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Last Snowfall
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Past 24 Hours
0cm
Past 48 Hours
0cm
Past 10 Days
0cm
7-Day Forecast
0cm
Snow Depth
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Limited conditions.
Current conditions at Mt Stirling are clear with a temperature of -6°C, but there's been no new snowfall in the past week. The season total stands at 50cm, which is significantly lower than the 5-year average of 123cm for this time of year.
AI-generated summaryDepth
No reliable depth reading available.
Recent
No new snow has been recorded in the last week.
Forecast
Dry for the next 7 days.
Historic
So far this season, snow accumulation is at 40% of the 5-year average for this date.
Data updated Mon, Sep 21, 05:04 PM UTC
Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.
Unlock with ProHistorical data from Open-Meteo archive • Forecast: SnowSure™ multi-model blend
22 Tue 8° / -6° | 23 Wed 13° / -3° | 24 Thu 15° / 1° | 25 Fri 17° / 6° | 26 Sat 12° / 5° | 27 Sun 15° / 6° | 28 Mon 16° / 5° | Days 8–14 and every model are in SnowSure Pro.Unlock with Pro | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | 29 Tue | 30 Wed | 1 Thu | 2 Fri | 3 Sat | 4 Sun | 5 Mon | |
| Conditions | ☁️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | ☀️ | 🌤️ | 🌤️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ⛅ | 🌤️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | ☁️ | 🌤️ | ⛅ | ☁️ | 🌧️ | 🌧️ | ☀️ | |||||||
| cloudy | clear | clear | clear | clear | clear | mostly clear | mostly clear | cloudy | cloudy | some clouds | mostly clear | cloudy | cloudy | cloudy | mostly clear | some clouds | cloudy | light drizzle | drizzle | clear | ||||||||
| Summit1,749 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 1° | 8° | -3° | 4° | 12° | 1° | 8° | 14° | 4° | 12° | 16° | 8° | 11° | 11° | 6° | 11° | 14° | 8° | 13° | 15° | 7° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | -3° | 4° | -7° | 2° | 10° | -3° | 5° | 11° | 1° | 9° | 13° | 5° | 9° | 8° | 3° | 9° | 12° | 5° | 11° | 13° | 5° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.1 | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 6 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 8 | |||||||
| Mid-mountain1,605 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 2° | 9° | -2° | 5° | 13° | 1° | 9° | 15° | 5° | 13° | 17° | 9° | 12° | 12° | 7° | 12° | 15° | 9° | 14° | 16° | 8° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | -2° | 5° | -6° | 3° | 11° | -1° | 6° | 12° | 2° | 10° | 14° | 6° | 10° | 9° | 4° | 10° | 13° | 7° | 12° | 14° | 6° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.1 | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 6 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 8 | |||||||
| Base1,460 mModeled | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Temp°C | 3° | 9° | -1° | 6° | 14° | 2° | 10° | 16° | 6° | 14° | 18° | 10° | 12° | 12° | 8° | 13° | 16° | 10° | 15° | 17° | 9° | |||||||
| Feels like°C | -1° | 6° | -5° | 4° | 12° | 0° | 7° | 13° | 3° | 12° | 15° | 8° | 11° | 10° | 6° | 11° | 14° | 8° | 13° | 16° | 7° | |||||||
| Snowcm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | |||||||
| Precipmm | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.1 | |||||||
| Windkm/h | 6 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 8 | |||||||
| Humidity% | 70 | 44 | 91 | 70 | 40 | 88 | 62 | 42 | 90 | 58 | 39 | 89 | 77 | 76 | 91 | 64 | 54 | 65 | 60 | 57 | 79 | |||||||
| 0°C linem | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||
Every model for Mt Stirling, side by side for 14 days
Where the models agree, where they split, and which one has been most accurate here. Free for 14 days, then yearly.
Unlock with ProThe black line is not a simple average. For Mt Stirling (southern alps), we combine seven global weather models using weights learned from daily forecast verification — comparing each model's prediction to measured snowfall (SNOTEL, resort reports, ERA5).
Building verification history for this resort.
How we verify forecasts →Australia & Tasmania region
El Niño Outlook · Winter 2026
Mt Stirling is under review in SnowSure's El Niño dataset — we will not publish a rank against a discontinuous historical series.
This station is under review and carries no rank: its 30-year ERA5 baseline falls below the 80cm floor our methodology commits to, so percentage swings computed on it are unstable by construction. We expect it to benefit from El Niño; our method cannot size that reliably.
In 6 past El Niño winters at Mt Stirling, ERA5 season snowfall median was 28 cm (11 in), about 37% below this resort’s long-term median. This is a historical analog from reanalysis — not a prediction of this winter’s storm track.
Prevailing ONI
El Niño
JJA 2026 · ANOM +1.8°C
Analog season median
28cm
6 El Niño winters · 37% below median
All-season median
44cm
Across 31 ERA5 seasons (2026)
| Phase | Seasons | Median | p25–p75 | Recent analogs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Niñocurrent | 6 | 28cm | 27cm – 45cm | 2026, 2023, 2015, 2009, 2002, 1997 |
| La Niña | 4 | 52cm | 38cm – 90cm | 2022, 2010, 1999, 1998 |
| ENSO-neutral | 21 | 44cm | 37cm – 102cm | 2025, 2024, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018 |
Season snowfall from Open-Meteo ERA5 reanalysis (~9 km). ENSO phase from NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index. Relative phase differences are more trustworthy than absolute cm totals. Source: NOAA CPC Oceanic Niño Index + Open-Meteo ERA5 via SnowSure season archive.
How accurate is this forecast?
We verify every forecast against what actually fell — see the model-by-model results.
