El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27
Hakuba El Niño rank & forecast
Hakuba ranks Under review SnowSure resorts — Tier D, −5% in strong El Niño winters.
Tier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar: Often a bit lighter early (−3% to −8% vs normal). History favors waiting for peak-depth months (often Feb–Mar) rather than skipping the resort.
Under reviewTier D — Late bloomer — aim Feb–Mar
Strong-event signal: −5% vs this resort's 30-yr avg
This resort carries no separate rank: its 30-year record is identical to happo-one, which is the ranked entry for this measurement. At ~31km resolution the reanalysis cannot resolve them as different mountains, so publishing both would be publishing one number twice.
'97-98 −24%'15-16 −33%'23-24 +42%
