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Big Bear Mountain Resort ski resort
Ikon PassView resorts
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

North America

Big Bear Mountain Resort Snow Forecast

Off-season

Closed for the season · reopens Nov 22

Best months to book: February, January, March · 30-yr snow record

Off-season

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 21, 10:00 AM•Weather at base: 2,176m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Off-season

Big Bear Mountain Resort is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, January, March.NovDec2Jan1Feb3MarAprMay

February

#1 to book

32cm avg

January

#2 to book

27cm avg

March

#3 to book

22cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,684m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM

0cm
24h
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Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
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Prev10d
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Now21
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T22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
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S27
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

21 Mon
18° / 9°
22 Tue
16° / 7°
23 Wed
19° / 7°
24 Thu
18° / 9°
25 Fri
18° / 9°
26 Sat
18° / 6°
27 Sun
18° / 5°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun
Conditions☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌧️☀️☀️🌧️☀️☁️🌤️⛅⛅☀️☀️
clearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearlight drizzleclearclearlight drizzleclearcloudymostly clearsome cloudssome cloudsclearclear
Summit2,684 mModeled
Temp°C13°17°10°11°15°9°12°18°10°14°15°10°13°17°10°12°18°9°13°18°9°
Feels like°C9°14°7°8°12°6°9°15°7°11°13°8°11°15°8°9°16°6°9°15°5°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm··········3.30.3·0.6·······
Windkm/h66451537143775554524264
Mid-mountain2,430 mModeled
Temp°C14°18°12°13°17°10°14°20°11°16°17°12°15°19°12°14°19°11°14°20°11°
Feels like°C11°16°9°9°14°8°11°17°8°13°15°10°13°17°10°11°18°8°11°17°7°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm··········3.30.3·0.6·······
Windkm/h66451537143775554524264
Base2,176 mModeled
Temp°C16°20°13°14°19°12°16°22°13°18°19°14°16°21°14°15°21°13°16°21°13°
Feels like°C13°18°10°11°15°10°12°18°10°15°17°11°15°19°12°13°19°10°13°18°9°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm··········3.30.3·0.6·······
Windkm/h66451537143775554524264
Humidity%261939322943332038334852493358372240181227
0°C linem—————————————————————
Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Big Bear Mountain Resort, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Big Bear Mountain Resort (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

California & Sierra Nevada region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Big Bear Mountain Resort El Niño rank & forecast

Big Bear Mountain Resort ranks #14 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +25% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#14 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +25% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Big Bear Mountain Resort averaged +25% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Big Bear Mountain Resort sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 +0%, '15-16 -53%, '23-24 +128%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 0%'15-16 −53%'23-24 +128%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Big Bear Mountain Resort, ERA5 season snowfall median was 112 cm (44 in), about 25% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

112cm

10 El Niño winters · 25% above median

All-season median

89cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10112cm47cm – 244cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña1289cm55cm – 115cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral850cm30cm – 168cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about Big Bear Mountain Resort

How much snow is Big Bear Mountain Resort getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Big Bear Mountain Resort over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Big Bear Mountain Resort?
The full 14-day forecast for Big Bear Mountain Resort — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Big Bear Mountain Resort?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.