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Cascade Mountain ski resort
Tier B — Favored

North America

Cascade Mountain Snow Forecast

Pre-season — not open yet

Projected to open November 28, 2026

Best months to book: February, January, December · 30-yr snow record

Pre-season — not open yet

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Oct 5, 6:01 PM•Weather at base: 250m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Pre-season — not open yet

Cascade Mountain is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, January, December.Nov3Dec2Jan1FebMarAprMay

Best months to book

  1. #1February18cm avg
  2. #2January18cm avg
  3. #3December20cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

390m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Oct 5, 2026 at 6:01 PM

0cm
24h
0cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
0
Prev10d
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Now5
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T6
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W7
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T8
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F9
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S10
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S11
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

5 Mon
17° / 5°
6 Tue
20° / 10°
7 Wed
22° / 11°
8 Thu
17° / 8°
9 Fri
19° / 7°
10 Sat
24° / 15°
11 Sun
25° / 16°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight12 Mon13 Tue14 Wed15 Thu16 Fri17 Sat18 Sun
Conditions☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️☀️🌤️⛅☀️☁️🌤️☀️☀️🌤️🌧️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️
clearclearclearclearmostly clearclearmostly clearsome cloudsclearcloudymostly clearclearclearmostly clearlight drizzleclearclearclearclearclearclear
Summit390 mModeled
Temp°C8°16°9°13°20°13°14°21°14°10°16°11°11°18°11°17°23°17°18°24°18°
Feels like°C6°15°7°10°16°11°13°18°12°7°12°8°8°15°9°13°21°14°17°24°17°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·············0.11.1······
Windkm/h33617221481513121411101613232121141314
Mid-mountain320 mModeled
Temp°C9°16°9°13°20°14°14°21°15°11°16°11°11°19°12°17°24°18°19°24°19°
Feels like°C7°16°7°10°17°12°13°19°13°8°13°9°9°16°9°14°22°15°18°24°18°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·············0.11.1······
Windkm/h33617221481513121411101613232121141314
Base250 mModeled
Temp°C9°17°10°14°20°14°14°22°15°11°17°12°12°19°12°18°24°18°19°24°19°
Feels like°C8°16°8°11°18°12°14°19°14°8°13°9°9°17°10°14°23°15°18°25°19°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·············0.11.1······
Windkm/h33617221481513121411101613232121141314
Humidity%825282715177874575674467754872575659696276
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Cascade Mountain, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Cascade Mountain (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Great Lakes & Midwest region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Cascade Mountain El Niño rank & forecast

Cascade Mountain ranks #167 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +4% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

#167 of 488Tier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +4% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Cascade Mountain averaged +4% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically leaned mildly in this resort's favor for winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -12%, '15-16 +1%, '23-24 +22%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −12%'15-16 +1%'23-24 +22%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Cascade Mountain, ERA5 season snowfall median was 87 cm (34 in), about 14% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

87cm

10 El Niño winters · 14% above median

All-season median

76cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent1087cm70cm – 102cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña1276cm68cm – 106cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral874cm64cm – 97cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Cascade Mountain

How much snow is Cascade Mountain getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Cascade Mountain over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Cascade Mountain?
The full 14-day forecast for Cascade Mountain — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Cascade Mountain?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.