El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026
Las Leñas El Niño rank & forecast
Las Leñas ranks #3 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +68% in strong El Niño winters.
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).
Strong-event signal: +68% vs this resort's 30-yr avg
In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Las Leñas averaged +68% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026, Las Leñas sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 +54%, '15-16 +3%, '23-24 +147%. A pattern, not a promise.
In-season scorecard
Predicted signal
+68%
Measured to date
+118%
Season total
663 cm
Vs predicted
+50%
Predicted signal vs measured season-to-date against this resort's own climatology.












