Africa
Fair · 2026 season average
Closed for the season · average of 86 verified open days
Best months to book: August, July, June · last season + 30-yr record
Scroll for happiness
Closed for the season — closed August 31
Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.
Last Snowfall
Sep 18
3d agoPast 24 Hours
0cm
Past 48 Hours
0cm
Past 10 Days
34cm
7-Day Forecast
0cm
Snow Depth
--
Powder Days
8
2026 season
Bluebird Days
3
2026 season
Fair
2026 season average
Afriski is closed for the season. Last season it averaged 21.4 across 86 verified open days.
August
#1 to book
12cm avg · scored 30.1
July
#2 to book
9cm avg · scored 17.7
June
#3 to book
9cm avg · scored 14.9
Best weeks to book
Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2026) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. Last season's strongest fortnight was 2 Aug – 15 Aug. One season describes what happened, not what to expect. The live score returns when the lifts turn.
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.
Unlock with ProHistorical data from Open-Meteo archive • Forecast: SnowSure™ multi-model blend
21 Mon 10° / 2° | 22 Tue 9° / 2° | 23 Wed 9° / 3° | 24 Thu 11° / 1° | 25 Fri 13° / 3° | 26 Sat 11° / 4° | 27 Sun 11° / 6° | Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | 28 Mon | 29 Tue | 30 Wed | 1 Thu | 2 Fri | 3 Sat | 4 Sun | |
| Conditions | ☁️ | 🌧️ | ☁️ | ☀️ | 🌧️ | ☀️ | ☁️ | 🌧️ | 🌤️ | 🌧️ | 🌧️ | ☁️ | 🌤️ | 🌧️ | ☀️ | ⛅ | 🌧️ | ☀️ | 🌧️ | 🌧️ | 🌧️ | |||||||
| cloudy | light drizzle | cloudy | clear | drizzle | clear | cloudy | light drizzle | mostly clear | light drizzle | light drizzle | cloudy | mostly clear | light drizzle | clear | some clouds | light drizzle | clear | light drizzle | light drizzle | light drizzle | ||||||||
| Summit3,222 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 6° | 9° | 3° | 7° | 8° | 3° | 7° | 9° | 4° | 7° | 10° | 4° | 9° | 12° | 5° | 9° | 10° | 5° | 8° | 10° | 6° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | 4° | 5° | 0° | 4° | 6° | 1° | 3° | 5° | 1° | 5° | 8° | 2° | 6° | 10° | 3° | 5° | 6° | 2° | 4° | 6° | 3° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 6.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.4 | · | 0.3 | 6.9 | 0.9 | · | 0.9 | 0.3 | · | 1.8 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 2.4 | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 5 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 10 | 22 | 24 | 16 | |||||||
| Mid-mountain3,070 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 7° | 10° | 4° | 8° | 9° | 4° | 8° | 10° | 5° | 8° | 11° | 5° | 10° | 13° | 6° | 10° | 11° | 6° | 9° | 11° | 7° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | 5° | 6° | 2° | 6° | 7° | 2° | 5° | 6° | 2° | 6° | 9° | 3° | 8° | 11° | 4° | 7° | 7° | 4° | 6° | 7° | 4° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 6.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.4 | · | 0.3 | 6.9 | 0.9 | · | 0.9 | 0.3 | · | 1.8 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 2.4 | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 5 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 10 | 22 | 24 | 16 | |||||||
| Base2,917 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 8° | 11° | 5° | 9° | 10° | 5° | 9° | 11° | 6° | 9° | 12° | 6° | 11° | 14° | 7° | 11° | 12° | 7° | 10° | 12° | 8° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | 6° | 8° | 3° | 7° | 8° | 4° | 6° | 8° | 4° | 8° | 10° | 4° | 9° | 13° | 5° | 8° | 9° | 5° | 7° | 8° | 5° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 6.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.4 | · | 0.3 | 6.9 | 0.9 | · | 0.9 | 0.3 | · | 1.8 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 2.4 | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 5 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 10 | 22 | 24 | 16 | |||||||
| Humidity% | 70 | 58 | 90 | 72 | 76 | 87 | 81 | 76 | 92 | 76 | 70 | 94 | 65 | 55 | 91 | 67 | 75 | 87 | 78 | 69 | 89 | |||||||
| 0°C linem | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||
| Sunhours | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.
Every model for Afriski, side by side for 14 days
Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.
Unlock with ProThe black line is not a simple average. For Afriski (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).
Building verification history for this resort.
How we verify forecasts →Southern Africa region
El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026
Afriski is under review in SnowSure's El Niño dataset — we will not publish a rank against a discontinuous historical series.
This station is under review and carries no rank: its 30-year ERA5 baseline falls below the 80cm floor our methodology commits to, so percentage swings computed on it are unstable by construction. We expect it to benefit from El Niño; our method cannot size that reliably.
In 6 past El Niño winters at Afriski, ERA5 season snowfall median was 69 cm (27 in), about 51% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.
Prevailing ONI
El Niño
JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C
Analog season median
69cm
6 El Niño winters · 51% above median
All-season median
46cm
Across 31 ERA5 seasons (2026)
| Phase | Seasons | Median | p25–p75 | Recent analogs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Niñocurrent | 6 | 69cm | 49cm – 73cm | 2026, 2023, 2015, 2009, 2002, 1997 |
| La Niña | 4 | 13cm | 10cm – 24cm | 2022, 2010, 1999, 1998 |
| ENSO-neutral | 21 | 49cm | 26cm – 73cm | 2025, 2024, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018 |
Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.
How accurate is this forecast?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.
