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Kelly Canyon Ski Resort ski resort
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Tier B — Favored

North America

Kelly Canyon Ski Resort Snow Forecast

Status unconfirmed

Best months to book: January, February, March · 30-yr snow record

Status unconfirmed

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

0cm

7-Day Forecast

1cm

Snow Depth

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Updated: Oct 12, 10:01 PM•Weather at base: 1,707m
SnowSure™ ScoreAI
Status unconfirmed

Kelly Canyon Ski Resort is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: January, February, March.NovDec1Jan2Feb3MarAprMay

Best months to book

  1. #1January33cm avg
  2. #2February26cm avg
  3. #3March20cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

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Depth

Resort closed — no current ski-base depth.

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Recent

No significant recent snowfall.

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Forecast

Light snow possible this week.

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Historic

Season is performing around average.

Status unconfirmed · Data updated Mon, Oct 12, 10:01 PM UTC · informational only

Snow Summary

2,012m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Oct 12, 2026 at 10:01 PM

0cm
24h
1cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
0
Prev10d
1
Now12
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T13
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W14
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T15
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F16
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S17
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S18
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

12 Mon
5° / 2°
13 Tue
4° / -0°
14 Wed
8° / -3°
15 Thu
14° / -2°
16 Fri
12° / -1°
17 Sat
13° / -0°
18 Sun
13° / 2°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight19 Mon20 Tue21 Wed22 Thu23 Fri24 Sat25 Sun
Conditions🌧️☁️☁️🌧️☁️🌤️🌤️☀️🌤️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️☀️☀️
drizzlecloudycloudylight drizzlecloudymostly clearmostly clearclearmostly clearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearmostly clearclearclear
Summit2,012 mModeled
Temp°C3°5°3°2°4°2°-1°6°1°3°13°3°1°11°3°3°12°3°6°13°6°
Feels like°C0°1°0°-1°0°-1°-4°3°-2°-1°9°-1°-2°8°0°-1°9°0°3°10°3°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm1.90.24.00.4·5.5···············
Windkm/h8124811836413117375775489
Mid-mountain1,860 mModeled
Temp°C4°6°4°3°5°3°0°7°2°4°14°4°2°12°4°4°13°4°7°14°7°
Feels like°C1°2°2°0°1°0°-3°5°-1°0°11°1°-1°9°1°0°10°1°5°11°4°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm1.90.24.00.4·5.5···············
Windkm/h8124811836413117375775489
Base1,707 mModeled
Temp°C5°7°5°4°6°4°1°8°3°5°15°5°3°13°5°5°14°5°8°15°8°
Feels like°C2°4°3°1°2°1°-2°6°0°1°12°2°0°10°2°1°11°2°6°12°5°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm1.90.24.00.4·5.5···············
Windkm/h8124811836413117375775489
Humidity%937687916889916286774376744269554362605170
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Kelly Canyon Ski Resort, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Kelly Canyon Ski Resort (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Northern Rockies & Canadian Rockies region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Kelly Canyon Ski Resort El Niño rank & forecast

Kelly Canyon Ski Resort ranks #164 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +4% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

#164 of 488Tier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +4% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Kelly Canyon Ski Resort averaged +4% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically leaned mildly in this resort's favor for winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -10%, '15-16 -27%, '23-24 +49%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −10%'15-16 −27%'23-24 +49%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Kelly Canyon Ski Resort, ERA5 season snowfall median was 118 cm (46 in), about 19% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

118cm

10 El Niño winters · 19% below median

All-season median

146cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10118cm97cm – 180cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12158cm133cm – 179cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8152cm123cm – 186cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Kelly Canyon Ski Resort

How much snow is Kelly Canyon Ski Resort getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 1 cm (0 in) of snow at Kelly Canyon Ski Resort over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Kelly Canyon Ski Resort?
The full 14-day forecast for Kelly Canyon Ski Resort — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Kelly Canyon Ski Resort?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.