Skip to main content
Chapelco ski resort
Tier B — Favored

📷 Chapelco

South America

Chapelco

55

Excellent

→stable

Last Snowfall

Aug 28

today

Past 24 Hours

5.5cm

Reported by Chapelco

Past 48 Hours

9.6cm

Past 10 Days

26.7cm

14-Day Forecast

28cm

Snow Depth

18cm

Resort reported (website)
🎿

Powder Days

35

2026 season

☀️

Bluebird Days

1

2026 season

Updated: Aug 28, 8:02 AM•Weather at base: 1250m

Overview

Chapelco is a ski resort in South America, Argentina. Today's SnowSure™ Score is 55/100 (Excellent), snow base 18 cm (7.1 in), 27 cm (10.6 in) of snow in the last 7 days. The 14-day ensemble forecast across seven weather models (ECMWF, GFS, GEM, JMA, ICON, Météo-France, Met Norway) calls for ~28 cm (11 in) of new snow. Conditions last updated 2026-08-28 08:02 UTC.

Resort Guide

Chapelco is a ski resort located in the Argentine Patagonia near San Martín de los Andes, offering panoramic views of the Lanín Volcano and surrounding forests. The resort features 28 runs across varied terrain suitable for all skill levels, modern lift systems, and a range of amenities including ski schools, equipment rentals, and mountain dining. Chapelco is recognized for its blend of natural beauty, well-groomed slopes, and opportunities for activities such as snowboarding, Nordic skiing, and snowshoeing, making it a prominent destination in South America.

Resort Info

Summit1980m
Base1250m
Vertical730m
Lifts0/13
Runs0/29
Skiable Area855 acres
Average snowfall350 inches / 890 cm
CountryArgentina
Visit Resort Website →Follow on Instagram →View Trail Map →

Season dates

OpenedJuly 11, 2026
Projected closingSeptember 27, 2026

Future dates are operator estimates and may change.

Ski passes

No ski pass found

Access tiers change by season — confirm benefits on the pass operator's site.

Top Après Ski

Pradera del Puma – This popular après-ski bar at Chapelco is renowned for its cozy mountain atmosphere, signature cocktails, and panoramic views of the Andes, making it a favorite gathering spot for skiers to unwind and socialize after a day on the slopes.

SnowSure™ ScoreAI
55
Excellent
→stable

Excellent snow depth - conditions are locked in.

Chapelco is currently experiencing overcast conditions with a temperature of -5°C. The snow depth stands at 18cm, and the resort has received 27cm of snowfall in the past week, maintaining a solid season total of 242cm. Looking ahead, the 14-day forecast suggests an average of 28cm of new snow.

AI-generated summary
✓

Depth

18cm depth — excellent coverage.

↓

Recent

In the last 7 days, 27cm of snow has fallen.

—

Forecast

The 14-day snow outlook predicts an average of 28cm.

✓

Historic

So far this season, snowfall is on par with the 5-year average, with 242cm recorded to date.

Data updated Fri, Aug 28, 08:02 AM UTC

Snow Summary

1980mECMWF Model

Updated Aug 28, 2026 at 8:02 AM

27cm
24h
28cm
Past 10d
14-Day Forecast
27
Prev10d
3
Now28
4.7
S29
5.8
S30
7
M31
2.4
T1
6.4
W2
1
T3
Past
Today
Forecast

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Andes (Chile & Argentina) region

Current Conditions

Reported Fri, Aug 28, 08:02 AM UTC

Depth by source

every reading we have
  • Resort ReportedBase 18cm
  • Open-MeteoBase 141cm · Summit 141cm

The headline depth uses the most trusted available source. We show every reading so you can judge for yourself.

Freezing Level

1173m

❄️ Below base - cold & dry snow expected

Base

1250m

Temp

-0.5°C

Wind

13.4km/h

Snow Depth

18cm

Resort reported (website)

Resort 18cm · Model 141cm

14-Day Forecast

15.7cm

Mid-Mountain

1615m

Temp

--°C

Wind

15km/h

Snow Depth

80cm

Resort reported (website)

14-Day Forecast

28cm

Summit

1980m

Temp

-5.2°C

Wind

13.4km/h

Snow Depth

141cm

Open-Meteo model

14-Day Forecast

28.2cm

Ops signals

  • ●Freezing level below base — snowmaking window open
  • ●Fresh snow + cold temps — good grooming window next 48h
  • ●Cold summit temps — snow preservation favorable

Lifts Open

0/13
0%

open

Runs Open

0/29
0%

open

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026

Chapelco El Niño rank & forecast

Chapelco ranks #121 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +7% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

#121 of 488Tier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +7% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Chapelco averaged +7% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically leaned mildly in this resort's favor for winter 2026. Analog winters: '97-98 -6%, '15-16 +7%, '23-24 +20%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −6%'15-16 +7%'23-24 +20%

In-season scorecard

Predicted signal

+7%

Measured to date

−15%

Season total

242 cm

Vs predicted

−22%

Predicted signal vs measured season-to-date against this resort's own climatology.

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

Live Conditions

Chapelco Webcams

All Webcams

Chapelco

Chapelco

Chapelco

3 webcams • Click to expand

Avalanche

No bulletin for this mountain

No official warning service is mapped for this resort’s country yet (v1 covers the United States, Canada and Switzerland). A bulletin may still be published locally.

SnowSure relays the official avalanche bulletin and does not issue avalanche forecasts. Read the full bulletin at the issuer’s link and make your own terrain decisions. Not a substitute for avalanche education, equipment, or local knowledge.

