Asia
Chunkurchak Snow Forecast
Projected to open Dec 1
Projected to open December 1, 2026
Best months to book: March, April, February · 30-yr snow record
Scroll for happiness
Projected to open Dec 1
Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.
Last Snowfall
Nov 6
todayPast 24 Hours
0cm
Past 48 Hours
0cm
Past 10 Days
0cm
7-Day Forecast
23cm
Snow Depth
--
Chunkurchak is projected to open December 1, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.
Best months to book
- #1March47cm avg
- #2April39cm avg
- #3February35cm avg
Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.
Snow Summary
Updated Nov 6 at 3:04 PM
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
Hourly Forecast
6 Fri 9° / -4° | 7 Sat 10° / 0° | 8 Sun 14° / 0° | 9 Mon 13° / 1° | 10 Tue 7° / 0° | 11 Wed 0° / -9° | 12 Thu -4° / -10° | Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | 13 Fri | 14 Sat | 15 Sun | 16 Mon | 17 Tue | 18 Wed | 19 Thu | |
| Conditions | ☀️ | ☁️ | 🌤️ | 🌤️ | 🌤️ | 🌤️ | ☀️ | 🌤️ | ⛅ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | 🌤️ | 🌧️ | 🌧️ | ❄️ | ❄️ | ❄️ | ☁️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | |||||||
| clear | cloudy | mostly clear | mostly clear | mostly clear | mostly clear | clear | mostly clear | some clouds | cloudy | cloudy | cloudy | mostly clear | light drizzle | light drizzle | light snow | snow | light snow | cloudy | clear | clear | ||||||||
| Summit2,440 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 2° | 7° | 1° | 4° | 8° | 3° | 5° | 11° | 5° | 7° | 11° | 5° | 4° | 5° | 3° | -3° | -6° | -4° | -8° | -6° | -8° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | -3° | 4° | -6° | 0° | 5° | -2° | 0° | 8° | -2° | 1° | 6° | -1° | 0° | 1° | -2° | -9° | -11° | -8° | -13° | -10° | -12° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | 1.6 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 8.6 | 0.1 | · | 1 | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | 2.1 | 4.8 | 8.5 | 6.5 | 9.7 | 0.1 | · | 1.0 | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | |||||||
| Mid-mountainModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||
| Feels like°C | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||
| Snowcm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||
| Precipmm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||
| Windkm/h | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||
| Humidity% | 28 | 27 | 42 | 34 | 29 | 42 | 38 | 23 | 36 | 29 | 31 | 46 | 68 | 64 | 71 | 97 | 88 | 87 | 89 | 82 | 78 | |||||||
| 0°C linem | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||
| Sunhours | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.
Every model for Chunkurchak, side by side for 14 days
Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.
Unlock with ProSnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting
The black line is not a simple average. For Chunkurchak (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).
- 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
- 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
- 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.
Building verification history for this resort.
How we verify forecasts →ENSO seasonal analog
History · not a forecastIn 10 past El Niño winters at Chunkurchak, ERA5 season snowfall median was 244 cm (96 in), about 1% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.
Prevailing ONI
El Niño
ASO 2026 · ANOM +2.46°C
Analog season median
244cm
10 El Niño winters · 1% above median
All-season median
242cm
Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)
| Phase | Seasons | Median | p25–p75 | Recent analogs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Niñocurrent | 10 | 244cm | 226cm – 328cm | 2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009 |
| La Niña | 12 | 239cm | 202cm – 353cm | 2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010 |
| ENSO-neutral | 8 | 243cm | 215cm – 336cm | 2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003 |
Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.
Local Reports
0 reportsHow accurate is this forecast?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.
Frequently asked questions about Chunkurchak
- How much snow is Chunkurchak getting this week?
- The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 23 cm (9 in) of snow at Chunkurchak over the next 7 days.
- What is the 14-day snow forecast for Chunkurchak?
- The full 14-day forecast for Chunkurchak — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
- How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Chunkurchak?
- We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.
