El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026
Corralco El Niño rank & forecast
Corralco ranks #148 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +5% in strong El Niño winters.
Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.
Strong-event signal: +5% vs this resort's 30-yr avg
In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Corralco averaged +5% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026, Corralco sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 -12%, '15-16 -0%, '23-24 +28%. A pattern, not a promise.
In-season scorecard
Predicted signal
+5%
Measured to date
+60%
Season total
753 cm
Vs predicted
+55%
Predicted signal vs measured season-to-date against this resort's own climatology.













