%
#143San Martino di CastrozzaItalyB+6%−23%−11%+51%
#144VigiljochItalyB+6%−10%0%+26%
#145SundanceUnited StatesB+5%+16%−11%+11%
#146Isola 2000FranceB+5%−16%−37%+69%
#147Winterpark ResortUnited StatesB+5%−28%−6%+51%
#148CorralcoChileB+5%−12%0%+28%
#149Seefeld – RosshütteAustriaB+5%+5%+8%+2%
#150Alpe Lusia–San PellegrinoItalyB+5%−18%−5%+38%
#151Arapahoe BasinUnited StatesB+5%−19%+1%+33%
#152GeiloNorwayB+5%+6%−3%+12%
#153Angel Fire ResortUnited StatesB+5%−2%+7%+9%
#154Devils Head ResortUnited StatesB+5%−15%+3%+25%
#155Monarch MountainUnited StatesB+5%−17%−16%+47%
#156BormioItalyB+4%−18%−4%+35%
#157Champex-LacSwitzerlandB+4%−9%+18%+4%
#158Cape SmokeyCanadaB+4%+4%−9%+17%
#159Crans-MontanaSwitzerlandB+4%−9%+10%+11%
#160Meran 2000ItalyB+4%−10%−1%+23%
#161Mont-BlancFranceB+4%−13%+8%+17%
#162Cerro BayoArgentinaB+4%−10%+7%+14%
#163GrindelwaldSwitzerlandB+4%−10%+3%+18%
#164Kelly Canyon Ski ResortUnited StatesB+4%−10%−27%+49%
#165Alpe di SiusiItalyB+4%−6%−7%+24%
#166Beaver MountainUnited StatesB+4%−12%−27%+50%
#167Cascade MountainUnited StatesB+4%−12%+1%+22%
#168Cortina d'AmpezzoItalyB+4%−9%−1%+21%
#169Courchevel 1850FranceB+4%−14%+6%+19%
#170Hintertux Glacier Ski ResortAustriaB+4%−27%−19%+56%
#171Villars-GryonSwitzerlandB+4%−3%+16%−3%
#172La ClusazFranceB+3%−14%−3%+27%
#173Anthony Lakes Mountain ResortUnited StatesB+3%−9%−10%+29%
#174LeukerbadSwitzerlandB+3%−2%+16%−4%
#175Mission RidgeUnited StatesB+3%−24%−11%+44%
#176La HoyaArgentinaB+3%−39%−16%+64%
#177Tyrol Basin Family Ski and Snowboard AreaUnited StatesB+3%−9%−17%+35%
#178Red MountainCanadaC+3%−14%−14%+36%
#179Crested ButteUnited StatesC+3%−13%−11%+33%
#180June MountainUnited StatesC+3%+18%−17%+7%
#181Loup Loup Ski BowlUnited StatesC+3%+1%+19%−13%
#182GudauriGeorgiaC+2%−34%−2%+43%
#183Granby RanchUnited StatesC+2%−21%+6%+22%
#184Willamette PassUnited StatesC+2%−23%−8%+37%
#185Chamrousse SkiFranceC+2%−14%−16%+36%
#186SilvertonUnited StatesC+2%−9%−2%+17%
#187Beaver CreekUnited StatesC+2%−7%+5%+8%
#188CarezzaItalyC+2%−14%−15%+35%
#189Mt. BachelorUnited StatesC+2%−20%−15%+40%
#190BreckenridgeUnited StatesC+2%−16%+3%+18%
#191ArtesinaItalyC+2%−26%−32%+63%
#192Wisp ResortUnited StatesC+2%+30%−25%0%
#193FormigalSpainC+2%−26%−19%+50%
#194Purgatory ResortUnited StatesC+2%+1%+13%−9%
#195Bigrock MountainCanadaC+1%+15%−4%−7%
#196Grand MassifFranceC+1%0%+23%−19%
#197Domaine débutant du TourchetFranceC+1%−4%+18%−11%
#198Loveland Ski AreaUnited StatesC+1%−21%+1%+23%
#1993 Zinnen DolomitesItalyC+1%−13%−5%+20%
#200Hanmer SpringsNew ZealandC+1%+20%−8%−10%
#201PortersNew ZealandC+1%−15%−7%+25%
#202Crabbe MountainCanadaC+1%+14%−4%−7%
#203Sommet EdelweissCanadaC+1%0%+7%−4%
#204Aspen MountainUnited StatesC+1%−1%0%+3%
#205PloseItalyC+1%−9%−2%+12%
#206Ski CivettaItalyC+1%−3%+2%+2%
#207HemsedalNorwayC0%+8%−9%+3%
#208KeystoneUnited StatesC0%−17%+2%+16%
#209ZaoJapanC0%−15%−37%+53%
#210Ski CooperUnited StatesC0%−11%0%+12%
#211Snowy Range Ski AreaUnited StatesC0%−28%+2%+28%
#212Sun ValleyUnited StatesC0%0%−3%+4%
#213ChosaletsFranceC0%−7%+20%−14%
#214MayrhofenAustriaC0%−11%−9%+20%
