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Storm WatchLikely

Early-November North Atlantic System

1 resort in the path, 34cm at the biggest. Likely — the models agree on this one.

+34CM

Predicted at Narvik

Storm

Nov 2–4

1 resort in the path

Peak

Nov 3

13cm at Narvik

Predicted

34cm

Narvik

Confidence

Likely

Updated

Oct 28, 18:30 UTC

S

SnowSure Forecaster

Written from the blend and the model spread · updated Oct 28, 18:30 UTC

We are watching a west-northwest flow running at up to 117 km/h at 700mb into the Alps and wider Europe, with the surface low down to 1016.1 hPa between 2026-11-02 and 2026-11-04. It is carrying moisture up to 14.2 kg/m², with mid-level temperatures of -17°C to -7.2°C through the mountains. Narvik carries the biggest signal at 33.5cm across the window, with 6.3 models contributing on average. At Narvik the freezing level on the snow days sits between base and summit: snow on the upper mountain, rain possible low down. At 117 km/h aloft we would expect wind holds on upper lifts and a lot of the snow moved around. The call changes if model agreement loosens, the window slides later, or the freezing level trends higher.

Snow by day

Nov 1 – Nov 5, with a day either side. For each resort: where the freeze line sits against the mountain, then what falls — snow in cm, rain in mm — and the day read from those two numbers.

Narvikbase 136 m · summit 1,006 m

—cm snow

no daily data

How the call moved-13cm
4634Oct 27Oct 28

No daily series on file for these resorts yet.

Rain / snow line

Base to summit for each mountain, with the snow line cut across them.

Snow line against every mountain in Early-November North Atlantic System

Enlarge rain / snow line

The system

700mb flow — where the storm is, and what is steering it. Pins sized by forecast total.

700mb flow map for Early-November North Atlantic System

72-hour snowfall forecast for the same window.

Loading forecast map…
scandinavia 72h snowfall forecast — Snowsure

In the path

Forecast, not observation — none of this has fallen yet. Totals are across the window. We will post what fell when the window closes.

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Last updated 2026-10-28 18:30 UTC. SnowSure scans a blend of seven weather models twice daily and flags systems clearing 30cm over 72 hours, three to fourteen days out. This watch opened on 2026-10-27 with 46cm forecast at Narvik.