Early-November Pacific System

1. Day 7·Nov 2·Likely·61cm(+6)

   Forecast: 60.8cm for Shames Mountain Nov 5–9

   Day 7: totals up 6.2cm since the previous entry and the window held. For the upcoming storm window from November 5 to November 9, we now predict 60.8cm for Shames Mountain, with a range of 16.2–115.5cm. The biggest day is expected to be November 7, with 19.1cm. Confidence remains likely, and we are on track with these totals. As we approach the event, we will continue to monitor the models for any shifts in timing or amounts.

   Window Nov 5–9 · Shames Mountain

2. Day 6·Nov 1·Likely·55cm(-3)

   Forecast: 54.6cm for Shames Mountain Nov 5–9

   Day 6: totals down 2.8cm since the previous entry and the window start moved 2 days later. Our current prediction for the early-November Pacific system shows Shames Mountain receiving 54.6cm over the window from November 5 to November 9, with a range of 13.6–112.4cm and the biggest day expected on November 8 at 15.4cm. Confidence is likely, but we note that trends have been delayed. As we approach the event, we will continue to monitor the data for any shifts in timing or totals.

   Window Nov 5–9 · Shames Mountain

3. Day 5·Oct 31·Watching·57cm(+4)

   Forecast: 57cm for Kirkwood, 25.6–90.8cm window Nov 3–11

   Day 5: totals up 12cm since the previous entry and the window held. We are now looking at a window from November 3 to November 11, with Kirkwood leading the pack at 57.4cm, followed closely by Bear Valley at 53.8cm. Other notable totals include Sierra at Tahoe with 48.6cm and China Peak at 44cm. Confidence remains in the watching phase, and we will continue to monitor the situation closely as we approach the start of the window.

   Window Nov 3–11 · Kirkwood

4. Day 4·Oct 30·Watching·53cmFirst prediction

   Forecast: 53cm for Mt. Washington, 0–123.4cm window Nov 5–9

   The prediction for the early-November Pacific system indicates a total of 53cm for Mt. Washington, with a range of 0–123.4cm. Current patterns suggest a favorable setup for snowfall across parts of North America, but confidence levels vary. Mt. Washington stands to benefit the most, while Alyeska Resort and Shames Mountain may see less accumulation, with trends weakening for both. Alyeska is projected to receive 39cm, and Shames Mountain 38cm, but these totals could shift as the event approaches. A change in the storm's trajectory or intensity could significantly alter these forecasts.

   Window Nov 5–9 · Mt. Washington

snowrain low, snow highraindryThe dots are the freeze line — the height where rain turns to snow. Solid: straight from the models. Hollow: estimated from temperature. Above the summit line it rains on the whole mountain; below the base line it snows all the way down. Blue bars are snow in cm, amber bars rain in mm; the totals above are their sums.

Enlarge rain / snow line

• LiveKirkwoodbiggest day 56cm on 11 Nov · newPredicted57cm
• LiveBear Valleybiggest day 53cm on 11 Nov · newPredicted54cm
• LiveSierra at Tahoebiggest day 48cm on 11 Nov · newPredicted49cm
• LiveChina Peakbiggest day 44cm on 11 Nov · newPredicted44cm
• Sugar Bowlbiggest day 42cm on 11 Nov · newPredicted43cm
• LiveBoreal Mountain Resortbiggest day 42cm on 11 Nov · newPredicted42cm
• LiveDodge Ridgebiggest day 42cm on 11 Nov · newPredicted42cm
• Donner Ski Ranchbiggest day 41cm on 11 Nov · newPredicted42cm
• LiveShames Mountainbiggest day 13cm on 6 Nov · weakeningPredicted40cm
• Homewood Mountainbiggest day 40cm on 11 Nov · newPredicted40cm
• LiveWhistler Blackcombbiggest day 17cm on 7 Nov · weakeningPredicted36cm
• LiveJune Mountainbiggest day 30cm on 11 Nov · newPredicted30cm