#215La PoyaFranceC0%−7%+20%−13%
#216Baldy Mountain ResortCanadaC0%−19%−9%+27%
#217GlencoeUnited KingdomC0%−28%+25%+1%
#218ZakopanePolandC0%−32%−38%+68%
#219Sommet OlympiaCanadaC−1%+3%−5%+1%
#220VailUnited StatesC−1%−23%−2%+24%
#221Calabogie PeaksCanadaC−1%+5%−7%0%
#222Kranjska GoraSloveniaC−1%−20%+3%+15%
#223Gletscherwelt Zillertal 3000AustriaC−1%−17%−8%+22%
#224Prato NevosoItalyC−1%−24%−30%+51%
#225Schladming-DachsteinAustriaC−1%−5%−26%+29%
#226SnowmassUnited StatesC−1%+1%−1%−2%
#227BeitostølenNorwayC−1%+9%−11%0%
#228Mont Tremblant ResortCanadaC−1%0%+15%−18%
#229TellurideUnited StatesC−1%−5%+3%−1%
#230Copper MountainUnited StatesC−1%−10%+6%0%
#231Sommet Saint SauveurCanadaC−1%−2%+2%−3%
#232ArgentiereFranceC−1%−13%0%+9%
#233Mt CheesemanNew ZealandC−1%−18%−11%+25%
#234Cerro Perito MorenoArgentinaC−1%−27%+15%+8%
#235Diamond PeakUnited StatesC−1%−27%−14%+37%
#236Nevis RangeUnited KingdomC−1%−38%+21%+13%
#237FolgefonnNorwayC−1%−32%−12%+40%
#238Sun PeaksCanadaC−1%−35%−8%+39%
#239Big WhiteCanadaC−2%−23%−8%+26%
#240VossNorwayC−2%−10%+10%−5%
#241Limone PiemonteItalyC−2%−32%−43%+70%
#242MyrkdalenNorwayC−2%−11%+2%+4%
#243Whistler BlackcombCanadaC−2%+17%+20%−42%
#244Nevis RangeUnited KingdomC−2%−34%+28%0%
#245Big Moose MountainUnited StatesC−2%+8%−27%+12%
#246Sommet Morin HeightsCanadaC−3%−3%0%−4%
#247KronplatzItalyC−3%−3%+7%−12%
#248Tamarack ResortUnited StatesC−3%+5%+1%−14%
#249Mammoth MountainUnited StatesC−3%−4%−32%+27%
#250Val di Fiemme–ObereggenItalyC−3%−16%−2%+9%
#251HafjellNorwayD−3%+11%−1%−19%
#252Jackson Hole Mountain ResortUnited StatesD−3%−12%−27%+30%
#253Saalbach HinterglemmAustriaD−3%+12%−15%−6%
#254GaldhopiggenNorwayD−3%+6%−24%+9%
#255Jackson Hole Mountain ResortUnited StatesD−3%−12%−27%+30%
#256Ski La ReserveUnknownD−3%−4%+6%−12%
#257KitzSkiAustriaD−3%+2%−18%+7%
#258Le Massif de CharlevoixCanadaD−4%+4%+7%−22%
#259Mad River GlenUnited StatesD−4%+5%−56%+41%
#260SugarloafUnited StatesD−4%0%−40%+30%
#261StonehamCanadaD−4%−1%+6%−16%
#262Zell am See–KaprunAustriaD−4%+2%−5%−8%
#263Bad GasteinAustriaD−4%−27%−15%+31%
#264Apex MountainCanadaD−4%−18%−2%+7%
#265TrysilNorwayD−4%+1%−10%−3%
#266ObertauernAustriaD−4%−14%−17%+18%
#267SilverStarCanadaD−4%−26%−15%+28%
#268Whitewater Ski ResortCanadaD−4%−11%−6%+6%
#269Hochkönig BergbahnenAustriaD−4%+14%−17%−10%
#270SugarbushUnited StatesD−4%+3%−57%+41%
#271Middlebury SnowbowlUnited StatesD−4%+9%−58%+36%
#272Großarler BergbahnenAustriaD−5%−6%−11%+4%
#273Mt HuttNew ZealandD−5%−26%−17%+28%
#274Mont-Sainte-AnneCanadaD−5%−3%−3%−9%
#275SkiWelt Wilder Kaiser–BrixentalAustriaD−5%+4%−11%−7%
#276Bolton ValleyUnited StatesD−5%+7%−50%+29%
#277Alpine ValleyUnited StatesD−5%−4%−18%+7%
#278AwakinoNew ZealandD−5%−45%−15%+45%
#279Happo-OneJapanD−5%−24%−33%+42%
#280Wolf Creek Ski AreaUnited StatesD−5%−25%−3%+13%
#281Blue Knob All Seasons ResortUnited StatesD−5%+23%−47%+8%
#282KvitfjellNorwayD−5%+5%−1%−19%
#283Big Sky ResortUnited StatesD−5%−20%−24%+28%
#284Mt OlympusNew ZealandD−5%−8%−8%−1%
#285Schlossalm–AngertalAustriaD−5%−11%−17%+11%
