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Vigiljoch (Monte San Vigilio) – Lana ski resort
Tier B — Favored

Europe

Vigiljoch (Monte San Vigilio) – Lana Snow Forecast

Closed for the season

Season ended April 5, 2026

Best months to book: March, February, January · 30-yr snow record

Closed for the season — closed April 5

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Jan 18

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

0cm

7-Day Forecast

0cm

Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 22, 9:05 PM•Weather at base: 1,486m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Closed for the season

Vigiljoch (Monte San Vigilio) – Lana is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, January.Dec3Jan2Feb1MarAprOpens 14 DecCloses 5 Apr

March

#1 to book

50cm avg

February

#2 to book

41cm avg

January

#3 to book

41cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

1,814m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 22, 2026 at 9:05 PM

0cm
24h
0cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
0
Prev10d
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Now22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
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S27
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M28
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

22 Tue
11° / 4°
23 Wed
13° / 4°
24 Thu
14° / 6°
25 Fri
13° / 2°
26 Sat
14° / 6°
27 Sun
14° / 8°
28 Mon
13° / 8°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun5 Mon
Conditions☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☁️☀️☀️☁️🌤️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️🌤️⛅
clearclearclearclearclearclearclearcloudyclearclearcloudymostly clearclearclearclearclearclearclearmostly clearmostly clearsome clouds
Summit1,814 mModeled
Temp°C6°11°5°6°12°6°8°13°8°5°12°6°9°14°8°9°13°9°9°13°9°
Feels like°C2°8°2°3°10°3°6°12°5°2°10°3°6°13°6°7°12°7°7°12°8°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm········0.3············
Windkm/h444212233323222141141
Mid-mountain1,650 mModeled
Temp°C7°12°6°7°13°7°9°15°9°6°13°7°10°15°9°10°14°10°10°14°10°
Feels like°C4°10°3°5°12°5°7°13°6°3°12°4°7°14°7°8°14°8°9°13°9°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm········0.3············
Windkm/h444212233323222141141
Base1,486 mModeled
Temp°C9°13°8°8°14°8°10°16°10°7°14°8°11°16°10°11°15°11°11°15°11°
Feels like°C5°11°4°6°13°6°8°14°7°4°13°6°9°15°8°9°15°9°10°15°10°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm········0.3············
Windkm/h444212233323222141141
Humidity%293247465351464453514867405253446259637276
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Vigiljoch (Monte San Vigilio) – Lana, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Vigiljoch (Monte San Vigilio) – Lana (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Vigiljoch (Monte San Vigilio) – Lana El Niño rank & forecast

Vigiljoch (Monte San Vigilio) – Lana ranks Under review SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +6% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

Under reviewTier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +6% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

This resort carries no separate rank: its 30-year record is identical to vigiljoch, which is the ranked entry for this measurement. At ~31km resolution the reanalysis cannot resolve them as different mountains, so publishing both would be publishing one number twice.

'97-98 −10%'15-16 0%'23-24 +26%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Vigiljoch (Monte San Vigilio) – Lana, ERA5 season snowfall median was 373 cm (147 in), about 1% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

373cm

10 El Niño winters · 1% below median

All-season median

376cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10373cm345cm – 393cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12395cm338cm – 423cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8361cm281cm – 465cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Vigiljoch (Monte San Vigilio) – Lana

How much snow is Vigiljoch (Monte San Vigilio) – Lana getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Vigiljoch (Monte San Vigilio) – Lana over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Vigiljoch (Monte San Vigilio) – Lana?
The full 14-day forecast for Vigiljoch (Monte San Vigilio) – Lana — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Vigiljoch (Monte San Vigilio) – Lana?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.