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Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Europe

Projected to open December 2, 2026

Best months to book: March, February, January · last season + 30-yr record

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Projected to open Dec 2 — closed April 19

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

12cm

Snow Depth

Updated: Oct 16, 11:04 AM•Weather at base: 1,450m

SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season

Projected to open Dec 2

Lech-Oberlech-Zürs is projected to open December 2, 2026. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book

#1March85cm avg · last season 37.8
#2February81cm avg · last season 43
#3January85cm avg

Best weeks to book

#1 22 Mar – 28 Mar · last season 49
#2 15 Mar – 21 Mar · last season 41.3
#3 29 Mar – 4 Apr · last season 49.6

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

Updated Oct 16 at 11:04 AM

Snow qualityHeavyAverageLightmeasuredestimated

Freezing line

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Today

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Next 6 days

Days 8–14 · Pro

Seasontotal

Wed14

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14 daystotal

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SunOct 4

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TODAY16

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Freezing line

Snow qualityHeavyAverageLightmeasuredestimated

Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro

Hourly Forecast

	16 Fri 9° / 0°			17 Sat 4° / -2°			18 Sun 4° / -3°			19 Mon 8° / -4°			20 Tue 8° / -5°			21 Wed 0° / -5°			22 Thu -3° / -7°			Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	AM	PM	Night	23 Fri	24 Sat	25 Sun	26 Mon	27 Tue	28 Wed	29 Thu
Conditions	🌤️	☀️	☁️	☀️	🌧️	☁️	☁️	☁️	☁️	☁️	⛅	☁️	🌤️	⛅	☁️	🌧️	❄️	☀️	❄️	🌤️	☁️	🌤️	☁️	☁️	☁️	❄️	☁️	☁️
	mostly clear	clear	cloudy	clear	light drizzle	cloudy	cloudy	cloudy	cloudy	cloudy	some clouds	cloudy	mostly clear	some clouds	cloudy	drizzle	light snow	clear	snow	mostly clear	cloudy	mostly clear	cloudy	cloudy	cloudy	snow	cloudy	cloudy
Summit2,806 mModeled
Temp°C	3°	8°	2°	0°	4°	0°	-1°	4°	0°	0°	7°	0°	1°	6°	1°	-1°	1°	-1°	-5°	-2°	-4°	-3°	-2°	-2°	-2°	-2°	-6°	-6°
Feels like°C	0°	4°	-2°	-3°	0°	-3°	-5°	-1°	-5°	-4°	5°	-4°	-5°	3°	-4°	-6°	-6°	-5°	-10°	-7°	-9°	-6°	-6°	-6°	-5°	-6°	-14°	-12°
Snowcm	·	·	·	·	·	1.4	·	·	0.3	·	·	·	·	·	0.2	1.6	0.5	8.2	2.5	0.7	6.2	0.1	0.2	0.4	·	5.8	4	6.8
Precipmm	·	·	·	·	0.8	2.6	·	·	0.4	·	·	·	·	·	0.4	2.4	2.8	12.2	3.3	1.1	8.5	0.2	0.3	0.5	·	9.0	4.0	7.3
Windkm/h	2	6	2	2	7	3	5	2	4	6	4	5	8	10	4	4	5	2	5	4	2	3	6	4	2	6	12	9
Mid-mountain2,128 mModeled
Temp°C	7°	12°	6°	4°	8°	5°	4°	9°	4°	4°	12°	5°	5°	11°	5°	4°	6°	4°	0°	2°	0°	2°	2°	2°	3°	2°	-1°	-1°
Feels like°C	4°	9°	3°	2°	5°	2°	0°	4°	0°	1°	10°	1°	0°	8°	1°	-1°	-1°	0°	-5°	-2°	-4°	-2°	-1°	-1°	-0°	-1°	-9°	-7°
Snowcm	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	0.1	0.1	1.1	2	0.1	5.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	·	3.8	2.6	4.5
Precipmm	·	·	·	·	0.8	2.5	·	·	0.4	·	·	·	·	·	0.5	2.2	2.6	11.0	2.9	1.0	7.6	0.2	0.2	0.4	·	8.1	3.7	6.5
Windkm/h	2	6	2	2	7	3	5	2	4	6	4	5	8	10	4	4	5	2	5	4	2	3	6	4	2	6	12	9
Base1,450 mModeled
Temp°C	9°	16°	9°	7°	12°	8°	7°	12°	7°	8°	16°	8°	9°	16°	9°	8°	10°	8°	4°	6°	5°	6°	7°	6°	7°	7°	3°	3°
Feels like°C	9°	14°	8°	7°	10°	7°	6°	10°	5°	6°	15°	6°	5°	13°	7°	5°	4°	5°	0°	3°	1°	3°	4°	4°	5°	4°	-4°	-2°
Snowcm	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	0.1	·	0.1	·	0.1	·	·	·	·	2.4	1.8	4
Precipmm	·	·	·	·	0.5	2.3	0.1	·	0.5	·	·	·	·	·	0.5	2.1	2.0	10.2	2.6	1.0	6.8	0.1	0.2	0.4	·	7.1	3.2	5.7
Windkm/h	2	6	2	2	7	3	5	2	4	6	4	5	8	10	4	4	5	2	5	4	2	3	6	4	2	6	12	9
Humidity%	24	31	43	59	72	75	92	63	92	80	55	84	81	55	83	99	83	89	91	63	89	63	58	77	66	72	84	65
0°C linem	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3,150	3,600	2,750	2,900	3,000	2,900	2,150
Sunhours																						7.6	8.2	9	3	6.3	7.9	9

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Lech-Oberlech-Zürs, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here.

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SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Lech-Oberlech-Zürs (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

14 Day map is in SnowSure ProUnlock with Pro

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Lech-Oberlech-Zürs El Niño rank & forecast

Lech-Oberlech-Zürs ranks Under review SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +11% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

Under reviewTier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +11% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

This resort carries no separate rank: its 30-year record is identical to ski-arlberg, which is the ranked entry for this measurement. At ~31km resolution the reanalysis cannot resolve them as different mountains, so publishing both would be publishing one number twice.

'97-98 −12%'15-16 −9%'23-24 +53%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

Key

What the tiers mean

% vs each resort's own 30-year average in strong El Niño winters.

Tier	Signal	Means
A — Prime terrain	≥ +8%	Historically much snowier than normal.
B — Favored	+3% to +8%	Modest upside vs normal.
C — ENSO-proof	about −3% to +3%	Near-normal snowfall — a hedge, not a jackpot or bust.
D — Late bloomer	−3% to −8%	Often lighter early — aim Feb–Mar.
E — Timing play	≤ −8%	Often lighter overall — aim late winter.

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Lech-Oberlech-Zürs, ERA5 season snowfall median was 517 cm (204 in), about 7% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JAS 2026 · ANOM +2.16°C

Analog season median

517cm

10 El Niño winters · 7% below median

All-season median

557cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

Phase	Seasons	Median	p25–p75	Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent	10	517cm	474cm – 578cm	2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña	12	638cm	561cm – 711cm	2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral	8	526cm	443cm – 589cm	2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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