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St-Luc/Chandolin Domaine Skiable ski resort
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Tier B — Favored

Europe

St-Luc/Chandolin Domaine Skiable Snow Forecast

Closed for the season

Season ended April 12, 2026

Best months to book: March, January, February · 30-yr snow record

Closed for the season — closed April 12

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Jan 16

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

0cm

7-Day Forecast

0cm

Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 22, 12:05 AM•Weather at base: 1,680m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Closed for the season

St-Luc/Chandolin Domaine Skiable is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, January, February.Dec2Jan3Feb1MarAprOpens 18 DecCloses 12 Apr

March

#1 to book

73cm avg

January

#2 to book

85cm avg

February

#3 to book

71cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,900m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 22, 2026 at 12:05 AM

0cm
24h
0cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
0
Prev10d
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Now22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
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S27
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M28
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

22 Tue
8° / 3°
23 Wed
7° / 1°
24 Thu
6° / -0°
25 Fri
7° / -0°
26 Sat
10° / 5°
27 Sun
10° / 3°
28 Mon
9° / 2°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun5 Mon
Conditions☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️⛅⛅🌤️⛅⛅☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☁️☀️☁️☁️☁️
clearclearclearclearclearclearsome cloudssome cloudsmostly clearsome cloudssome cloudsclearclearclearclearclearcloudyclearcloudycloudycloudy
Summit2,900 mModeled
Temp°C5°7°4°4°7°3°3°6°1°3°7°3°6°10°6°5°9°5°4°8°4°
Feels like°C1°4°0°1°4°0°-1°2°-3°-1°3°-1°3°7°3°2°7°3°1°6°2°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h5835735117584353112121
Mid-mountain2,290 mModeled
Temp°C5°15°5°6°15°6°5°13°5°4°15°5°7°17°7°6°17°8°5°15°8°
Feels like°C2°12°3°3°12°3°2°10°2°0°11°2°3°14°4°4°13°5°2°12°5°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h282282272171161131232
Base1,680 mModeled
Temp°C9°19°9°10°19°9°9°17°8°8°19°9°11°21°11°10°20°12°9°19°12°
Feels like°C7°16°7°8°16°8°6°14°6°5°15°7°8°18°9°8°18°10°7°17°10°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h282282272171161131232
Humidity%512369563264543066461457372044541845663456
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for St-Luc/Chandolin Domaine Skiable, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For St-Luc/Chandolin Domaine Skiable (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

St-Luc/Chandolin Domaine Skiable El Niño rank & forecast

St-Luc/Chandolin Domaine Skiable ranks Under review SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +7% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

Under reviewTier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +7% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

This resort carries no separate rank: its 30-year record is identical to st-luc-chandolin, which is the ranked entry for this measurement. At ~31km resolution the reanalysis cannot resolve them as different mountains, so publishing both would be publishing one number twice.

'97-98 −16%'15-16 +1%'23-24 +36%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at St-Luc/Chandolin Domaine Skiable, ERA5 season snowfall median was 473 cm (186 in), about 10% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

473cm

10 El Niño winters · 10% below median

All-season median

528cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10473cm448cm – 558cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12553cm493cm – 602cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8534cm487cm – 547cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about St-Luc/Chandolin Domaine Skiable

How much snow is St-Luc/Chandolin Domaine Skiable getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at St-Luc/Chandolin Domaine Skiable over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for St-Luc/Chandolin Domaine Skiable?
The full 14-day forecast for St-Luc/Chandolin Domaine Skiable — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for St-Luc/Chandolin Domaine Skiable?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.