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Cortina d'Ampezzo ski resort
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Tier B — Favored

Europe

Cortina d'Ampezzo Snow Forecast

Projected to open November 21, 2026

Best months to book: March, February, April · last season + 30-yr record

Projected to open Nov 21

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Oct 14, 2:00 AM•Weather at base: 1,232m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Projected to open Nov 21

Cortina d'Ampezzo is projected to open November 21, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, April. Best weeks: 15 Mar–21 Mar, 22 Mar–28 Mar, 8 Mar–14 Mar.NovDecJan2Feb1Mar3AprMayOpens 21 NovCloses 3 May

Best months to book

  1. #1March57cm avg · last season 28.5
  2. #2February49cm avg · last season 24.6
  3. #3April54cm avg · last season 19.1

Best weeks to book

  1. #1 15 Mar – 21 Mar · last season 33.9
  2. #2 22 Mar – 28 Mar · last season 29.5
  3. #3 8 Mar – 14 Mar · last season 27.3

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,301m · mid-upper
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-FrUKMOMeteoSwissICON-2I

Updated Oct 14, 2026 at 2:00 AM

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Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
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Now14
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S17
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Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

14 Wed
7° / -4°
15 Thu
8° / -5°
16 Fri
11° / -4°
17 Sat
6° / -3°
18 Sun
1° / -3°
19 Mon
4° / -6°
20 Tue
6° / -6°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight21 Wed22 Thu23 Fri24 Sat25 Sun26 Mon27 Tue
Conditions🌤️🌤️☀️☁️☁️⛅☀️🌤️⛅☁️🌧️⛅☁️☁️☁️☁️⛅☁️☁️☀️☁️
mostly clearmostly clearclearcloudycloudysome cloudsclearmostly clearsome cloudscloudylight drizzlesome cloudscloudycloudycloudycloudysome cloudscloudycloudyclearcloudy
Summit2,828 mModeled
Temp°C-1°6°-1°-1°7°-2°0°10°-1°0°5°-2°-2°1°-3°-4°3°-3°-4°4°-2°
Feels like°C-4°3°-4°-5°4°-5°-4°7°-4°-4°1°-5°-5°-3°-6°-7°-1°-6°-7°1°-5°
Snowcm············0.20.3······0.4
Precipmm··········0.3·0.30.6······0.6
Windkm/h563212322261271472454
Mid-mountain2,030 mModeled
Temp°C4°11°4°4°12°3°5°15°5°5°10°4°3°6°2°2°9°2°2°9°3°
Feels like°C2°9°1°1°10°1°2°12°2°2°7°1°1°3°0°-1°5°0°-1°7°1°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm··········0.3·0.30.6······0.6
Windkm/h563212322261271472454
Base1,232 mModeled
Temp°C10°17°9°9°17°9°10°20°10°10°15°9°8°11°8°7°14°8°7°15°8°
Feels like°C8°15°7°7°15°7°8°18°8°8°13°7°7°9°7°5°11°6°5°13°7°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm··········0.3·0.30.6······0.6
Windkm/h563212322261271472454
Humidity%815275693568532661555274936893854988926093
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Cortina d'Ampezzo, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

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SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Cortina d'Ampezzo (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Cortina d'Ampezzo El Niño rank & forecast

Cortina d'Ampezzo ranks #168 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +4% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

#168 of 488Tier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +4% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Cortina d'Ampezzo averaged +4% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Cortina d'Ampezzo sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 -9%, '15-16 -0%, '23-24 +21%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −9%'15-16 −1%'23-24 +21%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Cortina d'Ampezzo, ERA5 season snowfall median was 362 cm (143 in), about 4% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

362cm

10 El Niño winters · 4% above median

All-season median

349cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10362cm274cm – 428cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12355cm304cm – 504cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8301cm245cm – 466cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about Cortina d'Ampezzo

How much snow is Cortina d'Ampezzo getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Cortina d'Ampezzo over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Cortina d'Ampezzo?
The full 14-day forecast for Cortina d'Ampezzo — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Cortina d'Ampezzo?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.