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Mt Ashland Ski Area ski resort
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Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

North America

Mt Ashland Ski Area Snow Forecast

Status unconfirmed

Best months to book: January, February, December · 30-yr snow record

Status unconfirmed

Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.

Last Snowfall

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Past 24 Hours

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Past 48 Hours

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Past 10 Days

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7-Day Forecast

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Snow Depth

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Updated: Sep 22, 4:02 AM•Weather at base: 1,981m
SnowSure™ ScoreAI
Status unconfirmed

Mt Ashland Ski Area is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.

Best months to book: January, February, December.Nov3Dec1Jan2FebMarAprMay

January

#1 to book

55cm avg

February

#2 to book

52cm avg

December

#3 to book

65cm avg

Ranked on 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.

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Depth

Resort closed — no current ski-base depth.

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Recent

No new snow has been recorded in the past week.

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Forecast

Dry for the next 7 days.

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Historic

This season-to-date is below the 5-year average for this time of year.

Status unconfirmed · Data updated Tue, Sep 22, 04:02 AM UTC · informational only

Snow Summary

2,296m
ECMWFGFSGEMJMAICONMétéo-Fr

Updated Sep 22, 2026 at 4:02 AM

0cm
24h
0cm
Past 10d
7-Day Forecast
0
Prev10d
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Now22
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W23
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T24
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F25
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S26
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S27
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M28
Days 8–14 and every model are in Pro.Unlock with Pro
Past
Today
Forecast

Hourly Forecast

22 Tue
16° / 2°
23 Wed
16° / 2°
24 Thu
18° / 5°
25 Fri
7° / -2°
26 Sat
11° / -3°
27 Sun
10° / -1°
28 Mon
11° / -1°
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight29 Tue30 Wed1 Thu2 Fri3 Sat4 Sun
Conditions☀️☀️☀️⛅☁️☀️☁️☁️☁️⛅🌧️☁️🌤️☁️☁️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️
clearclearclearsome cloudscloudyclearcloudycloudycloudysome cloudslight drizzlecloudymostly clearcloudycloudyclearclearclearclearclearclear
Summit2,296 mModeled
Temp°C8°15°5°7°15°5°10°18°8°4°6°2°2°10°1°3°9°1°6°11°2°
Feels like°C6°13°3°4°13°1°7°14°5°0°2°-1°-2°7°-3°0°6°-2°2°8°-1°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm··········0.63.0·········
Windkm/h36525439310127665565254
Mid-mountain2,139 mModeled
Temp°C9°16°6°8°16°6°11°19°9°5°7°3°3°11°2°4°10°3°7°12°3°
Feels like°C7°14°4°5°14°3°8°15°6°2°3°0°-1°8°-1°1°7°-1°3°9°0°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm··········0.63.0·········
Windkm/h36525439310127665565254
Base1,981 mModeled
Temp°C10°17°7°9°17°7°12°20°10°6°8°4°4°12°3°5°11°4°8°13°4°
Feels like°C8°15°5°7°15°4°9°16°7°3°4°2°0°9°0°2°8°0°4°10°1°
Snowcm·····················
Precipmm··········0.63.0·········
Windkm/h36525439310127665565254
Humidity%693876512957392442916185663776713161292651
0°C linem—————————————————————
Sunhours

Freeze line is the height where rain turns to snow. Plain: straight from the models. Marked ○: estimated from temperature. Sun is hours of actual sunshine, not day length; blank means we have no reading.

Forecast Range · SnowSure Pro

Every model for Mt Ashland Ski Area, side by side for 14 days

Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.

Unlock with Pro

SnowSure™ blend — verified model weighting

The black line is not a simple average. For Mt Ashland Ski Area (rockies), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).

  • 1.Horizon buckets: days 1–3, 4–7, and 8–14 each get separate weights — short-range skill differs from long-range.
  • 2.Regional calibration: weights come from verified error in this geography (Rockies, Alps, Japan, etc.), recalculated weekly.
  • 3.Ground truth only: we never grade a forecast against another model — only against measured snow.

Building verification history for this resort.

How we verify forecasts →

Snowfall Forecast Maps

Pacific Northwest & BC region

El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026-27

Mt Ashland Ski Area El Niño rank & forecast

Mt Ashland Ski Area ranks #56 of 488 SnowSure resorts — Tier A, +11% in strong El Niño winters.

Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain: Historically snowed much more than normal in strong El Niño winters (≥ +8% vs this resort’s own 30-year average).

#56 of 488Tier A — Prime El Niño terrain

Strong-event signal: +11% vs this resort's 30-yr avg

In the three strongest El Niño winters on record ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24), Mt Ashland Ski Area averaged +11% versus its own 30-year snowfall baseline. The pattern has historically been a friend here. With a record-strength event forecast for winter 2026-27, Mt Ashland Ski Area sits on the favorable side of the ledger. Analog winters: '97-98 +20%, '15-16 +18%, '23-24 -4%. A pattern, not a promise.

'97-98 +20%'15-16 +18%'23-24 −4%

Signal = average snowfall in the three strongest El Niño winters since 1996 ('97-98, '15-16, '23-24) vs this resort's own 30-year ERA5 baseline. n=3 — a lean, not a law. Updated monthly against measured snowfall Dec–Mar.

Full El Niño report →

ENSO seasonal analog

History · not a forecast

In 10 past El Niño winters at Mt Ashland Ski Area, ERA5 season snowfall median was 260 cm (102 in), about 8% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.

Prevailing ONI

El Niño

JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C

Analog season median

260cm

10 El Niño winters · 8% below median

All-season median

282cm

Across 30 ERA5 seasons (2026-27)

PhaseSeasonsMedianp25–p75Recent analogs
El Niñocurrent10260cm207cm – 290cm2023, 2019, 2018, 2015, 2014, 2009
La Niña12311cm239cm – 367cm2022, 2021, 2020, 2017, 2011, 2010
ENSO-neutral8270cm180cm – 326cm2025, 2024, 2016, 2013, 2012, 2003

Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.

Local Reports

0 reports

How accurate is this forecast?

We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.

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Frequently asked questions about Mt Ashland Ski Area

How much snow is Mt Ashland Ski Area getting this week?
No significant snow is forecast at Mt Ashland Ski Area over the next 7 days.
What is the 14-day snow forecast for Mt Ashland Ski Area?
The full 14-day forecast for Mt Ashland Ski Area — the SnowSure™ blend and every model we track, day by day — is part of SnowSure Pro. The first 7 days are free on this page.
How accurate are SnowSure forecasts for Mt Ashland Ski Area?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell and publish the results — see our forecast verification pages for model-by-model accuracy, updated continuously.