Local Reports

0 reports
SnowSure™ Forecast Range

Daily Snowfall Forecast by Model

Black line = verified SnowSure™ blend (not a simple average). Weights update weekly from measured snowfall at SNOTEL stations and resort reports.

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Chapelco (andes), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Hourly Forecast Detail

AM / PM / Night breakdown with wind and freezing level

NWP models refresh up to 4× daily · Last synced Aug 28, 8:02 AM

Hourly Forecast Detail
 
Today
-2 / -52.8cm4mm
Sat, Aug 29
-2 / -54.3cm6mm
Sun, Aug 30
0 / -58.8cm12.5mm
Mon, Aug 31
-1 / -63.9cm5.5mm
Tue, Sep 1
-2 / -82.4cm3.3mm
Wed, Sep 2
-1 / -66.6cm9.5mm
PeriodAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Snow (cm)0.40.71.70.61.52.20.71.96.20.403.50.41.60.41.51.93.2
Precip (mm)0.612.40.82.13.112.78.80.5050.52.30.52.22.74.6
Temp (°C)-5-3-4-4-2-4-4-1-4-4-2-5-6-2-6-4-2-4
Wind (km/h)141612121511515131318123128121412
Gusts (km/h)535752525750356055546550453954445350

14-Day Snow Forecast by Model

Summit elevation (1980m)

ECMWF
30.4cm
GFS
26.1cm
GEM
31.2cm
JMA
4.1cm
ICON
35.1cm
Météo-Fr
14.6cm
SnowSure™
28cm

10-Day Forecast

Today

28

❄️

-2.1°

-5.4°

3cm

17 km/h

Sat

29

❄️

-2°

-5.1°

4.7cm

17 km/h

Sun

30

❄️

-0.5°

-5.1°

5.8cm

19 km/h

Mon

31

❄️

-1.2°

-6.5°

7cm

20 km/h

Tue

1

❄️

-2.2°

-8.1°

2.4cm

14 km/h

Wed

2

❄️

-1.4°

-6.4°

6.4cm

15 km/h

Thu

3

❄️

-4.2°

-8.1°

1cm

16 km/h

Fri

4

⛅

-0.5°

-11.5°

6 km/h

Sat

5

☀️

0.5°

-8.2°

10 km/h

Sun

6

☁️

2.5°

-7.8°

6 km/h

Summit elevation (1980m) • ECMWF model

Season vs Historic

Updated Fri, Aug 28, 08:02 AM UTC

241.9cm

Season Total

This Season to Date

+0%

vs 5-Year Avg

242cm avg by now

-18%

vs 30-Year Avg

295cm avg by now

242cm

5-Yr Avg by Now

This season is at 241.9 cm to date. The last completed season totaled ~242 cm. That's near the 5-year average (242 cm). Versus the 30-year baseline: 18% below the 30-year average (295 cm).

Chapelco Snow History

Average annual snowfall is 383cm with an average of 83 snowfall days per season. The table below shows monthly averages across 31 seasons of archive data (modeled snowpack at mid-elevation).

Average monthly snowfall history
MonthAvg SnowfallSnowfall DaysAvg Base DepthMax Base DepthBiggest Snowfall
June106.6cm18 days28cm53cm25.7cm
July94.8cm18 days56cm76cm22.3cm
August92.9cm18 days72cm94cm21.5cm
September46.5cm14 days64cm84cm14.4cm
October31.4cm11 days28cm50cm10.7cm

Source: SnowSure archive · Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis at mid-elevation. Depth is modeled, not resort-reported.

Season at a Glance

Current season(2026)

Opened Jul 11, 2026

Scheduled close: Sep 27, 2026

Multi-season averages will appear once SnowSure has tracked more than one full season.

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 5 past El Niño winters at Chapelco, ERA5 season snowfall median was 426 cm (168 in), about 3% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

MJJ 2026 · ANOM +1.39°C

Analog season median

426 cm

5 El Niño winters · 3% above median

All-season median

412 cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent5426 cm415 cm – 430 cm2023, 2015, 2009, 2002, 1997
La Niña4398 cm356 cm – 422 cm2022, 2010, 1999, 1998
ENSO-neutral21408 cm356 cm – 448 cm2025, 2024, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Best Months to Visit

August

Peak Season

July

Peak Season

September

Good

June

Good

Note: Based on typical ski season patterns for this region.

Back to All Destinations

Frequently asked questions about Chapelco

Where is Chapelco?
Chapelco is a ski resort in Argentina.
How high is Chapelco?
Chapelco runs from a base elevation of 1,250 m (4,101 ft) to a summit of 1,980 m (6,496 ft), giving a vertical drop of 730 m (2,395 ft).
How big is Chapelco?
Chapelco has 855 acres (346 hectares) of skiable terrain, 29 marked runs and 13 lifts.
Which ski pass covers Chapelco?
Chapelco is on the No ski pass found. Access terms such as blackout dates and day limits vary by pass tier, so check the pass operator for the current season.
When is ski season at Chapelco?
Chapelco typically operates from July to September. Exact opening and closing dates shift each year with snowfall — check the resort's current season dates before booking.
How much snow does Chapelco get in a typical season?
Chapelco averages 350 inches / 890 cm of snowfall in a typical season. Any individual season can run well above or below that.
How will El Niño affect Chapelco in winter 2026?
El Niño Signal Rank: #121 of 488 SnowSure resorts · Tier B · strong-event signal +7% vs its own 30-yr average. In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Chapelco averaged +7% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically leaned mildly in this resort's favor for winter 2026. Analog winters: '97-98 -6%, '15-16 +7%, '23-24 +20%. A pattern, not a promise.

More ski resorts in Argentina

Browse all resorts →