El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27
Obergurgl El Niño rank & forecast
Obergurgl ranks #64 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +11% in strong El Niño winters.
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).
Strong-event signal: +11% vs this resort's 30-yr avg
In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Obergurgl averaged +11% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Obergurgl sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 -22%, '15-16 -14%, '23-24 +67%. A pattern, not a promise.









