El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27
Crested Butte El Niño rank & forecast
Crested Butte ranks #179 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier C, +3% in strong El Niño winters.
Tier C — ENSO-proof: Strong El Niño winters looked like a normal year here — within about ±3% of this resort’s own 30-year snowfall average. Not a jackpot, not a bust: a hedge if you’re planning around El Niño.
Strong-event signal: +3% vs this resort's 30-yr avg
In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Crested Butte averaged +3% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. El Niño has historically made little difference here — this is an ENSO-proof mountain, for winter 2026-27 as in past events. Analog winters: '97-98 -13%, '15-16 -11%, '23-24 +33%. A pattern, not a promise.























