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Cairngorm Mountain ski resort
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Europe

Cairngorm Mountain Snow Forecast

Closed for the season

Season ended April 5, 2026

Best months to book: February, January, March · 30-yr snow record

Closed for the season — closed April 5

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 20, 12:02 PM•Weather at base: 640m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Closed for the season

Cairngorm Mountain is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, January, March.Dec2Jan1Feb3MarAprOpens 18 DecCloses 5 Apr

February

#1 to book

44cm avg

January

#2 to book

49cm avg

March

#3 to book

35cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

1,245m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-FrMet Norway

Updated Sep 20, 2026 at 12:02 PM

0cm
24h
0cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
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Prev10d
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Now20
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M21
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T22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

20 Sun
6° / 2°
21 Mon
10° / 3°
22 Tue
10° / 7°
23 Wed
7° / 1°
24 Thu
4° / -1°
25 Fri
6° / 3°
26 Sat
5° / 3°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight27 Sun28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat
Conditions🌧️🌧️☁️🌧️☁️☁️☁️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌤️☁️☁️☁️🌧️🌧️☁️🌧️⛅🌧️
light drizzlelight drizzlecloudylight drizzlecloudycloudycloudylight drizzlelight drizzledrizzlelight drizzlemostly clearcloudycloudycloudylight drizzlelight drizzlecloudylight drizzlesome cloudslight drizzle
Summit1,245 mModeled
Temp°C3°6°3°5°9°6°8°9°8°5°4°4°1°4°2°3°5°3°3°4°3°
Feels like°C-3°0°-2°1°6°2°4°6°6°2°1°1°-3°-2°-3°-3°-2°-2°-2°-2°-2°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm0.70.70.80.7·0.20.20.56.59.03.312.9·0.15.80.61.63.01.40.22.4
Windkm/h2831211617141818118108132817313425242622
Mid-mountain943 mModeled
Temp°C5°8°5°7°11°8°10°11°10°7°6°6°3°6°4°5°7°5°5°6°5°
Feels like°C-1°2°0°3°8°5°7°9°9°5°3°4°-1°0°0°-1°1°0°0°0°0°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm0.70.70.80.7·0.20.20.56.59.03.312.9·0.15.80.61.63.01.40.22.4
Windkm/h2831211617141818118108132817313425242622
Base640 mModeled
Temp°C7°10°7°9°13°10°12°13°12°9°8°8°5°8°6°7°9°7°7°8°7°
Feels like°C2°4°3°6°11°7°9°11°11°7°5°6°1°2°2°2°3°3°3°3°3°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm0.70.70.80.7·0.20.20.56.59.03.312.9·0.15.80.61.63.01.40.22.4
Windkm/h2831211617141818118108132817313425242622
Humidity%907393929596999298998897928397968197927895
0°C linem—————————————————————
Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Cairngorm Mountain, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Cairngorm Mountain (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Scotland region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Cairngorm Mountain El Niño rank & forecast

Cairngorm Mountain ranks Under review SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +15% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

Under reviewTier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +15% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

This resort carries no separate rank: its 30-year record is identical to Cairngorm, which is the ranked entry for this measurement. At ~31km resolution the reanalysis cannot resolve them as different mountains, so publishing both would be publishing one number twice.

'97-98 −9%'15-16 +23%'23-24 +30%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Cairngorm Mountain, ERA5 season snowfall median was 212 cm (83 in), about 1% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

212cm

10 El Niño winters · 1% above median

All-season median

209cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10212cm173cm – 263cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12238cm197cm – 273cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8198cm190cm – 257cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about Cairngorm Mountain

How much snow is Cairngorm Mountain getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Cairngorm Mountain over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Cairngorm Mountain?
The full 14-day forecast for Cairngorm Mountain — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Cairngorm Mountain?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.