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Madonna di Campiglio ski resort
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Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Europe

Madonna di Campiglio Snow Forecast

Closed for the season

Best months to book: March, February, April · last season + 30-yr record

Pre-season — not open yet

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 22, 10:03 PM•Weather at base: 1,522m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Pre-season — not open yet

Madonna di Campiglio is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, April. Best weeks: 15 Mar–21 Mar, 22 Mar–28 Mar, 8 Mar–14 Mar.NovDecJan2Feb1Mar3AprOpens 21 NovCloses 12 Apr

March

#1 to book

52cm avg · scored 33.1

February

#2 to book

45cm avg · scored 26.9

April

#3 to book

50cm avg · scored 21.2

Best weeks to book

  1. #115 Mar – 21 Marscored 45.1
  2. #222 Mar – 28 Marscored 30.5
  3. #38 Mar – 14 Marscored 30

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,600m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 22, 2026 at 10:03 PM

0cm
24h
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Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
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Prev10d
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Now22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
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S27
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M28
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

23 Wed
9° / -3°
24 Thu
11° / -2°
25 Fri
9° / -3°
26 Sat
11° / -5°
27 Sun
11° / -0°
28 Mon
11° / -1°
29 Tue
11° / 2°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun5 Mon6 Tue
Conditions☀️☀️🌤️☀️⛅⛅☀️⛅☀️☀️☀️⛅☀️🌧️⛅☁️🌧️☁️☁️☁️🌤️
clearclearmostly clearclearsome cloudssome cloudsclearsome cloudsclearclearclearsome cloudsclearlight drizzlesome cloudscloudylight drizzlecloudycloudycloudymostly clear
Summit2,600 mModeled
Temp°C1°8°0°2°11°2°0°8°1°1°10°0°3°10°2°2°10°3°4°10°3°
Feels like°C-3°6°-3°-1°9°-1°-3°6°-2°-3°8°-2°1°8°0°-1°8°1°1°8°1°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·············0.3··0.30.3···
Windkm/h351222352262252441332
Mid-mountain2,061 mModeled
Temp°C4°12°4°6°15°5°4°12°4°4°14°4°7°13°6°5°13°7°7°14°7°
Feels like°C1°10°1°3°13°3°1°10°2°1°12°2°5°12°5°3°12°6°5°12°6°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·············0.3··0.30.3···
Windkm/h351222352262252441332
Base1,522 mModeled
Temp°C8°15°7°9°18°9°7°15°8°8°17°7°10°17°9°9°17°10°11°17°10°
Feels like°C5°14°5°7°17°7°5°14°6°5°16°6°9°17°9°7°16°10°9°16°10°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·············0.3··0.30.3···
Windkm/h351222352262252441332
Humidity%695781533969644677645589776993906595815991
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Madonna di Campiglio, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Madonna di Campiglio (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Madonna di Campiglio El Niño rank & forecast

Madonna di Campiglio ranks #36 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +14% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#36 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +14% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Madonna di Campiglio averaged +14% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline — one of the strongest positive El Niño signals we track. With NOAA forecasting a potentially record event for winter 2026-27, history says this is the winter to book Madonna di Campiglio with confidence. Individual analog winters: '97-98 -15%, '15-16 -18%, '23-24 +76%. A lean, not a law — but the lean is firmly up.

'97-98 −15%'15-16 −19%'23-24 +76%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Madonna di Campiglio, ERA5 season snowfall median was 306 cm (120 in), about this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

306cm

10 El Niño winters · ≈ long-term median

All-season median

307cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10306cm277cm – 437cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12309cm280cm – 493cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8352cm284cm – 436cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about Madonna di Campiglio

How much snow is Madonna di Campiglio getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Madonna di Campiglio over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Madonna di Campiglio?
The full 14-day forecast for Madonna di Campiglio — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Madonna di Campiglio?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.