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Blue Mountain Resort ski resort

North America

Blue Mountain Resort Snow Forecast

Projected to open December 4, 2026

Best months to book: February, January, December · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Dec 4 — closed March 28

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Oct 16, 11:02 AM•Weather at base: 220m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Projected to open Dec 4

Blue Mountain Resort is projected to open December 4, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, January, December. Best weeks: 22 Feb–28 Feb, 15 Mar–21 Mar, 1 Mar–7 Mar.3Dec2Jan1FebMarAprOpens 4 DecCloses 28 Mar

Best months to book

  1. #1February32cm avg · last season 32.6
  2. #2January42cm avg
  3. #3December45cm avg

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 22 Feb – 28 Feb · last season 32.6
  2. #2 15 Mar – 21 Mar · last season 25.9
  3. #3 1 Mar – 7 Mar · last season 20.3

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 16 at 11:02 AM

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Next 6 days
Days 8–14 · Pro
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14 daystotal
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SunOct 4
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Freezing line

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

Hourly Forecast

16 Fri
14° / 5°
17 Sat
6° / 3°
18 Sun
14° / 5°
19 Mon
14° / 6°
20 Tue
11° / 6°
21 Wed
13° / 5°
22 Thu
13° / 3°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight23 Fri24 Sat25 Sun26 Mon27 Tue28 Wed29 Thu
Conditions🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️☀️☀️
drizzlelight drizzledrizzlelight drizzleclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearmostly clearclearclear
Summit480 mModeled
Temp°C10°7°7°2°5°3°6°13°7°9°15°9°7°13°7°6°13°7°7°13°8°
Feels like°C10°3°3°-3°1°-1°3°9°4°5°12°6°7°10°6°4°9°5°3°10°6°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm4.34.513.20.1·0.6···············
Windkm/h1829212515231917188786958107367
Mid-mountain350 mModeled
Temp°C11°8°7°3°6°4°7°14°8°10°16°9°8°14°8°7°14°8°8°14°9°
Feels like°C11°4°4°-2°2°0°4°10°5°6°13°7°8°11°8°5°10°7°4°11°7°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm4.34.313.10.1·0.6···············
Windkm/h1829212515231917188786958107367
Base220 mModeled
Temp°C11°9°8°4°7°5°8°15°9°10°17°10°9°15°8°7°15°8°8°15°9°
Feels like°C12°5°5°-1°3°1°5°11°6°7°14°8°9°12°9°6°11°8°5°12°8°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm3.03.212.40.10.10.6···············
Windkm/h1829212515231917188786958107367
Humidity%958487655372815567625669868484866085907185
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Blue Mountain Resort, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Blue Mountain Resort (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Eastern Canada region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Blue Mountain Resort El Niño rank & forecast

Blue Mountain Resort ranks #290 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier D, −6% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar: Often a bit lighter early (−3% to −8% vs normal). History favors waiting for peak-depth months (often Feb–Mar) rather than skipping the resort.

#290 of 488Tier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar

Strong-event signal: −6% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Blue Mountain Resort averaged -6% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. Historically this is a timing play rather than a reason to stay home: aim for late winter (February–March) in winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 +4%, '15-16 -1%, '23-24 -20%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 +4%'15-16 −1%'23-24 −20%

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Blue Mountain Resort, ERA5 season snowfall median was 178 cm (70 in), about 2% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

178cm

10 El Niño winters · 2% below median

All-season median

181cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10178cm164cm – 188cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12182cm159cm – 210cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8198cm180cm – 208cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about Blue Mountain Resort

How much snow is Blue Mountain Resort getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Blue Mountain Resort over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Blue Mountain Resort?
The full 14-day forecast for Blue Mountain Resort — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Blue Mountain Resort?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.