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Las Araucarías ski resort
Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

South America

Las Araucarías Snow Forecast

83

Outstanding

↗improving

Last Snowfall

Sep 21

today

Past 24 Hours

9cm

Past 48 Hours

37cm

Past 10 Days

47cm

7-Day Forecast

65cm

Snow Depth

129cm

Open-Meteo model
🎿

Powder Days

15

2026 season

☀️

Bluebird Days

1

2026 season

☀️❄️

Bluebird Days predicted: Fri, Sat

Updated: Sep 21, 8:03 PM•Weather at base: 1,550m
SnowSure™ ScoreAI
83
Outstanding
↑improving

Exceptional season - 908cm already this season!

Las Araucarias is currently experiencing overcast conditions with a temperature of -2°C. The snow depth stands at an estimated 129cm, and the resort has received 43cm of new snow in the past week, enhancing the skiing experience. Looking ahead, the 14-day forecast suggests a potential for up to 115cm of additional snowfall.

AI-generated summary
✓

Depth

129cm depth — excellent coverage.

✓

Recent

In the last 7 days, 43cm of new snow has fallen.

✓

Forecast

65cm in the next 7 days.

✓

Historic

So far this season, snowfall totals are 130% higher than the 5-year average to date, which is 701cm.

Data updated Mon, Sep 21, 08:03 PM UTC

Snow Summary

1,950m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 21, 2026 at 8:03 PM

47cm
24h
65cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
47
Prev10d
6
Now21
2
T22
41
W23
13
T24
1
F25
0
S26
3
S27
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

21 Mon
-2° / -7°
22 Tue
1° / -7°
23 Wed
-0° / -3°
24 Thu
1° / -1°
25 Fri
3° / -2°
26 Sat
5° / -2°
27 Sun
2° / -2°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun
Conditions❄️☁️❄️☁️🌧️❄️❄️❄️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️🌧️⛅🌧️🌧️🌧️
light snowcloudysnowcloudylight drizzlelight snowsnowsnowrainrainrainrainlight raindrizzlelight drizzleraindrizzlesome cloudsdrizzleheavy drizzledrizzle
Summit1,950 mModeled
Temp°C-6°-2°-6°-2°0°-4°-2°-1°-1°0°1°0°-1°2°-1°1°4°0°0°2°-1°
Feels like°C-10°-6°-9°-6°-4°-8°-7°-6°-6°-5°-3°-5°-5°-1°-4°-2°2°-3°-3°-1°-4°
Snowcm0.60.22.6·1.58.215.912.42919.99.821.36.30.88.45.7·7.84.1·7.6
Precipmm0.80.33.7·2.111.722.717.741.428.420.233.59.04.112.98.63.915.95.87.410.8
Windkm/h676655121614131014777677776
Mid-mountain1,750 mModeled
Temp°C-5°-1°-4°0°1°-3°-1°0°0°1°2°1°0°3°0°2°6°1°1°3°1°
Feels like°C-9°-5°-8°-5°-2°-7°-5°-5°-4°-3°-1°-3°-3°0°-3°0°3°-2°-2°0°-2°
Snowcm0.60.22.6·1.38.215.912.413.416.6·5.65.5·8.2··0.51.1·5.1
Precipmm0.80.33.7·2.111.722.717.741.428.420.233.59.04.112.98.63.915.95.87.410.8
Windkm/h676655121614131014777677776
Base1,550 mModeled
Temp°C-4°0°-3°1°3°-2°0°1°1°2°4°2°1°5°2°4°7°3°3°4°2°
Feels like°C-7°-3°-7°-3°-1°-5°-4°-3°-3°-2°0°-2°-2°2°-1°1°5°0°0°2°-1°
Snowcm0.60.22.6·0.17.615.97.413.4···2.4·7.4·····1
Precipmm0.80.33.7·2.111.722.717.741.428.420.233.59.04.112.98.63.915.95.87.410.8
Windkm/h676655121614131014777677776
Humidity%936794365382959394969395938594938194938693
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Las Araucarías, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Las Araucarías (andes), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Andes (Chile & Argentina) region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026

Las Araucarías El Niño rank & forecast

Las Araucarías ranks #51 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +12% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#51 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +12% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Las Araucarías averaged +12% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026, Las Araucarías sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 -26%, '15-16 -20%, '23-24 +81%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −26%'15-16 −20%'23-24 +81%

In-season scorecard

Predicted signal

+12%

Measured to date

+88%

Season total

908 cm

Vs predicted

+77%

Predicted signal vs measured season-to-date against this resort's own climatology.

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 6 past El Niño winters at Las Araucarías, ERA5 season snowfall median was 470 cm (185 in), about 3% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

470cm

6 El Niño winters · 3% below median

All-season median

486cm

Across 31 ERA5 seasons (2026)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent6470cm446cm – 769cm2026, 2023, 2015, 2009, 2002, 1997
La Niña4477cm383cm – 637cm2022, 2010, 1999, 1998
ENSO-neutral21495cm373cm – 665cm2025, 2024, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about Las Araucarías

How much snow is Las Araucarías getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 65 cm (26 in) of snow at Las Araucarías over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Las Araucarías?
The full 14-day forecast for Las Araucarías — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Las Araucarías?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.