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Arabba ski resort
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Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Europe

Arabba Snow Forecast

Closed for the season

Season ended April 19, 2026

Best months to book: March, February, January · 30-yr snow record

Closed for the season — closed April 19

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 20, 12:00 PM•Weather at base: 1,602m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Closed for the season

Arabba is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, January.Dec3Jan2Feb1MarAprOpens 6 DecCloses 19 Apr

March

#1 to book

41cm avg

February

#2 to book

35cm avg

January

#3 to book

32cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

3,269m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM

0cm
24h
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Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
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Prev10d
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Now20
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M21
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T22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

20 Sun
8° / -2°
21 Mon
5° / -4°
22 Tue
2° / -8°
23 Wed
3° / -8°
24 Thu
4° / -6°
25 Fri
4° / -7°
26 Sat
8° / -4°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight27 Sun28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat
Conditions🌤️🌤️🌤️⛅☁️⛅☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️☀️☀️🌧️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️
mostly clearmostly clearmostly clearsome cloudscloudysome cloudsclearclearclearclearmostly clearclearclearlight drizzleclearclearclearclearclearclearclear
Summit3,269 mModeled
Temp°C2°8°1°0°5°-1°-4°1°-5°-4°2°-5°-1°3°-4°-4°3°-4°-1°6°-1°
Feels like°C-1°5°-2°-3°1°-5°-9°-3°-9°-8°-1°-8°-5°-1°-8°-8°0°-8°-4°4°-4°
Snowcm·············0.10.2······
Precipmm·············0.30.3······
Windkm/h15149451142612104362121
Mid-mountain2,436 mModeled
Temp°C7°13°6°6°10°4°1°7°0°1°8°0°4°8°1°1°9°1°4°12°4°
Feels like°C5°11°4°3°7°1°-3°3°-3°-2°5°-3°1°5°-2°-2°6°-2°2°10°2°
Snowcm··············0.1······
Precipmm·············0.30.3······
Windkm/h15149451142612104362121
Base1,602 mModeled
Temp°C12°19°11°11°16°10°6°12°5°7°13°6°9°13°6°7°14°7°10°17°9°
Feels like°C11°18°10°9°13°7°3°9°3°4°11°4°8°11°4°5°12°5°8°17°8°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·············0.30.3······
Windkm/h15149451142612104362121
Humidity%704971634265513265634764695776694572645274
0°C linem—————————————————————
Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Arabba, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Arabba (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Arabba El Niño rank & forecast

Arabba ranks #50 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +12% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#50 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +12% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Arabba averaged +12% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Arabba sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 -20%, '15-16 -20%, '23-24 +75%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −20%'15-16 −20%'23-24 +75%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Arabba, ERA5 season snowfall median was 240 cm (94 in), about 11% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

240cm

10 El Niño winters · 11% below median

All-season median

270cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10240cm180cm – 408cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12294cm229cm – 398cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8285cm208cm – 329cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Arabba

How much snow is Arabba getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Arabba over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Arabba?
The full 14-day forecast for Arabba — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Arabba?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.