Name: SnowSure MCP Server
Author: SnowSure

Antelope Butte Mountain Recreation Area ski resort

Indy PassBuy pass

Tier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar

North America

Status unconfirmed

Best months to book: April, March, February · 30-yr snow record

Scroll for happiness

Status unconfirmed

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

Updated: Sep 22, 4:01 PM•Weather at base: 2,560m

SnowSure™ ScoreAI

Status unconfirmed

Antelope Butte Mountain Recreation Area is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

April

#1 to book

43cm avg

March

#2 to book

34cm avg

February

#3 to book

28cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

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Depth

Resort closed — no current ski-base depth.

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Recent

There has been no new snowfall recorded in the past week.

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Forecast

Dry for the next 7 days.

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Historic

Season-to-date snow measurements are not available, while the 5-year average to date stands at 171cm.

Status unconfirmed · Data updated Tue, Sep 22, 04:01 PM UTC · informational only

Snow Summary

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ECMWF GFS GEM JMA ICON Météo-Fr

Updated Sep 22, 2026 at 4:01 PM

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7-Day Forecast

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Now22

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T24

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F25

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S26

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S27

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M28

Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro

Past

Today

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Past 10 Days

7-Day Forecast

Days 8–14

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Previous10 Days

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TODAYSep 22

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WedSep 23

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ThuSep 24

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FriSep 25

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SatSep 26

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SunSep 27

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MonSep 28

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.

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Previous 10 Days

Today / High Snow

7-Day Forecast

Weekend

Historical data from Open-Meteo archive • Forecast: SnowSure™ multi-model blend

Hourly Forecast

	22 Tue 15° / 3°			23 Wed 11° / 4°			24 Thu 16° / 4°			25 Fri 15° / 5°			26 Sat 16° / 7°			27 Sun 16° / 7°			28 Mon 14° / 5°			Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	29 Tue	30 Wed	1 Thu	2 Fri	3 Sat	4 Sun	5 Mon
Conditions	☀️	🌤️	☀️	⛅	🌧️	🌧️	☁️	☁️	☁️	⛅	🌧️	☀️	⛅	⛅	🌤️	☀️	🌧️	🌤️	⛅	🌧️	☁️	☀️	☀️	☀️	❄️	❄️	☀️	☀️
	clear	mostly clear	clear	some clouds	light drizzle	light drizzle	cloudy	cloudy	cloudy	some clouds	light drizzle	clear	some clouds	some clouds	mostly clear	clear	light drizzle	mostly clear	some clouds	light drizzle	cloudy	clear	clear	clear	light snow	light snow	clear	clear
SummitModeled
Temp°C	9°	15°	6°	7°	11°	6°	9°	15°	7°	10°	14°	8°	12°	15°	9°	11°	15°	9°	10°	13°	8°	8°	10°	11°	10°	5°	4°	9°
Feels like°C	6°	12°	3°	5°	8°	4°	7°	12°	5°	7°	11°	5°	7°	11°	5°	7°	11°	6°	7°	10°	5°	5°	7°	8°	7°	2°	2°	6°
Snowcm	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	0.5	0.9	·	·
Precipmm	·	·	0.5	1.1	0.7	2.8	·	·	·	·	0.3	·	·	·	·	0.2	0.7	·	·	0.5	0.1	·	·	·	6.8	16.6	·	·
Windkm/h	6	11	8	8	9	8	3	9	3	9	12	7	15	19	9	10	15	5	6	7	3	8	7	9	10	8	7	5
Mid-mountainModeled
Temp°C	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Feels like°C	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Snowcm	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Precipmm	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Windkm/h	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Base2,560 mModeled
Temp°C	9°	15°	6°	7°	11°	6°	9°	15°	7°	10°	14°	8°	12°	15°	9°	11°	15°	9°	10°	13°	8°	8°	10°	11°	10°	5°	4°	9°
Feels like°C	6°	12°	3°	5°	8°	4°	7°	12°	5°	7°	11°	5°	7°	11°	5°	7°	11°	6°	7°	10°	5°	5°	7°	8°	7°	2°	2°	6°
Snowcm	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	0.5	0.9	·	·
Precipmm	·	·	0.5	1.1	0.7	2.8	·	·	·	·	0.3	·	·	·	·	0.2	0.7	·	·	0.5	0.1	·	·	·	6.8	16.6	·	·
Windkm/h	6	11	8	8	9	8	3	9	3	9	12	7	15	19	9	10	15	5	6	7	3	8	7	9	10	8	7	5
Humidity%	62	37	68	83	64	84	55	40	66	64	48	57	39	31	46	41	35	46	54	49	63	69	46	34	54	80	66	50
0°C linem	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3,355	3,720	4,160	3,290	3,115	3,675	3,660
Sunhours																						9.9	10.1	9.9	9	6	9.7	9

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Antelope Butte Mountain Recreation Area, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

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SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Antelope Butte Mountain Recreation Area (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Northern Rockies & Canadian Rockies region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Antelope Butte Mountain Recreation Area El Niño rank & forecast

Antelope Butte Mountain Recreation Area ranks #295 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier D, −6% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar: Often a bit lighter early (−3% to −8% vs normal). History favors waiting for peak-depth months (often Feb–Mar) rather than skipping the resort.

#295 of 488Tier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar

Strong-event signal: −6% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Antelope Butte Mountain Recreation Area averaged -6% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. Historically this is a timing play rather than a reason to stay home: aim for late winter (February–March) in winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -10%, '15-16 -27%, '23-24 +19%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −10%'15-16 −27%'23-24 +19%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

Key

What the tiers mean

% vs each resort's own 30-year average in strong El Niño winters.

Tier	Signal	Means
A — Prime terrain	≥ +8%	Historically much snowier than normal.
B — Favored	+3% to +8%	Modest upside vs normal.
C — ENSO-proof	about −3% to +3%	Near-normal snowfall — a hedge, not a jackpot or bust.
D — Late bloomer	−3% to −8%	Often lighter early — aim Feb–Mar.
E — Timing play	≤ −8%	Often lighter overall — aim late winter.

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Antelope Butte Mountain Recreation Area, ERA5 season snowfall median was 263 cm (104 in), about this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

263cm

10 El Niño winters · ≈ long-term median

All-season median

262cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

Phase	Seasons	Median	p25–p75	Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent	10	263cm	237cm – 271cm	2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña	12	249cm	235cm – 288cm	2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral	8	270cm	210cm – 308cm	2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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