Oceania
Closed for the season
Best months to book: August, July, June · last season + 30-yr record
Scroll for happiness
Not operating today
Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.
Last Snowfall
--
Past 24 Hours
0cm
Resort reportedPast 48 Hours
0cm
Past 10 Days
164cm
7-Day Forecast
1cm
Snow Depth
--
Powder Days
5
2026 season
Bluebird Days
1
2026 season
Falls Creek is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.
August
#1 to book
29cm avg · scored 21.3
July
#2 to book
27cm avg · scored 18
June
#3 to book
19cm avg · scored 9.3
Best weeks to book
Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2026) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.
Depth
Resort closed — no current ski-base depth.
Recent
In the past week, 164cm of fresh snow has accumulated.
Forecast
Light snow possible this week.
Historic
This season's total so far is 82% of the 5-year average of 201cm.
Not operating today · Data updated Tue, Sep 22, 04:03 PM UTC · informational only
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.
Unlock with ProHistorical data from Open-Meteo archive • Forecast: SnowSure™ multi-model blend
23 Wed 12° / 1° | 24 Thu 14° / 4° | 25 Fri 15° / 7° | 26 Sat 15° / 6° | 27 Sun 12° / 6° | 28 Mon 15° / 5° | 29 Tue 14° / 5° | Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | 30 Wed | 1 Thu | 2 Fri | 3 Sat | 4 Sun | 5 Mon | 6 Tue | |
| Conditions | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | 🌤️ | ☁️ | ☀️ | 🌧️ | ☁️ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ☁️ | ☀️ | 🌧️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | 🌤️ | 🌤️ | |||||||
| clear | clear | clear | mostly clear | cloudy | clear | light drizzle | cloudy | some clouds | some clouds | cloudy | cloudy | some clouds | some clouds | cloudy | clear | light drizzle | clear | clear | mostly clear | mostly clear | ||||||||
| Summit1,842 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 6° | 11° | 3° | 9° | 13° | 6° | 11° | 14° | 8° | 12° | 14° | 8° | 8° | 11° | 6° | 10° | 14° | 7° | 11° | 14° | 7° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | 3° | 9° | 1° | 6° | 11° | 4° | 9° | 12° | 7° | 10° | 11° | 6° | 6° | 9° | 5° | 9° | 12° | 5° | 9° | 12° | 5° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0.4 | 0.2 | · | 0.1 | 0.2 | · | · | · | · | · | 0.4 | 0.5 | · | · | · | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 3 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | |||||||
| Mid-mountain1,671 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 7° | 12° | 4° | 10° | 14° | 7° | 12° | 15° | 9° | 13° | 15° | 9° | 9° | 12° | 8° | 11° | 15° | 8° | 12° | 15° | 8° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | 5° | 10° | 2° | 8° | 12° | 5° | 11° | 13° | 8° | 12° | 13° | 8° | 7° | 10° | 6° | 10° | 14° | 6° | 10° | 14° | 7° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0.4 | 0.2 | · | 0.1 | 0.2 | · | · | · | · | · | 0.4 | 0.5 | · | · | · | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 3 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | |||||||
| Base1,500 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 8° | 13° | 5° | 11° | 15° | 8° | 13° | 16° | 10° | 14° | 16° | 10° | 10° | 14° | 9° | 13° | 16° | 9° | 13° | 16° | 9° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | 6° | 12° | 3° | 9° | 13° | 6° | 12° | 14° | 9° | 13° | 14° | 9° | 8° | 11° | 7° | 11° | 15° | 7° | 11° | 15° | 8° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0.4 | 0.2 | · | 0.1 | 0.2 | · | · | · | · | · | 0.4 | 0.5 | · | · | · | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 3 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | |||||||
| Humidity% | 61 | 47 | 73 | 54 | 51 | 71 | 71 | 51 | 82 | 65 | 51 | 79 | 73 | 56 | 80 | 67 | 58 | 79 | 66 | 52 | 78 | |||||||
| 0°C linem | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||
| Sunhours | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.
Every model for Falls Creek, side by side for 14 days
Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.
Unlock with ProThe black line is not a simple average. For Falls Creek (southern alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).
Building verification history for this resort.
How we verify forecasts →Australia & Tasmania region
El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026
Falls Creek is under review in SnowSure's El Niño dataset — we will not publish a rank against a discontinuous historical series.
This station is under review and carries no rank: its record has an era discontinuity our quality pass cannot correct for, so a percentage against it would not mean what it appears to mean.
In 6 past El Niño winters at Falls Creek, ERA5 season snowfall median was 26 cm (10 in), about 36% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.
Prevailing ONI
El Niño
JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C
Analog season median
26cm
6 El Niño winters · 36% below median
All-season median
41cm
Across 31 ERA5 seasons (2026)
| Phase | Seasons | Median | p25–p75 | Recent analogs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Niñocurrent | 6 | 26cm | 21cm – 66cm | 2026, 2023, 2015, 2009, 2002, 1997 |
| La Niña | 4 | 48cm | 40cm – 122cm | 2022, 2010, 1999, 1998 |
| ENSO-neutral | 21 | 41cm | 36cm – 131cm | 2025, 2024, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018 |
Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.
How accurate is this forecast?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.
