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Crabbe Mountain ski resort
Tier C — ENSO-proof

North America

Crabbe Mountain Snow Forecast

Off-season

Closed for the season · reopens Dec 26

Best months to book: February, March, January · 30-yr snow record

Off-season

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Oct 5, 6:02 PM•Weather at base: 147m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Off-season

Crabbe Mountain is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, March, January.NovDec3Jan1Feb2MarAprMay

Best months to book

  1. #1February43cm avg
  2. #2March42cm avg
  3. #3January41cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

389m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Oct 5, 2026 at 6:02 PM

0cm
24h
0cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
0
Prev10d
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Now5
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T6
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W7
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T8
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F9
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S10
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S11
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

5 Mon
11° / 6°
6 Tue
10° / 4°
7 Wed
11° / 1°
8 Thu
14° / 6°
9 Fri
12° / 5°
10 Sat
9° / 2°
11 Sun
8° / 1°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight12 Mon13 Tue14 Wed15 Thu16 Fri17 Sat18 Sun
Conditions☁️🌧️☀️☁️☁️⛅⛅⛅☀️☁️🌧️🌧️⛅🌧️☀️☀️☀️☀️☁️🌧️☁️
cloudydrizzleclearcloudycloudysome cloudssome cloudssome cloudsclearcloudylight drizzlelight drizzlesome cloudslight drizzleclearclearclearclearcloudylight drizzlecloudy
Summit389 mModeled
Temp°C8°11°7°6°9°6°3°10°5°8°13°8°7°11°6°3°9°4°2°7°5°
Feels like°C5°9°4°0°2°0°-1°6°1°5°11°6°4°7°3°-2°3°-1°-1°4°2°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·3.30.3······2.02.25.7·0.50.1···0.20.4·
Windkm/h1111142533221115131211101318131723147108
Mid-mountain268 mModeled
Temp°C8°12°8°6°10°6°4°11°6°9°14°9°8°12°7°4°9°5°3°8°5°
Feels like°C6°10°5°1°3°1°0°7°2°6°12°7°5°8°4°-1°3°0°0°5°3°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·3.30.3······2.02.25.7·0.50.1···0.20.4·
Windkm/h1111142533221115131211101318131723147108
Base147 mModeled
Temp°C9°13°9°7°11°7°5°12°7°9°14°9°8°13°8°5°10°5°4°9°6°
Feels like°C7°11°6°2°4°2°1°8°3°7°13°8°6°8°5°0°4°1°1°6°4°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·3.30.3······2.02.25.7·0.50.1···0.20.4·
Windkm/h1111142533221115131211101318131723147108
Humidity%989691645065744468998091945681704068717179
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Crabbe Mountain, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Crabbe Mountain (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Northeast US region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Crabbe Mountain El Niño rank & forecast

Crabbe Mountain ranks #202 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier C, +1% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier C — ENSO-proof: Strong El Niño winters looked like a normal year here — within about ±3% of this resort’s own 30-year snowfall average. Not a jackpot, not a bust: a hedge if you’re planning around El Niño.

#202 of 488Tier C — ENSO-proof

Strong-event signal: +1% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Crabbe Mountain averaged +1% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. El Niño has historically made little difference here — this is an ENSO-proof mountain, for winter 2026-27 as in past events. Analog winters: '97-98 +14%, '15-16 -4%, '23-24 -7%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 +14%'15-16 −4%'23-24 −7%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Crabbe Mountain, ERA5 season snowfall median was 215 cm (85 in), about 7% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

215cm

10 El Niño winters · 7% above median

All-season median

201cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10215cm197cm – 249cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12212cm177cm – 243cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8197cm187cm – 233cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about Crabbe Mountain

How much snow is Crabbe Mountain getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Crabbe Mountain over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Crabbe Mountain?
The full 14-day forecast for Crabbe Mountain — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Crabbe Mountain?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.