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Argentiere ski resort
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Tier C — ENSO-proof

Europe

Argentiere Snow Forecast

Off-season

Closed for the season · reopens Nov 28

Best months to book: March, February, April · 30-yr snow record

Off-season

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 21, 2:01 PM•Weather at base: 1,130m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Off-season

Argentiere is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, April.NovDecJan2Feb1Mar3AprMay

March

#1 to book

49cm avg

February

#2 to book

41cm avg

April

#3 to book

42cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,225m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 21, 2026 at 2:01 PM

0cm
24h
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Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
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Prev10d
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Now21
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T22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
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S27
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

21 Mon
12° / 0°
22 Tue
8° / -3°
23 Wed
12° / -4°
24 Thu
12° / -1°
25 Fri
10° / -2°
26 Sat
14° / -1°
27 Sun
16° / 0°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun
Conditions☀️🌤️⛅☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☁️🌤️⛅☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️
clearmostly clearsome cloudsclearclearclearclearclearclearclearcloudymostly clearsome cloudsclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclear
Summit2,225 mModeled
Temp°C6°11°4°0°7°-1°0°11°0°3°11°2°1°9°2°3°13°3°4°14°5°
Feels like°C3°8°1°-3°4°-4°-3°8°-3°-1°8°-1°-2°7°-1°0°11°1°2°13°3°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h7103583432595352242231
Mid-mountain1,678 mModeled
Temp°C9°15°8°4°11°3°4°14°4°6°15°6°4°13°5°7°17°6°8°18°8°
Feels like°C7°12°6°1°8°0°1°12°1°4°12°3°2°11°3°4°15°5°6°17°7°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h7103583432595352242231
Base1,130 mModeled
Temp°C13°18°11°7°15°6°8°18°7°10°18°9°8°17°9°10°20°10°11°22°12°
Feels like°C11°16°10°5°12°4°5°16°5°8°16°7°6°15°7°8°19°9°11°22°11°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h7103583432595352242231
Humidity%764676743680693473663970854178623979834787
0°C linem—————————————————————
Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Argentiere, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Argentiere (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Argentiere El Niño rank & forecast

Argentiere ranks #232 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier C, −1% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier C — ENSO-proof: Strong El Niño winters looked like a normal year here — within about ±3% of this resort’s own 30-year snowfall average. Not a jackpot, not a bust: a hedge if you’re planning around El Niño.

#232 of 488Tier C — ENSO-proof

Strong-event signal: −1% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Argentiere averaged -1% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. El Niño has historically made little difference here — this is an ENSO-proof mountain, for winter 2026-27 as in past events. Analog winters: '97-98 -13%, '15-16 +0%, '23-24 +9%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −13%'15-16 0%'23-24 +9%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Argentiere, ERA5 season snowfall median was 313 cm (123 in), about 4% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

313cm

10 El Niño winters · 4% below median

All-season median

326cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10313cm265cm – 358cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12336cm281cm – 436cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8276cm213cm – 411cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Argentiere

How much snow is Argentiere getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Argentiere over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Argentiere?
The full 14-day forecast for Argentiere — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Argentiere?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.