Oceania
Closed for the season
Best months to book: August, July, June · last season + 30-yr record
Scroll for happiness
Not operating today
Weather data is still collected for informational purposes.
Last Snowfall
--
Past 24 Hours
0cm
Reported by Mt BullerPast 48 Hours
0cm
Past 10 Days
0cm
7-Day Forecast
0cm
Snow Depth
--
Powder Days
5
2026 season
Mt Buller is closed for the season. Here is when it is usually best to book.
August
#1 to book
20cm avg · scored 17.9
July
#2 to book
15cm avg · scored 21.4
June
#3 to book
8cm avg · scored 11.5
Best weeks to book
Ranked on 25% last season's SnowSure score (2026) · 75% 30-year snowfall and base-depth record. The live score returns when the lifts turn.
Depth
Resort closed — no current ski-base depth.
Recent
No new snow has been recorded in the past week.
Forecast
Dry for the next 7 days.
Historic
Season-to-date snowfall is tracking below typical for this point in the season compared to the 5-year average of 63cm.
Not operating today · Data updated Sun, Sep 20, 04:03 PM UTC · informational only
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.
Unlock with ProHistorical data from Open-Meteo archive • Forecast: SnowSure™ multi-model blend
21 Mon 5° / -5° | 22 Tue 9° / -7° | 23 Wed 13° / -2° | 24 Thu 15° / 1° | 25 Fri 17° / 6° | 26 Sat 16° / 1° | 27 Sun 13° / -0° | Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | 28 Mon | 29 Tue | 30 Wed | 1 Thu | 2 Fri | 3 Sat | 4 Sun | |
| Conditions | ☁️ | 🌤️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | 🌤️ | ☀️ | ☁️ | ⛅ | ☀️ | ⛅ | ☁️ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ⛅ | ⛅ | |||||||
| cloudy | mostly clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | mostly clear | clear | cloudy | some clouds | clear | some clouds | cloudy | some clouds | some clouds | some clouds | some clouds | ||||||||
| Summit1,805 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 1° | 3° | 0° | 1° | 8° | -3° | 5° | 12° | 0° | 8° | 14° | 4° | 11° | 16° | 7° | 12° | 13° | 4° | 8° | 12° | 3° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | -4° | -1° | -4° | -3° | 4° | -7° | 2° | 10° | -3° | 5° | 11° | 1° | 8° | 13° | 4° | 10° | 10° | 1° | 6° | 10° | 0° | |||||||
| Snowcm | 0.1 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | 0.2 | · | 0.3 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 14 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 8 | |||||||
| Mid-mountain1,590 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 2° | 5° | 1° | 2° | 9° | -2° | 6° | 14° | 2° | 10° | 16° | 6° | 12° | 17° | 8° | 14° | 14° | 6° | 9° | 13° | 4° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | -2° | 0° | -2° | -2° | 6° | -6° | 4° | 11° | -1° | 6° | 13° | 3° | 10° | 14° | 6° | 11° | 12° | 3° | 7° | 12° | 2° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | 0.2 | · | 0.3 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 14 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 8 | |||||||
| Base1,375 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 4° | 6° | 3° | 3° | 10° | -1° | 8° | 15° | 3° | 11° | 17° | 7° | 14° | 19° | 9° | 15° | 16° | 7° | 11° | 15° | 6° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | 0° | 2° | -1° | 0° | 8° | -4° | 5° | 13° | 0° | 8° | 15° | 5° | 12° | 16° | 7° | 13° | 14° | 4° | 9° | 13° | 3° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | 0.2 | · | 0.3 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 14 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 8 | |||||||
| Humidity% | 80 | 50 | 86 | 65 | 49 | 92 | 70 | 39 | 90 | 63 | 48 | 93 | 67 | 41 | 87 | 59 | 62 | 88 | 67 | 56 | 89 | |||||||
| 0°C linem | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||
Every model for Mt Buller, side by side for 14 days
Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.
Unlock with ProThe black line is not a simple average. For Mt Buller (southern alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).
Building verification history for this resort.
How we verify forecasts →Australia & Tasmania region
El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026
Mt Buller is under review in SnowSure's El Niño dataset — we will not publish a rank against a discontinuous historical series.
This station is under review and carries no rank: its 30-year ERA5 baseline falls below the 80cm floor our methodology commits to, so percentage swings computed on it are unstable by construction. We expect it to benefit from El Niño; our method cannot size that reliably.
In 6 past El Niño winters at Mt Buller, ERA5 season snowfall median was 27 cm (11 in), about 31% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.
Prevailing ONI
El Niño
JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C
Analog season median
27cm
6 El Niño winters · 31% below median
All-season median
39cm
Across 31 ERA5 seasons (2026)
| Phase | Seasons | Median | p25–p75 | Recent analogs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Niñocurrent | 6 | 27cm | 25cm – 28cm | 2026, 2023, 2015, 2009, 2002, 1997 |
| La Niña | 4 | 52cm | 38cm – 64cm | 2022, 2010, 1999, 1998 |
| ENSO-neutral | 21 | 39cm | 37cm – 65cm | 2025, 2024, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018 |
Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.
How accurate is this forecast?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.
