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Storm WatchWatching

Early-September Tasman System

2 resorts in the path, 37cm at the biggest. Watching — the models see it but do not yet agree closely.

+37CM

Predicted at Mt Olympus

Storm

Sep 6–8

2 resorts in the path

Peak

Sep 6

22cm at Mt Olympus

Predicted

37cm

Mt Olympus

Confidence

Watching

Updated

Sep 6, 06:30 UTC

Snow by day

Sep 5 – Sep 9, with a day either side. For each resort: where the freeze line sits against the mountain, then what falls — snow in cm, rain in mm — and the day read from those two numbers.

Mt Olympusbase 1,430 m · summit 1,880 m

cm snow

no daily data

How the call moved+5cm
3237Sep 2Sep 3

Temple Basinbase 1,326 m · summit 1,753 m

cm snow

no daily data

How the call moved-8cm
4132Sep 2Sep 3

No daily series on file for these resorts yet.

Rain / snow line

Base to summit for each mountain, with the snow line cut across them.

Snow line against every mountain in Early-September Tasman System

Enlarge rain / snow line

The system

700mb flow — where the storm is, and what is steering it. Pins sized by forecast total.

700mb flow map for Early-September Tasman System

72-hour snowfall forecast for the same window.

Loading forecast map…
new-zealand 72h snowfall forecast — Snowsure

In the path

Forecast, not observation — none of this has fallen yet. Totals are across the window. We will post what fell when the window closes.

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Last updated 2026-09-06 06:30 UTC. SnowSure scans a blend of seven weather models twice daily and flags systems clearing 30cm over 72 hours, three to fourteen days out. This watch opened on 2026-09-02 with 32cm forecast at Mt Olympus.