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Donner Ski Ranch ski resort

North America

Donner Ski Ranch Snow Forecast

Status unconfirmed

Best months to book: March, February, January · 30-yr snow record

Status unconfirmed

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

0cm

7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 21, 11:02 PMWeather at base: 2,143m
SnowSure™ ScoreAI
Status unconfirmed

Donner Ski Ranch is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, January.NovDec3Jan2Feb1MarAprMay

March

#1 to book

102cm avg

February

#2 to book

118cm avg

January

#3 to book

113cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Depth

Resort closed — no current ski-base depth.

Recent

No new snow has fallen in the past week.

Forecast

Dry for the next 7 days.

Historic

Season-to-date measurements are not available for comparison, while the 5-year average to date stands at 614cm.

Status unconfirmed · Data updated Mon, Sep 21, 11:02 PM UTC · informational only

Snow Summary

2,372m

Updated Sep 21, 2026 at 11:02 PM

0cm
24h
0cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
0
Prev10d
Now22
W23
T24
F25
S26
S27
M28
Days 814 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

22 Tue
19° /
23 Wed
22° /
24 Thu
21° /
25 Fri
15° /
26 Sat
16° /
27 Sun
14° /
28 Mon
17° / -0°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun
Conditions☀️🌧️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️🌤️🌤️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️
clearlight drizzleclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearmostly clearsome cloudsmostly clearmostly clearsome cloudsclearclearclearclearclearclear
Summit2,372 mModeled
Temp°C18°21°12°20°10°14°15°13°16°
Feels like°C15°18°16°11°13°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·0.3···················
Windkm/h3104310281861424101118713177394
Mid-mountain2,258 mModeled
Temp°C19°10°21°13°21°11°14°16°14°10°17°
Feels like°C16°18°16°12°13°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·0.3···················
Windkm/h3104310281861424101118713177394
Base2,143 mModeled
Temp°C10°20°11°22°13°21°10°11°15°17°10°14°10°18°
Feels like°C17°19°10°17°10°13°10°14°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·0.3···················
Windkm/h3104310281861424101118713177394
Humidity%622674521760412151444271693681542258351549
0°C linem
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Donner Ski Ranch, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Donner Ski Ranch (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

California & Sierra Nevada region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Donner Ski Ranch El Niño rank & forecast

Donner Ski Ranch ranks #82 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +10% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier APrime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#82 of 488Tier APrime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +10% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Donner Ski Ranch averaged +10% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Donner Ski Ranch sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 +28%, '15-16 -4%, '23-24 +4%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 +28%'15-16 −4%'23-24 +4%

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Donner Ski Ranch, ERA5 season snowfall median was 601 cm (237 in), about 6% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

601cm

10 El Niño winters · 6% above median

All-season median

568cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10601cm550cm – 655cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12568cm461cm – 724cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8503cm466cm – 593cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

Frequently asked questions about Donner Ski Ranch

How much snow is Donner Ski Ranch getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Donner Ski Ranch over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Donner Ski Ranch?
The full 14-day forecast for Donner Ski Ranch — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Donner Ski Ranch?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.