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Megève ski resort
Mountain CollectiveView resorts
Tier B — Favored

Europe

Megève Snow Forecast

Closed for the season

Best months to book: March, January, February · last season + 30-yr record

Closed for the season — closed March 30

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 22, 4:02 AM•Weather at base: 1,113m
SnowSure™ Score2025-26 season
Closed for the season

Megève is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: March, January, February. Best weeks: 22 Mar–28 Mar, 15 Mar–21 Mar, 8 Mar–14 Mar.Dec2Jan3Feb1MarOpens 14 DecCloses 30 Mar

March

#1 to book

71cm avg · scored 36.3

January

#2 to book

91cm avg

February

#3 to book

76cm avg · scored 29.6

Best weeks to book

  1. #122 Mar – 28 Marscored 44.2
  2. #215 Mar – 21 Marscored 41.1
  3. #38 Mar – 14 Marscored 37.3

Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2025-26) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

Snow Summary

2,350m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 22, 2026 at 4:02 AM

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24h
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Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
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Prev10d
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Now22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
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S27
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M28
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

22 Tue
14° / 2°
23 Wed
12° / 4°
24 Thu
13° / 3°
25 Fri
13° / 3°
26 Sat
14° / 5°
27 Sun
15° / 5°
28 Mon
14° / 4°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun5 Mon
Conditions☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌤️⛅⛅☁️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️⛅☀️☁️☁️⛅
clearclearclearclearclearclearmostly clearsome cloudssome cloudscloudyclearclearclearclearclearclearsome cloudsclearcloudycloudysome clouds
Summit2,350 mModeled
Temp°C8°13°5°6°11°5°6°12°5°6°13°6°8°14°7°8°15°7°6°13°7°
Feels like°C5°11°3°4°9°3°3°9°3°3°10°3°5°11°4°5°11°4°4°10°5°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h2923922103292271272353
Mid-mountain1,732 mModeled
Temp°C9°15°7°9°15°9°9°16°9°9°17°9°10°18°10°11°19°11°10°16°11°
Feels like°C7°14°5°7°13°7°7°14°6°7°15°7°8°15°7°8°16°8°8°14°9°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h273272282272272252251
Base1,113 mModeled
Temp°C13°19°11°13°19°13°13°20°13°13°21°13°14°22°14°15°23°15°14°20°15°
Feels like°C12°19°10°12°18°12°11°19°11°11°19°11°13°19°12°13°20°13°13°19°14°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm·····················
Windkm/h273272282272272252251
Humidity%655381674571554165563858472851322245575063
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Megève, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Megève (alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

The Alps region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Megève El Niño rank & forecast

Megève ranks #136 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier B, +6% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier B — Favored: Modest El Niño upside (+3% to +8% vs normal). Often a solid pick, without the biggest Andes-style swings.

#136 of 488Tier B — Favored

Strong-event signal: +6% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Megève averaged +6% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Megève sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 -21%, '15-16 -8%, '23-24 +46%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 −21%'15-16 −8%'23-24 +46%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Megève, ERA5 season snowfall median was 379 cm (149 in), about 16% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

379cm

10 El Niño winters · 16% below median

All-season median

454cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10379cm357cm – 600cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12460cm421cm – 575cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8476cm420cm – 511cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

→

Frequently asked questions about Megève

How much snow is Megève getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Megève over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Megève?
The full 14-day forecast for Megève — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Megève?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.