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Les Houches-Saint Gervais ski resort
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Tier C — ENSO-proof

Europe

Les Houches-Saint Gervais Snow Forecast

Off-season

Closed for the season · reopens Dec 12

Best months to book: February, March, January · 30-yr snow record

Off-season

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 21, 6:04 PM•Weather at base: 1,000m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Off-season

Les Houches-Saint Gervais is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: February, March, January.NovDec3Jan1Feb2MarAprMay

February

#1 to book

89cm avg

March

#2 to book

82cm avg

January

#3 to book

101cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

1,900m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 21, 2026 at 6:04 PM

0cm
24h
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Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
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Prev10d
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Now21
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T22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
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S27
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

21 Mon
16° / 5°
22 Tue
16° / 5°
23 Wed
15° / 6°
24 Thu
15° / 3°
25 Fri
17° / 4°
26 Sat
18° / 7°
27 Sun
19° / 6°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun
Conditions🌤️⛅☁️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☁️⛅⛅☁️🌤️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️☀️☀️
mostly clearsome cloudscloudyclearclearclearclearclearclearcloudysome cloudssome cloudscloudymostly clearclearclearclearclearmostly clearclearclear
Summit1,900 mModeled
Temp°C7°15°8°8°16°8°8°14°7°7°15°7°7°16°8°9°17°9°9°17°9°
Feels like°C5°13°6°6°14°5°6°13°5°4°12°5°5°14°6°7°15°7°6°15°7°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h262262261262252252242
Mid-mountain1,450 mModeled
Temp°C10°18°11°11°19°10°11°17°10°10°18°10°10°19°11°12°20°12°12°20°12°
Feels like°C9°17°9°9°17°9°9°16°9°8°16°8°8°17°9°10°18°10°10°18°10°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h262262261262252252242
Base1,000 mModeled
Temp°C13°21°14°14°22°13°14°20°13°13°21°13°13°22°14°15°23°15°15°23°15°
Feels like°C12°20°13°12°21°12°13°20°12°11°19°12°11°21°13°14°22°13°13°21°14°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h262262261262252252242
Humidity%684975454366595270654072533568493658522557
0°C linem—————————————————————
Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Les Houches-Saint Gervais, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Les Houches-Saint Gervais (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Les Houches-Saint Gervais El Niño rank & forecast

Les Houches-Saint Gervais ranks Under review SnowSure resorts — Tier C, +1% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier C — ENSO-proof: Strong El Niño winters looked like a normal year here — within about ±3% of this resort’s own 30-year snowfall average. Not a jackpot, not a bust: a hedge if you’re planning around El Niño.

Under reviewTier C — ENSO-proof

Strong-event signal: +1% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

This resort carries no separate rank: its 30-year record is identical to domaine-debutant-du-tourchet, which is the ranked entry for this measurement. At ~31km resolution the reanalysis cannot resolve them as different mountains, so publishing both would be publishing one number twice.

'97-98 −4%'15-16 +18%'23-24 −11%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Les Houches-Saint Gervais, ERA5 season snowfall median was 531 cm (209 in), about 2% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

531cm

10 El Niño winters · 2% below median

All-season median

542cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10531cm518cm – 543cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12601cm496cm – 675cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8532cm455cm – 651cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Les Houches-Saint Gervais

How much snow is Les Houches-Saint Gervais getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Les Houches-Saint Gervais over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Les Houches-Saint Gervais?
The full 14-day forecast for Les Houches-Saint Gervais — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Les Houches-Saint Gervais?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.