El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026
Cerro Catedral El Niño rank & forecast
Cerro Catedral ranks #88 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +9% in strong El Niño winters.
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).
Strong-event signal: +9% vs this resort's 30-yr avg
In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Cerro Catedral averaged +9% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026, Cerro Catedral sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 -24%, '15-16 +1%, '23-24 +51%. A pattern, not a promise.
In-season scorecard
Predicted signal
+9%
Measured to date
−1%
Season total
339 cm
Vs predicted
−10%
Predicted signal vs measured season-to-date against this resort's own climatology.