#286Shiga KogenJapanD−5%−13%−33%+30%
#287MadaraoJapanD−6%−21%−36%+40%
#288FairmontUnknownD−6%+1%−5%−13%
#289KrvavecSloveniaD−6%−50%−31%+64%
#290Blue Mountain ResortCanadaD−6%+4%−1%−20%
#291HoodooUnited StatesD−6%−33%−25%+40%
#292StoweUnited StatesD−6%+3%−44%+23%
#293Meadowlark Ski LodgeUnited StatesD−6%−4%−24%+10%
#294StrynNorwayD−6%+6%−25%+1%
#295Antelope Butte Mountain Recreation AreaUnited StatesD−6%−10%−27%+19%
#296Broken RiverNew ZealandD−6%−2%−16%−1%
#297BromontCanadaD−6%+12%−22%−8%
#298Jay PeakUnited StatesD−6%−1%−36%+19%
#299Mt DobsonNew ZealandD−6%−51%−28%+61%
#300Snow King MountainUnited StatesD−6%+6%−11%−13%
#301Mont SuttonCanadaD−6%+1%−34%+14%
#302OppdalNorwayD−6%+11%−34%+4%
#303Mt. TanigawaJapanD−6%−15%−39%+35%
#304Saddleback MountainUnited StatesD−6%+1%−38%+19%
#305NakiskaCanadaD−7%−25%−15%+21%
#306CranmoreUnited StatesD−7%+16%−49%+12%
#307ŌhauNew ZealandD−7%−45%−19%+44%
#308Brundage MountainUnited StatesD−7%−5%−8%−7%
#309TogakushiJapanD−7%−15%−26%+20%
#310Gore MountainUnited StatesD−7%+17%−58%+20%
#311Yellowstone ClubUnited StatesD−7%−12%−16%+6%
#312Black Mountain of MaineUnited StatesD−7%+13%−45%+10%
#313Killington ResortUnited StatesD−7%+9%−57%+25%
#314Pleasant MountainUnited StatesD−7%+17%−48%+9%
#315Mount St Louis MoonstoneCanadaD−7%−3%−6%−13%
#316Grand Targhee ResortUnited StatesD−8%−13%−27%+17%
#317BjörklidenSwedenD−8%+15%−8%−30%
#318Mont OrfordCanadaD−8%+6%−25%−4%
#319Ski PucónChileD−8%−32%−21%+30%
#320Smugglers' NotchUnited StatesD−8%+7%−42%+13%
#321Horseshoe ResortCanadaD−8%+1%−17%−7%
#322ÅreSwedenD−8%−1%−25%+3%
#323Mt. Hood MeadowsUnited StatesD−8%−40%−35%+52%
#324Sunday RiverUnited StatesE−8%+4%−50%+22%
#325Tenney MountainUnited StatesE−8%+13%−53%+16%
#326White Pine ResortUnited StatesE−8%+3%−12%−16%
#327Terry PeakUnited StatesE−8%−7%−22%+4%
#328Boyne MountainUnited StatesE−8%−14%+9%−20%
#329Ragged Mountain ResortUnited StatesE−8%+18%−55%+12%
#330Gunstock Mountain ResortUnited StatesE−9%+18%−51%+7%
#331Greolieres Les NeigesFranceE−9%−13%−34%+22%
#332Okemo MountainUnited StatesE−9%+10%−62%+26%
#333Otsego ResortUnited StatesE−9%−14%+7%−19%
#334Bretton WoodsUnited StatesE−9%−6%−52%+32%
#335Cannon MountainUnited StatesE−9%−6%−53%+33%
#336Fox PeakNew ZealandE−9%−26%−12%+12%
#337White PassUnited StatesE−9%−12%−11%−4%
#338JasnáSlovakiaE−9%−35%−22%+31%
#339Ski QuecheeUnited StatesE−9%+16%−55%+12%
#340Titus Mountain Family Ski CenterUnited StatesE−9%+12%−37%−1%
#341PicoUnited StatesE−9%+9%−62%+26%
#342StrandaNorwayE−9%+16%−21%−23%
#343Val D IreneCanadaE−9%−17%−1%−10%
#344Bridger BowlUnited StatesE−9%−27%−27%+25%
#345NaebaJapanE−9%−19%−38%+29%
#346Attitash MountainUnited StatesE−10%+3%−51%+20%
#347NEKOMA MountainJapanE−10%−28%−45%+45%
#348Whaleback MountainUnited StatesE−10%+17%−61%+15%
#349Mt AbramUnited StatesE−10%+12%−46%+5%
#350Owl's HeadCanadaE−10%+9%−29%−9%
#351Eaglecrest Ski AreaUnited StatesE−10%−17%−23%+11%
#352Timberline LodgeUnited StatesE−10%−40%−36%+47%
#353Wildcat MountainUnited StatesE−10%−5%−52%+28%
#354KaguraJapanE−10%−27%−44%+42%
#355Panorama MountainCanadaE−10%−16%−11%−2%
