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Galdhopiggen ski resort
Tier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar

Europe

Galdhopiggen Snow Forecast

22

Fair

→stable

Last Snowfall

Sep 21

2d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

15cm

7-Day Forecast

8cm

Snow Depth

--

Updated: Sep 23, 2:02 AM•Weather at base: 1,850m
SnowSure™ ScoreAI
22
Fair
→stable

Adequate snow - check forecasts before booking.

Current conditions at Galdhopiggen are overcast with a temperature of -3°C and a snow depth of 1cm. The resort has received 14cm of snow this season, with 1cm falling in the last 24 hours. Looking ahead, the 14-day forecast suggests a potential snowfall of 26cm to 55cm, depending on the model used.

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Depth

No reliable depth reading available.

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Recent

In the past week, 14cm of new snow has fallen.

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Forecast

8cm in the next 7 days.

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Historic

This season's snow total of 14cm is only 4% of the 5-year average to date of 380cm.

Data updated Wed, Sep 23, 02:02 AM UTC

Snow Summary

2,200m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-FrMet Norway

Updated Sep 23, 2026 at 2:02 AM

15cm
24h
8cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
15
Prev10d
0
Now23
5
T24
0
F25
1
S26
0
S27
1
M28
1
T29
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

23 Wed
4° / -0°
24 Thu
2° / -5°
25 Fri
2° / -3°
26 Sat
-1° / -4°
27 Sun
2° / -4°
28 Mon
1° / -4°
29 Tue
0° / -7°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun5 Mon6 Tue
Conditions☁️🌧️☁️🌧️☁️☁️☁️☁️☁️⛅☁️☁️☁️☁️☁️☁️☁️☁️☀️☀️☀️
cloudylight drizzlecloudylight drizzlecloudycloudycloudycloudycloudysome cloudscloudycloudycloudycloudycloudycloudycloudycloudyclearclearclear
Summit2,200 mModeled
Temp°C1°3°1°-4°1°-2°-2°2°-1°-4°-1°-2°-3°2°-2°-3°0°-3°-5°0°-4°
Feels like°C-2°1°-2°-8°-2°-5°-5°-2°-4°-7°-6°-6°-6°-2°-6°-6°-3°-6°-9°-4°-8°
Snowcm0.1·3.10.4·2.3·········0.20.40.8···
Precipmm0.61.26.60.6·3.3·········0.30.61.2···
Windkm/h5334245646956105444324
Mid-mountain2,025 mModeled
Temp°C2°4°2°-3°2°0°-1°3°0°-2°0°-1°-2°3°-1°-1°1°-2°-4°1°-3°
Feels like°C0°2°0°-6°0°-3°-4°-1°-3°-6°-4°-5°-5°-1°-5°-5°-2°-5°-8°-2°-7°
Snowcm··10.4·2.3·········0.2·0.8···
Precipmm0.61.26.60.6·3.3·········0.30.61.2···
Windkm/h5334245646956105444324
Base1,850 mModeled
Temp°C3°5°3°-2°3°1°1°4°1°-1°1°0°-1°4°0°0°2°-1°-3°2°-2°
Feels like°C1°3°1°-5°1°-2°-3°0°-2°-5°-3°-3°-4°0°-3°-3°0°-4°-6°-1°-6°
Snowcm···0.4·1.8·········0.2·····
Precipmm0.61.26.60.6·3.3·········0.30.61.2···
Windkm/h5334245646956105444324
Humidity%928196957493786090887790897087898793876482
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Galdhopiggen, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Galdhopiggen (scandinavia), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Scandinavia region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Galdhopiggen El Niño rank & forecast

Galdhopiggen ranks #254 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier D, −3% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar: Often a bit lighter early (−3% to −8% vs normal). History favors waiting for peak-depth months (often Feb–Mar) rather than skipping the resort.

#254 of 488Tier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar

Strong-event signal: −3% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Galdhopiggen averaged -3% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. Historically this is a timing play rather than a reason to stay home: aim for late winter (February–March) in winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 +6%, '15-16 -24%, '23-24 +9%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 +6%'15-16 −24%'23-24 +9%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Galdhopiggen, ERA5 season snowfall median was 545 cm (215 in), about 4% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

545cm

10 El Niño winters · 4% above median

All-season median

522cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10545cm418cm – 583cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12542cm421cm – 583cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8453cm424cm – 525cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about Galdhopiggen

How much snow is Galdhopiggen getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 8 cm (3 in) of snow at Galdhopiggen over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Galdhopiggen?
The full 14-day forecast for Galdhopiggen — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Galdhopiggen?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.