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Breckenridge ski resort
Epic PassView resorts
Tier C — ENSO-proof

North America

Breckenridge Snow Forecast

Closed for the season

Best months to book: April, March, February · last season + 30-yr record

Pre-season — not open yet — closed April 24

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 21, 10:00 PM•Weather at base: 2,926m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Pre-season — not open yet

Breckenridge is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: April, March, February. Best weeks: 12 Apr–15 Apr, 5 Apr–11 Apr, 29 Mar–4 Apr.NovDecJan3Feb2Mar1AprOpens 6 NovCloses 24 Apr

April

#1 to book

51cm avg · scored 26.1

March

#2 to book

41cm avg · scored 25.4

February

#3 to book

34cm avg · scored 31.9

Best weeks to book

  1. #112 Apr – 15 Aprscored 26.3
  2. #25 Apr – 11 Aprscored 24.4
  3. #329 Mar – 4 Aprscored 26.3

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

3,963m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM

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24h
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Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
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Prev10d
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Now21
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T22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
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S27
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

21 Mon
9° / -6°
22 Tue
11° / -3°
23 Wed
8° / -3°
24 Thu
3° / -1°
25 Fri
9° / -2°
26 Sat
10° / -5°
27 Sun
10° / -3°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun
Conditions☀️⛅☀️☀️🌧️⛅☁️☁️☁️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌤️🌤️☀️⛅🌤️☀️⛅🌧️⛅
clearsome cloudsclearclearlight drizzlesome cloudscloudycloudycloudylight drizzlelight drizzlelight drizzlemostly clearmostly clearclearsome cloudsmostly clearclearsome cloudslight drizzlesome clouds
Summit3,963 mModeled
Temp°C0°8°-2°2°10°0°1°7°0°0°2°0°2°8°0°0°9°-1°2°9°1°
Feels like°C-4°4°-5°-1°6°-3°-2°4°-3°-3°-2°-3°-2°3°-3°-3°5°-4°-1°6°-2°
Snowcm·····0.4···2.10.70.6··0.4······
Precipmm····1.21.8·0.3·3.01.61.2·0.40.7·0.20.1·0.50.1
Windkm/h313438647379681355123473
Mid-mountain3,445 mModeled
Temp°C3°12°2°6°13°3°5°11°4°4°5°3°5°11°4°3°13°3°5°13°4°
Feels like°C0°8°-2°3°10°0°2°8°1°1°2°1°2°7°1°0°9°0°2°10°2°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm····1.21.8·0.3·3.01.61.2·0.40.7·0.20.1·0.50.1
Windkm/h313438647379681355123473
Base2,926 mModeled
Temp°C6°15°5°9°16°7°8°14°7°7°9°7°8°15°7°7°16°6°9°16°8°
Feels like°C4°11°2°7°14°4°6°11°5°5°6°5°6°11°5°4°13°4°6°14°5°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm····1.21.8·0.3·3.01.61.2·0.40.7·0.20.1·0.50.1
Windkm/h313438647379681355123473
Humidity%622461713689864580958592813786763675593163
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Breckenridge, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Breckenridge (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Rockies & Southwest region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Breckenridge El Niño rank & forecast

Breckenridge ranks #190 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier C, +2% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier C — ENSO-proof: Strong El Niño winters looked like a normal year here — within about ±3% of this resort’s own 30-year snowfall average. Not a jackpot, not a bust: a hedge if you’re planning around El Niño.

#190 of 488Tier C — ENSO-proof

Strong-event signal: +2% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Breckenridge averaged +2% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline — effectively ENSO-proof. Breckenridge has held within a few percent of normal across every phase of the Pacific cycle, making it one of the safest bets of a record El Niño winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -16%, '15-16 +3%, '23-24 +18%.

'97-98 −16%'15-16 +3%'23-24 +18%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Breckenridge, ERA5 season snowfall median was 305 cm (120 in), about 1% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

305cm

10 El Niño winters · 1% above median

All-season median

301cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10305cm295cm – 333cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12299cm264cm – 316cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8289cm252cm – 320cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about Breckenridge

How much snow is Breckenridge getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Breckenridge over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Breckenridge?
The full 14-day forecast for Breckenridge — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Breckenridge?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.