#356Grouse MountainCanadaE−10%−14%−20%+3%
#357Crystal Mountain MIUnited StatesE−10%−11%+7%−27%
#358Nub's NobUnited StatesE−10%−18%+8%−21%
#359Crystal Mountain WAUnited StatesE−10%−22%−16%+7%
#360Manning ParkCanadaE−10%−13%+5%−24%
#361Burke MountainUnited StatesE−10%0%−50%+19%
#362Loon MountainUnited StatesE−11%−1%−52%+21%
#363Stevens PassUnited StatesE−11%−15%−6%−12%
#364Mt. WashingtonCanadaE−11%−34%−46%+48%
#365Whiteface MountainUnited StatesE−11%+11%−44%+1%
#366Magic MountainUnited StatesE−11%+9%−66%+25%
#36749 Degrees NorthUnited StatesE−11%−18%−14%−2%
#368Waterville ValleyUnited StatesE−11%+2%−50%+15%
#369Banff Sunshine VillageCanadaE−11%−25%−10%+1%
#370Mt Hood SkibowlUnited StatesE−11%−39%−34%+40%
#371Kicking Horse Mountain ResortCanadaE−11%−20%−10%−5%
#372Myoko KogenJapanE−11%−20%−36%+22%
#373Schweitzer MountainUnited StatesE−11%−36%−38%+40%
#374Schuss Mountain at Shanty Creek ResortUnited StatesE−11%−17%+6%−23%
#375Marble MountainCanadaE−12%−12%−12%−11%
#376Niseko Hanazono ResortJapanE−12%−37%−7%+10%
#377Fernie Alpine ResortCanadaE−12%−14%−13%−8%
#378Castle MountainCanadaE−12%−14%−8%−13%
#379Discovery Ski AreaUnited StatesE−12%−19%−14%−2%
#380Kimberley Alpine ResortCanadaE−12%−26%−25%+15%
#381Maverick MountainUnited StatesE−12%−9%−9%−17%
#382Red Lodge MountainUnited StatesE−12%−29%−44%+37%
#383RoundhillNew ZealandE−12%−28%−14%+7%
#384Lost Trail Ski AreaUnited StatesE−12%−22%−18%+3%
#385Marquette Mountain ResortUnited StatesE−12%−11%0%−26%
#386Mount SunapeeUnited StatesE−12%+16%−61%+9%
#387Mt Spokane Ski and Snowboard ParkUnited StatesE−12%−25%−29%+17%
#388Aomori SpringJapanE−13%−36%−15%+14%
#389Black MountainUnited StatesE−13%+1%−49%+11%
#390Lost ValleyUnited StatesE−13%+19%−47%−9%
#391Špindlerův MlýnCzech RepublicE−13%−25%−33%+19%
#392Caberfae PeaksUnited StatesE−13%−12%+1%−28%
#393Revelstoke Mountain ResortCanadaE−13%−14%+1%−26%
#394VallnordAndorraE−13%−35%−31%+26%
#395Beartooth BasinUnited StatesE−13%−27%−41%+28%
#396Appi KogenJapanE−14%−20%−16%−5%
#397Bromley Mountain ResortUnited StatesE−14%+1%−69%+27%
#398Lotte AraiJapanE−14%−34%−47%+40%
#399KiroroJapanE−14%−43%−16%+18%
#400Kamui Ski LinksJapanE−14%−40%−5%+2%
#401SasquatchCanadaE−14%−5%−10%−27%
#402GassanJapanE−14%−35%−34%+26%
#403Showdown MontanaUnited StatesE−15%−40%−25%+21%
#404Baqueira BeretSpainE−15%−46%−36%+38%
#405RusutsuJapanE−15%−33%−6%−5%
#406Mt. BakerUnited StatesE−15%−15%−14%−15%
#407Niseko Grand HirafuJapanE−15%−46%−22%+23%
#408Pats PeakUnited StatesE−15%+20%−57%−7%
#409Geto KogenJapanE−15%−33%−33%+21%
#410Lake LouiseCanadaE−15%−22%−8%−15%
#411Seven SpringsUnited StatesE−15%+4%−30%−19%
#412FuranoJapanE−15%−34%+4%−16%
#413LutsenUnited StatesE−16%−27%+20%−40%
#414Mount NorquayCanadaE−16%−18%−13%−16%
#415Marmot BasinCanadaE−16%−25%+1%−23%
#416Stratton MountainUnited StatesE−16%−4%−71%+27%
#417Song Mountain ResortUnited StatesE−16%+23%−55%−17%
#418RiksgransenSwedenE−16%−4%−25%−20%
#419Giants RidgeUnited StatesE−16%−23%+16%−43%
#420GrandvaliraAndorraE−16%−43%−40%+34%
#421Mt. BrightonUnited StatesE−16%−11%−9%−29%
