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Kelly Canyon Ski Resort ski resort
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Tier B — Favored

North America

Kelly Canyon Ski Resort Snow Forecast

Status unconfirmed

Best months to book: January, February, March · 30-yr snow record

Status unconfirmed

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 22, 2:02 AM•Weather at base: 1,707m
SnowSure™ ScoreAI
Status unconfirmed

Kelly Canyon Ski Resort is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: January, February, March.NovDec1Jan2Feb3MarAprMay

January

#1 to book

33cm avg

February

#2 to book

26cm avg

March

#3 to book

20cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

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Depth

Resort closed — no current ski-base depth.

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Recent

No new snow has been observed in the past week.

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Forecast

Dry for the next 7 days.

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Historic

This season-to-date is below the 5-year average of 178cm.

Status unconfirmed · Data updated Tue, Sep 22, 02:02 AM UTC · informational only

Snow Summary

2,012m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 22, 2026 at 2:02 AM

0cm
24h
0cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
0
Prev10d
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Now22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
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S27
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M28
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

22 Tue
18° / 5°
23 Wed
17° / 5°
24 Thu
20° / 5°
25 Fri
21° / 9°
26 Sat
15° / 8°
27 Sun
18° / 6°
28 Mon
14° / 4°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun
Conditions☁️⛅☁️☀️☀️☀️☁️☁️☀️☁️☀️☁️🌤️⛅☀️⛅☁️☁️☀️☀️☀️
cloudysome cloudscloudyclearclearclearcloudycloudyclearcloudyclearcloudymostly clearsome cloudsclearsome cloudscloudycloudyclearclearclear
Summit2,012 mModeled
Temp°C9°16°8°7°15°8°8°19°9°12°20°13°9°14°10°8°17°10°7°13°8°
Feels like°C6°14°6°5°14°7°6°17°7°9°16°9°3°9°6°6°14°7°4°10°4°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·0.22.3·0.31.7···········4.5··0.9
Windkm/h5956742651018132320152109101213
Mid-mountain1,860 mModeled
Temp°C10°17°9°8°16°9°9°20°10°13°21°13°9°15°11°9°18°11°8°14°9°
Feels like°C8°15°7°6°15°8°7°18°8°10°17°10°4°10°7°7°15°8°5°11°5°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·0.22.3·0.31.7···········4.5··0.9
Windkm/h5956742651018132320152109101213
Base1,707 mModeled
Temp°C11°18°10°9°17°10°10°21°11°14°22°14°10°16°12°10°19°12°9°15°10°
Feels like°C9°16°9°8°16°9°9°19°9°12°19°11°5°11°8°8°17°9°6°12°6°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·0.22.3·0.31.7···········4.5··0.9
Windkm/h5956742651018132320152109101213
Humidity%654580855282703771553150483047543153593256
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Kelly Canyon Ski Resort, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Kelly Canyon Ski Resort (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Northern Rockies & Canadian Rockies region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Kelly Canyon Ski Resort El Niño rank & forecast

Kelly Canyon Ski Resort ranks #164 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +4% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

#164 of 488Tier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +4% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Kelly Canyon Ski Resort averaged +4% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically leaned mildly in this resort's favor for winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -10%, '15-16 -27%, '23-24 +49%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −10%'15-16 −27%'23-24 +49%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Kelly Canyon Ski Resort, ERA5 season snowfall median was 118 cm (46 in), about 19% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

118cm

10 El Niño winters · 19% below median

All-season median

146cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10118cm97cm – 180cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12158cm133cm – 179cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8152cm123cm – 186cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Kelly Canyon Ski Resort

How much snow is Kelly Canyon Ski Resort getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Kelly Canyon Ski Resort over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Kelly Canyon Ski Resort?
The full 14-day forecast for Kelly Canyon Ski Resort — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Kelly Canyon Ski Resort?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.