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Mayrhofen ski resort
Epic PassView resorts
Tier C — ENSO-proof

Europe

Mayrhofen Snow Forecast

Closed for the season

Best months to book: March, February, January · last season + 30-yr record

Closed for the season — closed April 26

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

Sep 17

4d ago

Past 24 Hours

0cm

Past 48 Hours

0cm

Past 10 Days

5cm

7-Day Forecast

2cm

Snow Depth

--

Updated: Sep 21, 11:03 PM•Weather at base: 630m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Closed for the season

Mayrhofen is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, February, January. Best weeks: 22 Mar–28 Mar, 15 Mar–21 Mar, 29 Mar–4 Apr.Dec3Jan2Feb1MarAprOpens 4 DecCloses 26 Apr

March

#1 to book

69cm avg · scored 35

February

#2 to book

60cm avg · scored 36.6

January

#3 to book

63cm avg

Best weeks to book

  1. #122 Mar – 28 Marscored 45.3
  2. #215 Mar – 21 Marscored 39.6
  3. #329 Mar – 4 Aprscored 43.1

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,500m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 21, 2026 at 11:03 PM

5cm
24h
2cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
5
Prev10d
—
Now21
—
T22
—
W23
2
T24
0
F25
—
S26
—
S27
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

22 Tue
3° / -3°
23 Wed
8° / -3°
24 Thu
7° / -2°
25 Fri
6° / -4°
26 Sat
12° / 1°
27 Sun
13° / 6°
28 Mon
12° / 6°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun5 Mon
Conditions☀️☀️⛅☀️☀️🌤️☀️⛅☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️☀️☀️🌤️⛅
clearclearsome cloudsclearclearmostly clearclearsome cloudsclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearmostly clearclearclearmostly clearsome clouds
Summit2,500 mModeled
Temp°C-1°3°-2°3°7°0°4°6°1°-1°5°-1°7°12°5°8°12°7°8°11°7°
Feels like°C-5°-1°-5°-1°4°-3°0°3°-3°-4°2°-4°3°9°2°6°10°5°6°9°5°
Snowcm········2.1············
Precipmm········3.3············
Windkm/h101383735116475241121261
Mid-mountain1,565 mModeled
Temp°C3°10°4°5°13°4°8°13°5°5°12°5°10°18°8°11°18°9°11°20°11°
Feels like°C1°7°1°2°11°1°5°10°2°2°10°3°6°16°5°8°17°7°9°20°9°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·······0.99.3············
Windkm/h382252584252343342322
Base630 mModeled
Temp°C9°16°10°11°19°10°14°19°11°11°18°11°16°24°14°17°24°15°17°27°17°
Feels like°C8°15°9°9°18°9°12°18°10°10°17°10°13°23°12°15°24°15°16°27°17°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·······0.99.3············
Windkm/h382252584252343342322
Humidity%875185554375615880795181392859523959594366
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Mayrhofen, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Mayrhofen (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Mayrhofen El Niño rank & forecast

Mayrhofen ranks #214 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier C, 0% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier C — ENSO-proof: Strong El Niño winters looked like a normal year here — within about ±3% of this resort’s own 30-year snowfall average. Not a jackpot, not a bust: a hedge if you’re planning around El Niño.

#214 of 488Tier C — ENSO-proof

Strong-event signal: 0% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Mayrhofen averaged +0% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. El Niño has historically made little difference here — this is an ENSO-proof mountain, for winter 2026-27 as in past events. Analog winters: '97-98 -10%, '15-16 -9%, '23-24 +20%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −11%'15-16 −9%'23-24 +20%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Mayrhofen, ERA5 season snowfall median was 420 cm (165 in), about 10% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

420cm

10 El Niño winters · 10% below median

All-season median

465cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10420cm377cm – 464cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12508cm458cm – 557cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8441cm403cm – 475cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Mayrhofen

How much snow is Mayrhofen getting this week?
The SnowSure™ blend forecasts about 2 cm (1 in) of snow at Mayrhofen over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Mayrhofen?
The full 14-day forecast for Mayrhofen — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Mayrhofen?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.