Name: SnowSure MCP Server
Author: SnowSure

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

South America

Good

→stable

Scroll for happiness

Last Snowfall

Oct 5

today

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

1cm

Past 10 Days

17cm

7-Day Forecast

2cm

Snow Depth

70cm

Modeled

🎿

Powder Days

2026 season

Updated: Oct 5, 6:01 PM•Weather at base: 1,650m

SnowSure™ ScoreAI

Good

→stable

Exceptional season - 499cm already this season!

Batea Mahuida is currently experiencing overcast skies with a temperature of 5°C. The snow depth is estimated at 70cm, and the resort has received 14cm of new snow over the past week, contributing to a solid base for skiing.

AI-generated summary

✓

Depth

70cm depth — good coverage on most runs.

↓

Recent

In the last 7 days, the resort has seen 14cm of snowfall.

↓

Forecast

2cm in the next 7 days.

✓

Historic

Season-to-date snowfall is 120% of the 5-year average, which is 499cm compared to 417cm.

Data updated Mon, Oct 5, 06:01 PM UTC

Snow Summary

1,900m

ECMWF GFS GEM JMA ICON Météo-Fr

Updated Oct 5, 2026 at 6:01 PM

17cm

24h

2cm

Past 10d

7-Day Forecast

Prev10d

Now5

—

S10

—

S11

Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro

Past

Today

Forecast

17cm

24h

2cm

Pro

Past 10 Days

7-Day Forecast

Days 8–14

17cm

Previous10 Days

TODAYOct 5

TueOct 6

—

WedOct 7

ThuOct 8

—

FriOct 9

—

SatOct 10

—

SunOct 11

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.