#422Pine Mountain ResortUnited StatesE−16%−6%−4%−39%
#423Granite PeakUnited StatesE−17%−18%−1%−31%
#424Camden Snow BowlUnited StatesE−17%+2%−27%−26%
#425GALA YuzawaJapanE−17%−30%−43%+23%
#426Silver MountainUnited StatesE−17%−25%−12%−14%
#427Spirit MountainUnited StatesE−17%−15%+7%−43%
#428Great Divide Ski AreaUnited StatesE−17%−31%−27%+7%
#429Nozawa OnsenJapanE−17%−30%−42%+20%
#430Summit at SnoqualmieUnited StatesE−17%−30%−22%−1%
#431Bristol MountainUnited StatesE−18%+20%−46%−26%
#432Labrador MountainUnited StatesE−18%+22%−57%−17%
#433Mount SnowUnited StatesE−18%−7%−72%+26%
#434Temple BasinNew ZealandE−18%−23%−30%0%
#435CrotchedUnited StatesE−18%+13%−61%−6%
#436Lookout PassUnited StatesE−18%−36%−29%+10%
#437Cypress MountainCanadaE−19%−12%−20%−24%
#438TomamuJapanE−19%−37%−6%−12%
#439SwainUnited StatesE−19%+11%−42%−26%
#440Montana SnowbowlUnited StatesE−19%−52%−40%+35%
#441LaurelUnited StatesE−19%−10%−36%−12%
#442West MountainUnited StatesE−19%+18%−71%−5%
#443Greek PeakUnited StatesE−19%+29%−61%−26%
#444Mount BohemiaUnited StatesE−19%−36%0%−22%
#445Big BoulderUnited StatesE−20%+11%−59%−12%
#446Hunter MountainUnited StatesE−20%+9%−78%+9%
#447Camelback MountainUnited StatesE−20%+10%−58%−13%
#448Sleeping Giant Ski AreaUnited StatesE−20%−15%−22%−24%
#449Snow Ridge Ski ResortUnited StatesE−21%+7%−43%−26%
#450BanskoBulgariaE−21%−21%−56%+16%
#451Holiday ValleyUnited StatesE−21%−2%−38%−21%
#452Kissing BridgeUnited StatesE−21%−6%−40%−17%
#453Blacktail Mountain Ski AreaUnited StatesE−21%−35%−31%+4%
#454NarvikNorwayE−21%−16%−36%−11%
#455Windham Mountain ClubUnited StatesE−21%+12%−77%+1%
#456Hudson Bay MountainCanadaE−21%−13%−34%−17%
#457Buffalo Ski CenterUnited StatesE−21%−10%−46%−8%
#458Whitefish Mountain ResortUnited StatesE−22%−30%−24%−11%
#459Snowriver Mountain ResortUnited StatesE−22%−39%+6%−33%
#460Shames MountainCanadaE−22%−9%−28%−29%
#461Powder King Mountain ResortCanadaE−22%−19%−12%−36%
#462Big Powderhorn Mountain ResortUnited StatesE−22%−38%+7%−37%
#463Loch LomondUnited KingdomE−22%−30%+8%−45%
#464Ski BruleUnited StatesE−22%−21%+1%−47%
#465Whitecap MountainUnited StatesE−23%−41%+7%−35%
#466Belleayre MountainUnited StatesE−23%+8%−74%−4%
#467Montage Mountain Ski ResortUnited StatesE−23%+22%−66%−26%
#468Elk MountainUnited StatesE−24%+10%−76%−7%
#469Berkshire EastUnited StatesE−25%+3%−68%−8%
#470Welch Village Ski and Snowboard AreaUnited StatesE−26%−22%−10%−48%
#471Plattekill MountainUnited StatesE−27%+5%−72%−13%
#472Afton AlpsUnited StatesE−28%−22%−17%−45%
#473Mountain Creek ResortUnited StatesE−29%+10%−58%−38%
#474Buck HillUnited StatesE−30%−15%−26%−50%
#475HothamAustraliaE−30%−60%−39%+8%
#476Jiminy PeakUnited StatesE−30%0%−72%−19%
#477Dinner PlainAustraliaE−31%−64%−45%+15%
#478Christie MountainUnited StatesE−31%−38%−14%−41%
#479Bousquet MountainUnited StatesE−32%+2%−71%−27%
#480Ski ButternutUnited StatesE−32%+6%−68%−34%
#481CatamountUnited StatesE−32%+7%−72%−31%
#482Trollhaugen Outdoor Recreation AreaUnited StatesE−33%−29%−27%−43%
#483ThredboAustraliaE−35%−67%−48%+11%
