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La Poya ski resort
Tier C — ENSO-proof

Europe

La Poya Snow Forecast

Off-season

Closed for the season · reopens Dec 20

Best months to book: March, February, January · 30-yr snow record

Off-season

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 20, 9:02 PM•Weather at base: 1,350m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Off-season

La Poya is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, January.NovDec3Jan2Feb1MarAprMay

March

#1 to book

71cm avg

February

#2 to book

75cm avg

January

#3 to book

88cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

1,500m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 20, 2026 at 9:02 PM

0cm
24h
0cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
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Prev10d
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Now20
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M21
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T22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

20 Sun
20° / 6°
21 Mon
18° / 7°
22 Tue
19° / 7°
23 Wed
17° / 7°
24 Thu
17° / 7°
25 Fri
16° / 4°
26 Sat
19° / 7°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight27 Sun28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat
Conditions☀️☁️⛅🌤️☁️☁️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️⛅☁️☀️⛅🌤️☀️☀️☀️☀️
clearcloudysome cloudsmostly clearcloudycloudyclearclearclearclearclearclearsome cloudscloudyclearsome cloudsmostly clearclearclearclearclear
Summit1,500 mModeled
Temp°C10°19°10°10°18°10°11°18°10°10°17°10°10°16°10°7°16°9°11°18°10°
Feels like°C8°18°9°9°17°9°8°17°8°9°16°8°8°14°8°4°13°7°8°16°8°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h262362262262262252252
Mid-mountain1,425 mModeled
Temp°C10°20°10°11°18°11°11°18°10°11°18°10°10°17°10°8°16°9°12°19°11°
Feels like°C9°19°9°9°17°9°9°17°9°9°17°9°8°15°8°5°14°7°8°17°8°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h262362262262262252252
Base1,350 mModeled
Temp°C11°20°11°11°19°11°12°19°11°11°18°11°11°17°11°8°17°10°12°19°11°
Feels like°C10°19°10°10°18°10°9°18°9°10°17°9°9°15°9°5°15°8°9°18°9°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h262362262262262252252
Humidity%764677694980464369625375634367393463273452
0°C linem—————————————————————
Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for La Poya, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For La Poya (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

La Poya El Niño rank & forecast

La Poya ranks #215 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier C, 0% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier C — ENSO-proof: Strong El Niño winters looked like a normal year here — within about ±3% of this resort’s own 30-year snowfall average. Not a jackpot, not a bust: a hedge if you’re planning around El Niño.

#215 of 488Tier C — ENSO-proof

Strong-event signal: 0% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), La Poya averaged 0% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. El Niño has historically made little difference here — this is an ENSO-proof mountain, for winter 2026-27 as in past events. Analog winters: '97-98 -7%, '15-16 +20%, '23-24 -13%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −7%'15-16 +20%'23-24 −13%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at La Poya, ERA5 season snowfall median was 489 cm (193 in), about 3% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

489cm

10 El Niño winters · 3% below median

All-season median

505cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10489cm473cm – 511cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12521cm463cm – 615cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8511cm410cm – 595cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about La Poya

How much snow is La Poya getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at La Poya over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for La Poya?
The full 14-day forecast for La Poya — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for La Poya?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.