
Mid-November North Atlantic System
3 resorts in the path, 70cm at the biggest. Likely — the models agree on this one.
+70CM
Predicted at Aiguille du Midi
9–167cm, models far apart
Storm
Nov 14–22
3 resorts in the path
Peak
Nov 14
15cm at Stranda
Predicted
70cm
Aiguille du Midi · 9–167cm, models far apart
Confidence
Likely
Updated
Nov 12, 06:30 UTC
SnowSure Forecaster
Written from the blend and the model spread · updated Nov 12, 06:30 UTC
Current prediction: 9–167cm for Stranda between 2026-11-14 and 2026-11-22, 70cm our central figure. The biggest day is 2026-11-14 at 15cm. Also in the path: Myrkdalen 28cm, Voss 26cm. Confidence is likely: the models agree on both the window and the magnitude. These figures are re-read from the latest model blend; each entry in the log keeps what we said at the time.
Forecast log
Every entry, newest first. Nothing is overwritten.
- Day 4·Nov 12·Watching·117cm(-4)
Confidence watching: 117cm for Aiguille du Midi Nov 15–21
Day 4: top total down 4.3cm since the previous entry and the window start moved one day later. We are currently predicting a window from November 15 to November 21, with Aiguille du Midi leading at 117.1cm, followed closely by La Grave at 114.8cm and Alpe d'Huez at 113.2cm. Confidence remains watching across the board, with trends strengthening for several resorts. As we approach the window, we will monitor the developments closely, particularly for resorts like Les Deux Alpes and Grands Montets, which are also showing promising totals.
Window Nov 15–21 · Aiguille du Midi
- Day 3·Nov 11·Watching·121cm(+70)
Confidence watching: 121cm for Aiguille du Midi Nov 14–22
Day 3: totals up 69.7cm since the previous entry and the window start moved 3 days earlier. The forecast for the mid-November North Atlantic system indicates a window from November 14 to November 22, with Aiguille du Midi leading at 121.4cm, followed by Grands Montets at 106.6cm and Glacier 3000 at 100.2cm. Confidence remains watching across the board, with the biggest day expected on November 18 at Aiguille du Midi with 30.5cm. We will continue to monitor the situation closely as we approach the opening of the window.
Window Nov 14–22 · Aiguille du Midi
- Day 2·Nov 10·Watching·52cmFirst prediction
Confidence growing: 51.7cm for Aiguille du Midi Nov 17–21
The prediction for the mid-November North Atlantic system indicates 51.7cm for Aiguille du Midi, with a range of 3.1–136.9cm. Current patterns suggest a favorable setup for snowfall across the Alps and wider Europe, though confidence remains variable and trends are still developing. Among the resorts, Aiguille du Midi appears to lead, followed closely by Alpe d'Huez with 45.2cm and La Grave at 43.6cm. Krvavec is expected to receive less, totaling 33.8cm. A shift in the forecast could occur if models show a significant change in storm intensity or trajectory.
Window Nov 17–21 · Aiguille du Midi
Snow by day
Nov 13 – Nov 23, with a day either side. For each resort: where the freeze line sits against the mountain, then what falls — snow in cm, rain in mm — and the day read from those two numbers.
Strandabase 430 m · summit 1,151 m
70cm snow
Modelled at the summit, 1,151 m · snow to the base
linem
/ raincm · mm
Fri
Nov 13
Snow
Sat
Nov 14
Snow
Sun
Nov 15
Snow
Mon
Nov 16
Snow
Tue
Nov 17
Snow
Wed
Nov 18
Snow
Thu
Nov 19
Snow
Fri
Nov 20
Snow
Sat
Nov 21
Snow
Sun
Nov 22
Snow
Mon
Nov 23
Snow
snow every day
Myrkdalenbase 450 m · summit 1,060 m
28cm snow18mm rain
Modelled at the summit, 1,060 m · snow above 679 m
linem
/ raincm · mm
Fri
Nov 13
Dry
Sat
Nov 14
Mixed
Sun
Nov 15
Mixed
Mon
Nov 16
Mixed
Tue
Nov 17
Snow
Wed
Nov 18
Dry
Thu
Nov 19
Dry
Fri
Nov 20
Snow
Sat
Nov 21
Snow
Sun
Nov 22
Snow
Mon
Nov 23
Snow
snow Tue, Fri, Sat, Sun · rain low, snow high Sat, Sun, Mon (above about 679 m)
Vossbase 284 m · summit 964 m
26cm snow20mm rain
Modelled at the summit, 964 m · snow above 662 m
linem
/ raincm · mm
Fri
Nov 13
Dry
Sat
Nov 14
Mixed
Sun
Nov 15
Mixed
Mon
Nov 16
Snow
Tue
Nov 17
Snow
Wed
Nov 18
Dry
Thu
Nov 19
Snow
Fri
Nov 20
Snow
Sat
Nov 21
Snow
Sun
Nov 22
Snow
Mon
Nov 23
Snow
snow Mon, Tue, Thu, Fri, Sat, Sun · rain low, snow high Sat, Sun (above about 662 m)
snowrain low, snow highraindryThe dots are the freeze line — the height where rain turns to snow. Solid: straight from the models. Hollow: estimated from temperature. Above the summit line it rains on the whole mountain; below the base line it snows all the way down. Blue bars are snow in cm, amber bars rain in mm; the totals above are their sums.
Rain / snow line
Base to summit for each mountain, with the snow line cut across them.
The system
700mb flow — where the storm is, and what is steering it. Pins sized by forecast total.
72-hour snowfall forecast for the same window.

In the path
Forecast, not observation — none of this has fallen yet. Totals are across the window. We will post what fell when the window closes.
Last updated 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC. SnowSure scans a blend of seven weather models twice daily and flags systems clearing 30cm over 72 hours, three to fourteen days out. This watch opened on 2026-11-09 with 30cm forecast at Stranda.








