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Formigal ski resort
Tier C — ENSO-proof

Europe

Formigal Snow Forecast

Off-season

Closed for the season · reopens Nov 28

Best months to book: February, March, January · 30-yr snow record

Off-season

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 21, 4:02 PM•Weather at base: 1,500m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Off-season

Formigal is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, March, January.NovDec3Jan1Feb2MarAprMay

February

#1 to book

77cm avg

March

#2 to book

68cm avg

January

#3 to book

87cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,262m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 21, 2026 at 4:02 PM

0cm
24h
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Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
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Prev10d
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Now21
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T22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
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S27
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

21 Mon
20° / 7°
22 Tue
20° / 6°
23 Wed
19° / 9°
24 Thu
20° / 9°
25 Fri
20° / 8°
26 Sat
20° / 10°
27 Sun
18° / 9°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun
Conditions☀️⛅🌤️☀️☀️☀️🌤️☀️☀️☀️🌤️⛅🌤️🌤️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️⛅☀️
clearsome cloudsmostly clearclearclearclearmostly clearclearclearclearmostly clearsome cloudsmostly clearmostly clearclearclearclearclearclearsome cloudsclear
Summit2,262 mModeled
Temp°C11°19°9°10°19°10°11°18°12°11°19°12°11°20°12°12°20°12°11°17°11°
Feels like°C8°18°7°6°18°8°9°16°10°9°17°10°8°15°10°9°16°10°8°14°9°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h366454373293412431137136
Mid-mountain1,881 mModeled
Temp°C13°22°12°12°22°13°13°21°14°14°22°14°13°22°14°15°22°15°14°20°14°
Feels like°C11°20°10°9°20°11°12°19°13°12°19°13°11°18°13°12°19°13°11°17°12°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h366454373293412431137136
Base1,500 mModeled
Temp°C16°24°14°15°24°15°16°23°17°16°24°17°16°24°17°17°25°17°16°22°16°
Feels like°C14°23°13°12°23°14°15°22°16°15°22°16°14°21°16°15°22°15°14°20°15°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h366454373293412431137136
Humidity%452969342854553458593158471457352143483051
0°C linem—————————————————————
Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Formigal, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Formigal (pyrenees), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Spain & Iberia region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Formigal El Niño rank & forecast

Formigal ranks #193 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier C, +2% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier C — ENSO-proof: Strong El Niño winters looked like a normal year here — within about ±3% of this resort’s own 30-year snowfall average. Not a jackpot, not a bust: a hedge if you’re planning around El Niño.

#193 of 488Tier C — ENSO-proof

Strong-event signal: +2% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Formigal averaged +2% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline — effectively ENSO-proof. Formigal has held within a few percent of normal across every phase of the Pacific cycle, making it one of the safest bets of a record El Niño winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -26%, '15-16 -19%, '23-24 +50%.

'97-98 −26%'15-16 −19%'23-24 +50%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Formigal, ERA5 season snowfall median was 405 cm (159 in), about 1% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

405cm

10 El Niño winters · 1% below median

All-season median

411cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10405cm339cm – 550cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12388cm305cm – 510cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8469cm380cm – 544cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about Formigal

How much snow is Formigal getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Formigal over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Formigal?
The full 14-day forecast for Formigal — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Formigal?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.