El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27
Arosa Lenzerheide El Niño rank & forecast
Arosa Lenzerheide ranks #87 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +9% in strong El Niño winters.
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).
#87 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain
Strong-event signal: +9% vs this resort's 30-yr avg
In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Arosa Lenzerheide averaged +9% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Arosa Lenzerheide sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 -3%, '15-16 -5%, '23-24 +37%. A pattern, not a promise.
'97-98 −3%'15-16 −6%'23-24 +37%
