El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026
Portillo El Niño rank & forecast
Portillo ranks #2 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +84% in strong El Niño winters.
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).
Strong-event signal: +84% vs this resort's 30-yr avg
In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Portillo averaged +84% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026, Portillo sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 +98%, '15-16 +18%, '23-24 +136%. A pattern, not a promise.
In-season scorecard
Predicted signal
+84%
Measured to date
+254%
Season total
898 cm
Vs predicted
+169%
Predicted signal vs measured season-to-date against this resort's own climatology.


















