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Leukerbad ski resort
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Tier B — Favored

Europe

Leukerbad Snow Forecast

Off-season

Closed for the season · reopens Dec 5

Best months to book: March, February, January · 30-yr snow record

Off-season

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 21, 7:03 AM•Weather at base: 1,411m
SnowSure™ ScoreWhen to book
Off-season

Leukerbad is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, January.NovDec3Jan2Feb1MarAprMay

March

#1 to book

81cm avg

February

#2 to book

81cm avg

January

#3 to book

91cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,610m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 21, 2026 at 7:03 AM

0cm
24h
0cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
0
Prev10d
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Now21
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T22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
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S27
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

21 Mon
9° / -1°
22 Tue
8° / -2°
23 Wed
9° / 0°
24 Thu
8° / 0°
25 Fri
8° / -6°
26 Sat
11° / 1°
27 Sun
12° / 4°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight28 Mon29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun
Conditions🌤️☁️☁️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️⛅⛅🌤️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️⛅☀️
mostly clearcloudycloudyclearclearclearclearclearclearmostly clearsome cloudssome cloudsmostly clearclearclearclearclearclearclearsome cloudsclear
Summit2,610 mModeled
Temp°C3°8°2°5°8°1°5°9°2°4°7°2°2°7°-1°6°11°4°6°11°5°
Feels like°C0°5°-1°1°5°-1°2°7°0°1°2°-1°-2°4°-4°2°8°1°3°9°3°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm··········0.30.6·········
Windkm/h2722822715153162151131
Mid-mountain2,011 mModeled
Temp°C7°12°6°8°12°5°9°13°6°8°11°5°6°11°3°10°15°8°10°15°9°
Feels like°C4°10°4°5°10°3°7°11°5°6°7°3°2°8°0°6°12°5°7°14°7°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm··········0.30.6·········
Windkm/h2722822715153162151131
Base1,411 mModeled
Temp°C12°21°13°11°21°11°12°21°12°11°18°10°8°19°9°12°23°12°9°22°13°
Feels like°C10°18°12°9°18°10°10°19°10°9°15°8°5°15°7°9°20°10°8°20°12°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h272172282292172151222
Humidity%654686375981575981564983313368253244544969
0°C linem—————————————————————
Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Leukerbad, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Leukerbad (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Leukerbad El Niño rank & forecast

Leukerbad ranks #174 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +3% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

#174 of 488Tier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +3% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Leukerbad averaged +3% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically leaned mildly in this resort's favor for winter 2026-27. Analog winters: '97-98 -2%, '15-16 +16%, '23-24 -4%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −2%'15-16 +16%'23-24 −4%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Leukerbad, ERA5 season snowfall median was 610 cm (240 in), about 2% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

610cm

10 El Niño winters · 2% below median

All-season median

621cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10610cm577cm – 690cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12659cm498cm – 741cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8687cm408cm – 748cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Leukerbad

How much snow is Leukerbad getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Leukerbad over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Leukerbad?
The full 14-day forecast for Leukerbad — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Leukerbad?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.