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Previous 10 Days

Today / High Snow

7-Day Forecast

Weekend

Historical data from Open-Meteo archive • Forecast: SnowSure™ multi-model blend

Hourly Forecast

	5 Mon 5° / -2°			6 Tue 4° / -3°			7 Wed 4° / -3°			8 Thu 3° / -2°			9 Fri 5° / -3°			10 Sat 7° / -4°			11 Sun 8° / -1°			Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	12 Mon	13 Tue	14 Wed	15 Thu	16 Fri	17 Sat	18 Sun
Conditions	🌧️	☁️	🌧️	❄️	☁️	🌧️	☁️	🌧️	🌧️	⛅	☁️	☁️	⛅	🌧️	🌧️	☁️	☁️	☁️	🌧️	🌧️	🌧️	🌧️	☁️	🌤️	🌧️	☁️	🌤️	🌧️
	light drizzle	cloudy	light drizzle	light snow	cloudy	light drizzle	cloudy	light drizzle	light drizzle	some clouds	cloudy	cloudy	some clouds	light drizzle	light drizzle	cloudy	cloudy	cloudy	light drizzle	light drizzle	light drizzle	light drizzle	cloudy	mostly clear	light drizzle	cloudy	mostly clear	light drizzle
Summit1,900 mModeled
Temp°C	-1°	4°	-1°	-2°	2°	-1°	0°	4°	-1°	0°	3°	-1°	-1°	4°	-1°	-2°	6°	0°	0°	6°	1°	1°	2°	2°	2°	1°	3°	2°
Feels like°C	-4°	0°	-5°	-5°	-1°	-4°	-3°	0°	-4°	-3°	0°	-4°	-4°	2°	-4°	-5°	4°	-3°	-2°	3°	-2°	-2°	-0°	0°	-0°	-1°	0°	-1°
Snowcm	0.3	·	0.9	3.9	0.7	4.1	0.1	·	1.4	·	·	0.1	0.1	·	0.3	·	·	0.8	0.3	·	0.8	1.8	·	·	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.3
Precipmm	0.4	·	1.3	5.6	1.4	6.0	0.1	1.3	2.5	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.9	0.8	·	·	1.7	0.6	0.4	1.1	4.0	·	·	2.6	0.4	0.6	1.4
Windkm/h	5	10	6	3	4	2	5	10	4	5	9	5	5	8	4	3	4	2	1	8	4	5	4	3	8	9	3	10
Mid-mountain1,775 mModeled
Temp°C	0°	5°	0°	-1°	3°	0°	1°	4°	0°	1°	4°	0°	0°	5°	0°	-1°	7°	0°	1°	7°	2°	1°	2°	3°	3°	2°	3°	3°
Feels like°C	-3°	1°	-4°	-4°	0°	-3°	-2°	1°	-3°	-2°	1°	-3°	-3°	3°	-3°	-4°	5°	-2°	-1°	4°	-1°	-1°	0°	1°	1°	-1°	1°	0°
Snowcm	0.3	·	0.8	3.9	0.7	4.1	0.1	·	1	·	·	0.1	0.1	·	0.3	·	·	·	0.3	·	0.4	1.6	·	·	0.1	0.3	·	0.1
Precipmm	0.4	·	1.3	5.6	1.4	6.0	0.1	1.3	2.5	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.9	0.8	·	·	1.7	0.6	0.4	1.1	4.0	·	·	2.6	0.4	0.6	1.4
Windkm/h	5	10	6	3	4	2	5	10	4	5	9	5	5	8	4	3	4	2	1	8	4	5	4	3	8	9	3	10
Base1,650 mModeled
Temp°C	1°	6°	1°	0°	4°	1°	2°	5°	0°	2°	5°	1°	1°	6°	1°	-1°	8°	1°	2°	8°	2°	2°	3°	4°	4°	3°	4°	4°
Feels like°C	-2°	2°	-3°	-3°	1°	-2°	-1°	2°	-2°	-1°	1°	-2°	-2°	3°	-2°	-3°	6°	-1°	-1°	5°	0°	0°	1°	2°	2°	0°	2°	1°
Snowcm	0.3	·	0.8	3.9	0.1	4.1	0.1	·	0.7	·	·	0.1	0.1	·	0.2	·	·	·	0.2	·	0.3	1.3	·	·	0.1	0.3	·	·
Precipmm	0.4	·	1.3	5.6	1.4	6.0	0.1	1.3	2.5	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.9	0.8	·	·	1.7	0.6	0.4	1.1	4.0	·	·	2.6	0.4	0.6	1.4
Windkm/h	5	10	6	3	4	2	5	10	4	5	9	5	5	8	4	3	4	2	1	8	4	5	4	3	8	9	3	10
Humidity%	87	49	86	95	76	92	86	72	92	81	70	85	80	65	86	93	54	86	89	55	83	85	73	71	74	73	70	75
0°C linem	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2,200	2,250	2,350	2,500	2,500	1,950	1,900
Sunhours																						7.3	10.5	11.5	9.8	11	13	10.7

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Batea Mahuida, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

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SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Batea Mahuida (andes), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Andes (Chile & Argentina) region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026

Batea Mahuida El Niño rank & forecast

Batea Mahuida ranks #61 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +11% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#61 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +11% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Batea Mahuida averaged +11% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026, Batea Mahuida sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 -3%, '15-16 +7%, '23-24 +29%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −4%'15-16 +7%'23-24 +29%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

Key

What the tiers mean

% vs each resort's own 30-year average in strong El Niño winters.

Tier	Signal	Means
A — Prime terrain	≥ +8%	Historically much snowier than normal.
B — Favored	+3% to +8%	Modest upside vs normal.
C — ENSO-proof	about −3% to +3%	Near-normal snowfall — a hedge, not a jackpot or bust.
D — Late bloomer	−3% to −8%	Often lighter early — aim Feb–Mar.
E — Timing play	≤ −8%	Often lighter overall — aim late winter.

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 6 past El Niño winters at Batea Mahuida, ERA5 season snowfall median was 537 cm (211 in), about 5% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

537cm

6 El Niño winters · 5% above median

All-season median

514cm

Across 31 ERA5 seasons (2026)

Phase	Seasons	Median	p25–p75	Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent	6	537cm	477cm – 561cm	2026, 2023, 2015, 2009, 2002, 1997
La Niña	4	536cm	463cm – 559cm	2022, 2010, 1999, 1998
ENSO-neutral	21	483cm	407cm – 550cm	2025, 2024, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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