#484Boston MillsUnited StatesE−35%−33%−34%−38%
#485Charlotte PassAustraliaE−35%−71%−53%+18%
#486PerisherAustraliaE−36%−84%−65%+41%
#487Wild MountainUnited StatesE−38%−26%−39%−48%
#488SelwynAustraliaE−41%−63%−45%−15%
Under reviewAfriskiLesothoERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewBaldyUnited StatesERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewBeech MountainUnited StatesERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewBen LomondAustraliaERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewBryceUnited StatesERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewCataloocheeUnited StatesERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewFalls CreekAustraliaERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewHidden ValleyUnited StatesERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewHigh1South KoreaERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewLibertyUnited StatesERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewMad River MountainUnited StatesERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewManganuiNew ZealandERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewMassanuttenUnited StatesERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewMt Baw BawAustraliaERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewMt BullerAustraliaERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewMt MawsonAustraliaERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewMt StirlingAustraliaERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewMt. SeymourCanadaERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewPaoli PeaksUnited StatesERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewRainbowNew Zealand ERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewRoundtopUnited StatesERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewSandia PeakUnited StatesERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewSierra NevadaSpainERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewSki ApacheUnited StatesERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewSnow CreekUnited StatesERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewSugar MountainUnited StatesERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewTiffindellSouth AfricaERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewTreble ConeNew ZealandERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewTukinoNew ZealandERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewTūroaNew ZealandERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewVolcán OsornoChileERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewWhakapapaNew ZealandERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewWhitetailUnited StatesERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewWilmotUnited StatesERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewWintergreen ResortUnited StatesERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.
Under reviewYunding / ThaiwooChinaERA discontinuity — not ranked until the series is cleaned.

