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Gulmarg ski resort
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Asia

Gulmarg Snow Forecast

Closed for the season

Season ended April 15, 2026

Best months to book: February, March, January · 30-yr snow record

Closed for the season — closed April 15

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 22, 5:01 AM•Weather at base: 2,690m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Closed for the season

Gulmarg is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, March, January.3Jan1Feb2MarAprOpens 4 JanCloses 15 Apr

February

#1 to book

81cm avg

March

#2 to book

65cm avg

January

#3 to book

71cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

4,000m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 22, 2026 at 5:01 AM

0cm
24h
0cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
0
Prev10d
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Now22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
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S27
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M28
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

22 Tue
8° / -1°
23 Wed
8° / -1°
24 Thu
7° / -3°
25 Fri
6° / -3°
26 Sat
7° / -1°
27 Sun
9° / -3°
28 Mon
8° / -2°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun5 Mon
Conditions☀️🌧️☀️☀️🌧️☀️☀️🌧️☀️☀️🌧️☀️☀️🌧️☀️☀️🌤️☀️🌤️🌧️🌧️
clearlight drizzleclearclearlight drizzleclearclearlight drizzleclearclearlight drizzleclearclearlight drizzleclearclearmostly clearclearmostly clearlight drizzlelight drizzle
Summit4,000 mModeled
Temp°C5°7°1°5°8°1°4°7°-1°4°5°-1°4°7°1°4°9°0°4°7°1°
Feels like°C2°5°-1°2°5°-2°1°4°-4°1°3°-4°1°4°-2°1°6°-3°1°5°-2°
Snowcm····················0.1
Precipmm·1.5··0.6·0.32.1··1.8·0.32.1·····2.41.2
Windkm/h331251352332341251341
Mid-mountain3,345 mModeled
Temp°C9°11°6°9°12°5°8°11°4°8°10°4°8°11°5°8°13°5°8°11°5°
Feels like°C7°10°3°7°10°2°6°9°1°6°8°1°6°9°2°6°11°2°6°10°3°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·1.5··0.6·0.32.1··1.8·0.32.1·····2.41.2
Windkm/h331251352332341251341
Base2,690 mModeled
Temp°C13°16°10°13°16°9°13°15°8°12°14°8°12°15°9°13°17°9°12°16°10°
Feels like°C12°15°8°12°15°7°11°14°6°10°13°6°10°14°7°11°16°7°11°16°8°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·1.5··0.6·0.32.1··1.8·0.32.1·····2.41.2
Windkm/h331251352332341251341
Humidity%595362494963525572506467485458474061606971
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Gulmarg, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Gulmarg (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Kashmir region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Gulmarg El Niño rank & forecast

Gulmarg ranks #49 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +12% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#49 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +12% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Gulmarg averaged +12% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline — one of the strongest positive El Niño signals we track. With NOAA forecasting a potentially record event for winter 2026-27, history says this is the winter to book Gulmarg with confidence. Individual analog winters: '97-98 +11%, '15-16 -28%, '23-24 +53%. A lean, not a law — but the lean is firmly up.

'97-98 +11%'15-16 −28%'23-24 +53%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Gulmarg, ERA5 season snowfall median was 317 cm (125 in), about 13% above this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

317cm

10 El Niño winters · 13% above median

All-season median

280cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10317cm251cm – 464cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12250cm236cm – 370cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8312cm246cm – 350cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Gulmarg

How much snow is Gulmarg getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Gulmarg over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Gulmarg?
The full 14-day forecast for Gulmarg — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Gulmarg?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.