El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026
Valle Nevado El Niño rank & forecast
Valle Nevado ranks Under review SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +60% in strong El Niño winters.
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).
Strong-event signal: +60% vs this resort's 30-yr avg
This resort carries no separate rank: its 30-year record is identical to la-parva, which is the ranked entry for this measurement. At ~31km resolution the reanalysis cannot resolve them as different mountains, so publishing both would be publishing one number twice.
In-season scorecard
Predicted signal
+60%
Measured to date
+133%
Season total
571 cm
Vs predicted
+72%
Predicted signal vs measured season-to-date against this resort's own climatology.
