Questions answer engines actually get

Will El Niño ruin Japan's ski season?

No. Japan is a timing play, not a write-off. Across SnowSure's Asia fleet the median strong-event signal is −12%. Niseko Grand Hirafu ranks #407 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier E, −15% in strong El Niño winters. Japan's sea-effect window is mid-December to mid-February — the January–February core is closer to neutral, so aim the mid-winter core rather than late winter. One storm cycle can beat the climatology.

Where will it snow most in the 2026-27 El Niño winter?

The strongest historical lean is the Andes. The top of the SnowSure fleet: Penitentes (#1, +85%); Portillo (#2, +84%); Las Leñas (#3, +68%); La Parva (#4, +60%); Vallecitos (#5, +56%). Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 versus each resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline.

Is El Niño good for the Alps?

Mixed, and mostly quiet. The European median strong-event signal is +5% — many Alps resorts sit in Tier C (ENSO-proof). El Niño is not a verdict on the Alps; it is a small tilt. Book the mountain you wanted, not the pattern.

Best ski resorts during El Niño

SnowSure's Prime El Niño terrain (Tier A) is led by Penitentes (#1, +85%); Portillo (#2, +84%); Las Leñas (#3, +68%); La Parva (#4, +60%); Vallecitos (#5, +56%). These ranks are versus each resort's own 30-year baseline — never raw centimeters. n=3 — a lean, not a law.

Does El Niño affect Whistler, Niseko, or Zermatt?

Whistler Blackcomb ranks #243 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier C, −2% in strong El Niño winters. Niseko Grand Hirafu ranks #407 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier E, −15% in strong El Niño winters. Matterhorn Ski Paradise ranks Under review SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +6% in strong El Niño winters. Full modules live at /resorts/{slug}#el-nino.

Why is every El Niño ski post about North America?

Because most El Niño ski content is written from a Colorado or Sierra newsroom. SnowSure ranks 488 resorts on six continents from the same ERA5 series — Andes, Alps, Japan, and Oceania included — so the 2026-27 outlook is not a North America story with a Japan footnote.

More El Niño & predictions